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Annan Athletic vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 23/12/2022
Time: 19:45
Final 5-1
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Vs
40%
27%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
39.7%
Avg Implied 53.0% · @ 1.73
Edge
-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.67
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.18
Edge
+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L22D02L11D01L41W20W13L11D31WA·ELG01/10A·STE08/10A·BON11/10H·STR15/10H·DUM29/10A·FOR05/11A·STI12/11H·ELG19/11A·STR26/11A·EAS03/12
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.771.691.771.651.76
vs Stronger (13)1.772.231.672.501.862.00
vs Similar (13)1.621.541.401.201.751.75
vs Weaker (4)1.501.002.501.000.501.00
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L21W01L11D22D11D32W10W01LH·FOR17/09A·STR01/10H·BON08/10A·ELG11/10A·DUM15/10H·STE29/10H·STI05/11A·EAS12/11H·STR19/11A·FOR03/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.370.731.471.201.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.890.500.501.401.20
vs Weaker (21)0.951.570.821.821.101.30
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.2%
@ 1.75+1.0%
Under 2.5
45.8%
@ 1.99-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.9%
Under 3.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
Annan Athletic goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
07.0%6.6%5.3%2.4%0.8%
17.5%13%7.9%3.6%1.2%
26.5%8.8%5.9%2.7%0.9%
33.2%4.4%3.0%1.3%0.5%
41.2%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annan Athletic goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Annan Athletic is 0.33 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Annan Athletic is 0.39 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Annan Athletic is 0.08 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 5.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

150866776967252231458641413131597551310A·EASA·STRH·ELGA·STIA·FORH·DUMH·STRA·BONA·STEA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6021212221222331232223343246354A·EASA·STRH·ELGA·STIA·FORH·DUMH·STRA·BONA·STEA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.8 · Against 7.2 · Total 15.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

24034457951081269139158599741214181822241318A·EASA·STRH·ELGA·STIA·FORH·DUMH·STRA·BONA·STEA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.4 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

160610762336585656355631016135913111181113A·FORH·STRA·EASH·STIH·STEA·DUMA·ELGH·BONA·STRH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7033222522214324334236474376645A·FORH·STRA·EASH·STIH·STEA·DUMA·ELGH·BONA·STRH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 14.0 · Total 23.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

330911514151513114141212111971513208920193024182430223317A·FORH·STRA·EASH·STIH·STEA·DUMA·ELGH·BONA·STRH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.69.73.83.54.120.621.120.1
vs Stronger (22)9.09.98.33.83.04.419.819.220.2
vs Similar (22)10.49.910.83.43.33.521.523.020.3
vs Weaker (6)9.07.310.75.75.75.719.720.319.0
% over line48%52%44%56%57%56%47%36%56%
% under line52%48%56%44%43%44%53%64%44%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.29.23.73.93.521.320.122.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)8.98.98.93.43.43.321.820.922.6
vs Weaker (33)9.49.49.43.84.13.521.119.722.5
% over line38%29%46%48%46%50%50%33%65%
% under line62%71%54%52%54%50%50%67%35%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.2
Stenhousemuir
10.0
Forfar
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.4
Stranraer
9.2
Albion Rvs
9.2
East Fife
9.2
Stirling
8.6
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.6
Stranraer
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Dumbarton
4.2
Stirling
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
East Fife
3.7
Albion Rvs
3.7
Forfar
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.6
Stirling
22.1
Forfar
21.9
Stranraer
21.7
Stenhousemuir
21.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
21.4
Albion Rvs
21.3
East Fife
20.8
Dumbarton
20.7
Annan Athletic
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.5%
Under 9.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.7%
Under 3.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.3%
Under 21.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W01L10W00D20W00D02L10W11DA·ELG01/10A·STE08/10A·BON11/10H·STR15/10H·DUM29/10A·FOR05/11A·STI12/11H·ELG19/11A·STR26/11A·EAS03/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.690.920.711.00
vs Stronger (13)0.621.310.501.670.711.00
vs Similar (13)0.620.770.400.200.751.12
vs Weaker (4)1.250.502.000.500.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D21W00D11D10W10W21W00D01LH·FOR17/09A·STR01/10H·BON08/10A·ELG11/10A·DUM15/10H·STE29/10H·STI05/11A·EAS12/11H·STR19/11A·FOR03/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.400.400.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.440.500.250.600.60
vs Weaker (21)0.430.670.360.450.500.90
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L12L01L01L01L21W20W11D01L20WA·ELG01/10A·STE08/10A·BON11/10H·STR15/10H·DUM29/10A·FOR05/11A·STI12/11H·ELG19/11A·STR26/11A·EAS03/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.801.000.850.940.76
vs Stronger (13)1.150.921.170.831.141.00
vs Similar (13)1.000.771.001.001.000.62
vs Weaker (4)0.250.500.500.500.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L00D01L00D12L01L11D10W00DH·FOR17/09A·STR01/10H·BON08/10A·ELG11/10A·DUM15/10H·STE29/10H·STI05/11A·EAS12/11H·STR19/11A·FOR03/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.331.070.670.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.440.000.250.800.60
vs Weaker (21)0.520.900.451.360.600.40
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners77.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls70.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AA wins
3
Draws
3
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Annan Athletic vs Albion Rvs · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/22AAlbion Rvs Vs AA2-2
26/03/22HAA Vs Albion Rvs2-4
02/03/22AAlbion Rvs Vs AA1-4
20/11/21HAA Vs Albion Rvs1-1
21/08/21AAlbion Rvs Vs AA0-1
24/04/21AAlbion Rvs Vs AA1-0
27/03/21AAlbion Rvs Vs AA1-1
07/11/20HAA Vs Albion Rvs2-3

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/22AEast Fife Vs AA1-3
26/11/22AStranraer Vs AA1-1
19/11/22HAA Vs Elgin1-3
12/11/22AStirling Vs AA0-2
05/11/22AForfar Vs AA1-4
29/10/22HAA Vs Dumbarton0-1
15/10/22HAA Vs Stranraer1-1
11/10/22ABonnyrigg Rose Vs AA2-0
08/10/22AStenhousemuir Vs AA2-2
01/10/22AElgin Vs AA5-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/22AForfar Vs AR1-0
19/11/22HAR Vs Stranraer1-0
12/11/22AEast Fife Vs AR2-3
05/11/22HAR Vs Stirling1-1
29/10/22HAR Vs Stenhousemuir2-2
15/10/22ADumbarton Vs AR1-1
11/10/22AElgin Vs AR1-0
08/10/22HAR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1
01/10/22AStranraer Vs AR2-1
17/09/22HAR Vs Forfar0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.46
HomeWDDLL1.30
AwayLWWDW1.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%35%48%
AVG goals3.203.303.11
Over 1.5 %86%87%85%
Over 2.5 %64%74%56%
Over 3.5 %44%43%44%
Scored1.641.701.59
Conceded1.561.611.52
BTTS68%83%56%
Clean Sheet18%9%26%
Corners9.629.579.67
Cards3.843.484.15
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWL1.04
HomeLWDDW1.04
AwayLLDWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%25%27%
AVG goals2.522.382.65
Over 1.5 %66%62%69%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.000.921.08
Conceded1.521.461.58
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners9.209.219.19
Cards3.663.883.46

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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