Andranik’s recent return to form after a defeat fuels a high-scoring encounter, with the model projecting a 60 % chance of a home win, 20 % for a draw and 20 % for a Pyunik II victory. The expected total of 3.8 goals points to an open match, and the single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Andranik, a 9 % probability. At home, Andranik averages 4.0 goals scored and 0.67 conceded against weaker opposition, while Pyunik II, playing away against stronger teams, averages 1.57 scored and 2.29 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (95.7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (94.8 %), Home +2 handicap (91.5 %), Home over 0.5 goals (91.5 %), Under 6.5 (90.5 %), Over 1.5 (90.4 %), Away under 2.5 goals (83.8 %) and Under 5.5 (80.8 %). All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Andranik win
60.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II win
19.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Andranik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.70
1.03
3.14
1.07
2.31
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (14)
2.50
1.07
3.00
1.50
2.12
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
3.82
0.55
4.17
0.50
3.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pyunik II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.47
1.75
1.19
1.50
1.79
vs Stronger (13)
1.46
2.15
1.83
1.67
1.14
2.57
vs Similar (10)
1.90
0.80
2.00
1.00
1.67
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
1.57
1.14
1.00
0.67
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.4%
Under 1.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73.9%
Under 2.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
53.7%
Under 3.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
69.3%
No
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-0
5.3%
3-2
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
Andranik goals ↓
Pyunik II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.9%
2.2%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
1
4.5%
8.0%
5.0%
2.3%
0.8%
2
6.5%
9.0%
6.2%
2.9%
1.0%
3
5.3%
7.4%
5.1%
2.4%
0.8%
4
3.3%
4.5%
3.1%
1.5%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Andranik goals (down), columns = Pyunik II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Andranik is 0.73 points better than Pyunik II in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Andranik is 1.10 goals better than Pyunik II in terms of goals scored per game (2.53 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Andranik is 0.43 goals better than Pyunik II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Andranik or Draw
80.4%
Avg Implied -
60%
20%
20%
covers Andranik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Andranik or Pyunik II
80.0%
Avg Implied -
60%
20%
20%
covers Andranik + Pyunik II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Pyunik II
39.6%
Avg Implied -
60%
20%
20%
covers Draw + Pyunik II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Andranik over/under 0.5
Over
91.5%
Under
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5
Over
70.6%
Under
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5
Over
44.7%
Under
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 3.5
Over
23.5%
Under
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5
Over
74.9%
Under
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5
Over
40.3%
Under
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5
Over
16.3%
Under
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 3.5
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Andranik, so a minus line means Andranik give that many goals of a start and Pyunik II receive them. At -1, Andranik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Andranik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Andranik)
Andranik -2
22.4%
Draw -2
17.8%
Pyunik II +2
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Andranik)
Andranik -1
40.2%
Draw -1
20.3%
Pyunik II +1
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Andranik)
Andranik +1
80.4%
Draw +1
11.1%
Pyunik II -1
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Andranik)
Andranik +2
91.5%
Draw +2
5.6%
Pyunik II -2
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Andranik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.50
1.21
0.29
1.25
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (14)
1.29
0.57
1.17
0.67
1.38
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
1.73
0.27
1.67
0.00
1.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pyunik II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.81
0.44
0.36
0.79
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.69
0.67
0.50
0.29
0.86
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.50
1.29
0.57
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
0.57
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.6%
Under 0.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.2%
Under 1.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.0%
Under 2.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Andranik over/under 0.5 HT
Over
60.3%
Under
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 HT
Over
28.8%
Under
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 HT
Over
10.8%
Under
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.1%
Under
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Andranik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.53
1.93
0.79
1.06
0.31
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.20
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
1.21
0.50
1.83
0.83
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (11)
2.09
0.27
2.50
0.50
1.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pyunik II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.87
0.94
0.75
1.14
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
1.46
1.17
1.17
0.86
1.71
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.30
0.71
0.43
1.33
0.00
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.57
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.6%
Under 0.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
58.3%
Under 1.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
30.0%
Under 2.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Andranik over/under 0.5 2H
Over
69.0%
Under
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 2H
Over
37.5%
Under
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 2H
Over
13.8%
Under
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.4%
Under
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.4%
Under
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 1.5 goals
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Andranik's squad is €1m more valuable than Pyunik II's (€1m vs €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Andranik and Pyunik II have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Andranik and Pyunik II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Andranik and Pyunik II have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympia Yerevan
BKMA II
Mika
Lernayin Artsakh
Bentonit Ijevan
Banants II
Noah II
Araks Ararat
Shirak II
Sardarapat 2
Ararat-Armenia II
Hayq
Ararat II