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Andranik vs Shirak II Result & Analysis

Date: 10/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 4-0
Andranik
Andranik
Vs
82%
11%
7%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shirak II
Shirak II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Andranik is the clear favourite to win at home against Shirak II, with the model predicting a home win. This is largely due to Andranik's strong recent form, having won their last four games, including a convincing 4-0 victory over Ararat II. The model also notes that Andranik scores an average of 3.55 goals at home against weaker opponents, conceding just 0.82 goals.

The expected total number of goals is 4.6, with the most likely score being 3-1, occurring 8% of the time. Andranik's home scoring and conceding statistics are impressive, while Shirak II's away form is less encouraging, scoring an average of 0.86 goals and conceding 5.86 goals against stronger opponents.

The model's selection is Over 1.5, which is predicted to occur 94.5% of the time. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, Over 2.5, and Home win, with the latter two selections having probabilities of 83.2% and 82.4% respectively. Andranik is expected to win 82%, draw 11%, and lose 7% of the time. Over 1.5 is the model's selection with a probability of 94.5%, while Over 2.5 has a probability of 83.2% and Home win has a probability of 82.4%.

Results analysis

The win extends Andranik's 5-game winning run, as they dominated Shirak II 4-0 at home. The model correctly predicted a home win, with a pre-match probability of 82%. The predicted score was a high-scoring affair, with the most likely total goals being 6+, but the actual result was a comfortable 4-0 victory for Andranik. The model's selection of home win was correct, as it was the favourite going into the match. The suggested picks also largely came in, with over 1.5 goals (94.5%) and over 2.5 goals (83.2%) both hitting. The model's selection of home win also hit, as did the suggested pick of home win, which shared the same probability of 82.4%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Andranik win✓ Hit
82.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
11.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shirak II win✗ Miss
6.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AndranikAndranik

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-742W40W02L60W10W11D31W61W71W40WH·BAN28/03A·SHI08/04A·BKM22/04H·LER25/04A·PYU06/05H·SAR11/05H·NOA15/05A·ARA21/05H·ARA26/05A·ARA04/08
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
3.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.670.973.000.932.381.00
vs Stronger (5)0.802.000.501.501.002.33
vs Similar (13)2.770.923.171.002.430.86
vs Weaker (12)3.330.583.670.673.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shirak IIShirak II

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-904L19L00D03L12L53W23L03L33D01LH·AND08/04A·SYU14/04H·BEN21/04A·VAN25/04H·ARA30/04H·BAN06/05A·MIK12/05A·NOA21/05H·BKM27/05H·SAR03/08
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.971.132.271.133.67
vs Stronger (14)0.714.360.713.000.715.71
vs Similar (13)1.541.621.671.501.431.71
vs Weaker (3)1.332.331.002.002.003.00
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%30%1%04%111%217%319%417%530%6+
The model estimates around 4.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (30%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.5%
Under 1.5
5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
83.2%
Under 2.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.6%
Under 3.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.1%
No
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
8.0%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
4-0 ✓
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
5-1
4.9%
5-0
4.7%
Andranik goals ↓
Shirak II goals →
01234
01.5%0.7%0.6%0.2%0.1%
13.4%4.3%2.0%0.7%0.2%
26.6%6.8%3.5%1.2%0.3%
37.7%8.0%4.2%1.4%0.4%
46.8%7.0%3.7%1.3%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Andranik goals (down), columns = Shirak II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Andranik is 1.60 points better than Shirak II in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 0.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Andranik is 1.40 goals better than Shirak II in terms of goals scored per game (2.53 vs 1.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Andranik is 1.97 goals better than Shirak II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AndranikAndranik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W01L20W00D00D10W31W21W30WH·BAN28/03A·SHI08/04A·BKM22/04H·LER25/04A·PYU06/05H·SAR11/05H·NOA15/05A·ARA21/05H·ARA26/05A·ARA04/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.431.360.141.250.69
vs Stronger (5)0.000.800.000.000.001.33
vs Similar (13)1.540.461.500.331.570.57
vs Weaker (12)1.580.251.670.001.500.50
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shirak IIShirak II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L05L00D01L02L32W11D02L20W00DH·AND08/04A·SYU14/04H·BEN21/04A·VAN25/04H·ARA30/04H·BAN06/05A·MIK12/05A·NOA21/05H·BKM27/05H·SAR03/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.600.471.070.532.13
vs Stronger (14)0.212.570.291.570.143.57
vs Similar (13)0.770.770.670.670.860.86
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Andranik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AndranikAndranik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D10W01L40W10W11D21W30W50W10WH·BAN28/03A·SHI08/04A·BKM22/04H·LER25/04A·PYU06/05H·SAR11/05H·NOA15/05A·ARA21/05H·ARA26/05A·ARA04/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.531.640.791.120.31
vs Stronger (5)0.801.200.501.501.001.00
vs Similar (13)1.230.461.670.670.860.29
vs Weaker (12)1.750.332.000.671.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shirak IIShirak II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L14L00D02L10W21W12L01L13L01LH·AND08/04A·SYU14/04H·BEN21/04A·VAN25/04H·ARA30/04H·BAN06/05A·MIK12/05A·NOA21/05H·BKM27/05H·SAR03/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.370.671.200.601.53
vs Stronger (14)0.501.790.431.430.572.14
vs Similar (13)0.770.851.000.830.570.86
vs Weaker (3)0.671.670.501.501.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Andranik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.594.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.583.2%-------✓ Hit
Home win82.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Andranik's squad is €1m more valuable than Shirak II's (€1m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Andranik and Shirak II have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Andranik and Shirak II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Andranik and Shirak II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
AND wins
2
Draws
0
SI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Andranik vs Shirak II · H/A from AND
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/26AShirak II Vs AND0-4
23/09/25HAND Vs Shirak II8-2
30/04/25AShirak II Vs AND2-2
24/10/24HAND Vs Shirak II1-0
16/05/24HAND Vs Shirak II0-0
31/10/23AShirak II Vs AND0-1

AndranikAndranik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/26AArarat II Vs AND0-4
26/05/26HAND Vs Araks Ararat7-1
21/05/26AArarat II Vs AND1-6
15/05/26HAND Vs Noah II3-1
11/05/26HAND Vs Sardarapat1-1
06/05/26APyunik II Vs AND0-1
25/04/26HAND Vs Lernayin Artsakh6-0
22/04/26ABKMA II Vs AND2-0
08/04/26AShirak II Vs AND0-4
28/03/26HAND Vs Banants II4-2

Shirak IIShirak II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/26HSI Vs Sardarapat 20-1
27/05/26HSI Vs BKMA II3-3
21/05/26ANoah II Vs SI3-0
12/05/26AMika Vs SI3-2
06/05/26HSI Vs Banants II5-3
30/04/26HSI Vs Ararat II1-2
25/04/26AVan II Vs SI3-0
21/04/26HSI Vs Bentonit Ijevan0-0
14/04/26ASyunik Vs SI9-1
08/04/26HSI Vs Andranik0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Andranik
Andranik
Armenia: First League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.92
HomeWWDWW2.00
AwayWLWWW1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%58%58%
AVG goals3.423.173.65
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %62%50%73%
Over 3.5 %46%29%62%
Scored2.222.172.27
Conceded1.201.001.38
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Shirak II
Shirak II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL0.82
HomeDLWDL0.77
AwayDLLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%15%21%
AVG goals3.783.544.04
Over 1.5 %84%77%92%
Over 2.5 %64%62%67%
Over 3.5 %48%46%50%
Scored1.301.351.25
Conceded2.482.192.79
BTTS60%65%54%
Clean Sheet12%8%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II512
80%
2.4
134+9
3.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.8
-
3Pyunik IIPyunik II511
60%
2.2
117+4
3.6
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
4AndranikAndranik47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.21.0
-
5MikaMika57
40%
1.4
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
6Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan45
25%
1.2
138+5
5.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
8Banants IIBanants II55
20%
1.0
713-6
4.0
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.6
-
9Noah IINoah II55
20%
1.0
613-7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
10Araks AraratAraks Ararat34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
11Shirak IIShirak II44
25%
1.0
37-4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
12Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 243
25%
0.8
26-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II41
0%
0.2
15-4
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.2
-
14HayqHayq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
15Ararat IIArarat II30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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