PythiaFootballBETA
This Scotland: League Two match between Annan Athletic and Clyde is shaping up to be an open and attacking affair, with both teams averaging over a goal per game when playing weaker opponents at home and away respectively. Annan Athletic have struggled to find form lately, coming off a defeat in their last match against Clyde, while Clyde have momentum on their side after a recent win against Annan Athletic.
The model predicts a home win, with Annan Athletic holding a 50% chance of taking all three points, followed by a 24% chance of a draw and 26% for Clyde to take the win. The expected total number of goals is 3.3, with the most likely total number of goals being 3.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.8% probability. Annan Athletic have averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded at home, while Clyde have averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.54 conceded away against stronger opponents. The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a high probability of 84.8%.
The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5 (84.8%), with Annan Athletic to win (50%), Clyde to win (26%), and the draw (24%).
In a stunning upset, Annan Athletic's win streak came to an end as Clyde secured a 1-2 victory, extending their own run of form. The win marks a surprise turn of events, as Annan Athletic were the pre-match favourite, with a 50% probability of winning. However, the model's selection, a Home win, was incorrect, as Clyde emerged victorious. The model's call was wrong. Meanwhile, the model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, as the final score was 1-2. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit with 84.8% probability.
Annan Athletic| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.37 | 1.97 | 1.69 | 1.81 | 1.00 | 2.14 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 1.36 | 2.57 | 1.50 | 2.62 | 1.17 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (9) | 1.67 | 1.44 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 1.00 | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-3pp vs league) | |||||
Clyde| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.57 | 1.40 | 2.13 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.87 |
| vs Stronger (24) | 1.62 | 1.50 | 2.08 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (6) | 1.33 | 1.00 | 2.33 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-3pp vs league) | |||||
| Clyde goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Annan AthleticClydeAnnan Athletic| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.8 | 9.4 | 10.1 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 23.5 | 23.3 | 23.8 |
| vs Stronger (22) | 9.1 | 8.9 | 9.3 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 23.7 | 23.3 | 24.2 |
| vs Similar (17) | 9.1 | 8.4 | 9.9 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 24.5 | 23.9 | 25.1 |
| vs Weaker (11) | 12.1 | 12.5 | 11.8 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 21.4 | 22.0 | 20.8 |
| % over line | 49% | 47% | 50% | 46% | 44% | 48% | 70% | 63% | 78% |
| % under line | 51% | 53% | 50% | 54% | 56% | 52% | 30% | 37% | 22% |
Clyde| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.8 | 10.3 | 9.4 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 21.2 | 22.3 | 20.2 |
| vs Stronger (40) | 10.2 | 11.2 | 9.3 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 20.5 | 22.4 | 18.7 |
| vs Similar (10) | 8.5 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 23.9 | 22.0 | 25.8 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 43% | 50% | 37% | 44% | 32% | 56% | 43% | 56% | 32% |
| % under line | 57% | 50% | 63% | 56% | 68% | 44% | 57% | 44% | 68% |
Annan Athletic| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.77 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.29 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 0.57 | 0.79 | 0.62 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.83 |
| vs Similar (9) | 0.78 | 0.44 | 1.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 0.71 | 1.14 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
Clyde| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.13 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (24) | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1.17 | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.92 |
| vs Similar (6) | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+27pp vs league) | |||||
Annan Athletic| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 1.20 | 0.69 | 1.19 | 0.71 | 1.21 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 0.79 | 1.79 | 0.88 | 1.88 | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| vs Similar (9) | 0.89 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+17pp vs league) | |||||
Clyde| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (24) | 0.79 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 1.08 |
| vs Similar (6) | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 5.5 cards | 78.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 25.5 fouls | 76.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 2.5 cards | 75.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 71.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 70.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 31/01/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 22/11/25 | A | 1-0 | |
| 25/10/25 | A | 2-3 | |
| 13/09/25 | H | 0-6 | |
| 23/03/19 | A | 2-1 | |
| 09/02/19 | H | 1-1 |
Annan Athletic| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 2-4 | |
| 21/07/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 18/07/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 14/07/26 | H | 0-5 | |
| 11/07/26 | H | 1-4 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 0-3 |
Clyde| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 4-0 | |
| 21/07/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 18/07/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 14/07/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 15/05/26 | A | 4-3 | |
| 12/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 05/05/26 | H | 2-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Elgin | 5 | 11 | 60% | 2.2 | 17 | 5 | +12 | 4.4 | 100% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 2 | Clyde | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 3.4 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 3 |  Forfar | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 80% | 40% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 4 |  Edinburgh City | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 5 |  Stranraer | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 6 |  Spartans | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 4.6 | 80% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | - |
| 7 | Annan Athletic | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | - |
| 8 |  Kelty Hearts | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 9 |  Stirling | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3.6 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 2.4 | - |
| 10 |  Dumbarton | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | - |