Annan Athletic’s recent form shows a struggling side after two straight defeats, yet their home scoring average of 2.2 goals per game against similarly matched opponents suggests they can still find the net. Dumbarton, on the road, has been largely defensive, conceding 1.43 goals on average while scoring only 0.43 against comparable opposition. The model projects a high-scoring encounter with an expected total of 3.3 goals, most likely three in all. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.2 % chance. The favourite outcome is a home win, with probabilities of 56 % for Annan, 23 % for a draw, and 21 % for Dumbarton. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Under 7.5 (98.0 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5 % edge 6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.4 % edge 4 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.1 % edge 6 %), Under 6.5 (94.8 % edge 3 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.3 % edge 5 %), and Home +2 handicap (91.3 % edge 3 %).
Results analysis
The win extends Annan Athletic’s recent form, capping a streak that now includes a victory. The model’s favourite, a Home win at 56%, proved correct as the final score was 2-0, confirming the actual result. The model’s predictions were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.9%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.2%, Under 6.5 hit at 94.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.7%, and Home +2 handicap hit at 91.3%. The model’s selections performed well, with every choice settled in the expected direction.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
56.2%
Avg Implied 47.8% · @ 1.90
Edge
+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Dafabet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.91
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.52
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.80
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Dumbarton win✗ Miss
21.0%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.45
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.68
Marathonbet
3.62
Betano
3.55
Pinnacle
3.52
Dafabet
3.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Annan Athletic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
2.03
1.53
2.00
0.93
2.07
vs Stronger (12)
1.17
2.92
1.17
3.33
1.17
2.50
vs Similar (10)
1.50
1.40
2.20
1.00
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
1.50
1.25
1.25
0.75
1.75
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dumbarton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.83
1.33
1.20
0.87
2.47
vs Stronger (12)
1.33
2.08
1.50
1.17
1.17
3.00
vs Similar (18)
0.94
1.67
1.22
1.22
0.67
2.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.3%
@ 1.18+7.5%
Under 1.5
14.7%
@ 4.14-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.4%
@ 1.64+7.7%
Under 2.5
35.6%
@ 2.14-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Under
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.18
Superbet
2.15
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.15
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.4%
@ 2.57+6.5%
Under 3.5
57.6%
@ 1.44-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.70
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Pinnacle
2.57
Under
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.9%
@ 1.57+4.0%
No
37.1%
@ 2.26-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
No
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Betano
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%@ 6.94+3.7%
2-1
9.7%@ 8.14+4.1%
2-0 ✓
7.9%@ 10.03+3.4%
3-1
6.8%@ 13.41+3.4%
1-0
6.6%@ 8.83+1.5%
2-2
6.0%@ 11.85+2.1%
1-2
5.7%@ 11.29+1.7%
3-0
5.5%@ 16.07+2.7%
Annan Athletic goals ↓
Dumbarton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
3.5%
2.7%
1.1%
0.3%
1
6.6%
10%
5.7%
2.3%
0.7%
2
7.9%
9.7%
6.0%
2.4%
0.8%
3
5.5%
6.8%
4.2%
1.7%
0.5%
4
2.9%
3.5%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annan Athletic goals (down), columns = Dumbarton goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Annan Athletic is 0.60 points better than Dumbarton in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Annan Athletic is 0.80 goals better than Dumbarton in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 0.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Annan Athletic is 0.60 goals better than Dumbarton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Annan Athletic
For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 13.3 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dumbarton
For 4.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 8.5 · Total 18.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Annan Athletic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.8
10.1
3.2
3.2
3.2
23.8
23.8
23.8
vs Stronger (21)
9.6
9.8
9.3
3.0
2.7
3.4
24.5
24.8
24.2
vs Similar (17)
9.1
8.4
9.9
3.8
4.0
3.7
24.5
23.9
25.1
vs Weaker (12)
12.1
12.5
11.8
2.6
3.0
2.3
21.4
22.0
20.8
% over line
50%
50%
50%
46%
46%
46%
72%
67%
78%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
54%
54%
54%
28%
33%
22%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dumbarton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.5
9.6
2.4
3.0
1.8
20.8
21.6
19.8
vs Stronger (22)
11.3
13.0
9.3
2.0
2.6
1.4
21.1
21.4
20.7
vs Similar (28)
10.2
10.6
9.7
2.8
3.3
2.2
20.6
21.7
19.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
63%
47%
32%
46%
17%
44%
53%
35%
% under line
44%
37%
53%
68%
54%
83%
56%
47%
65%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.5%
@ 1.73-4.0%
Under 9.5
50.5%
@ 1.99+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
50.4%
Under 3.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
52.0%
Under 21.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Annan Athletic or Draw✓ Hit
79.0%
Avg Implied 73.9% · @ 1.24
Edge
+5.1%
56%
23%
21%
covers Annan Athletic + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.25
Annan Athletic or Dumbarton✓ Hit
77.2%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.22
Edge
+2.2%
56%
23%
21%
covers Annan Athletic + Dumbarton
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Draw or Dumbarton✗ Miss
43.8%
Avg Implied 51.1% · @ 1.79
Edge
-7.3%
56%
23%
21%
covers Draw + Dumbarton
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.80
SBO
1.80
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.6%
@ 1.14+7.2%
Under
12.4%
@ 4.69-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
Betano
4.75
Superbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.8%
@ 1.76+9.0%
Under
38.2%
@ 1.96-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.96
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.8%
@ 3.37+7.4%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.27-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Betano
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.25
Under
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Annan Athletic over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.9%
@ 6.83+2.4%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.07-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.90
1xBet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Dumbarton over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.7%
@ 1.34+1.7%
Under
29.3%
@ 2.99-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
Superbet
1.30
Under
Betano
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
1xBet
2.95
Dumbarton over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.8%
@ 2.59-0.9%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.44+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.68
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.61
BetVictor
2.60
1xBet
2.60
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Dumbarton over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 5.96-2.7%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.09+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.80
1xBet
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Dumbarton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 10.75-5.1%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Annan Athletic, so a minus line means Annan Athletic give that many goals of a start and Dumbarton receive them. At -1, Annan Athletic must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Annan Athletic win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Annan Athletic)Actual: Draw
Annan Athletic -2
17.5%
@ 6.28+3.2%
Draw -2
17.3%
@ 5.60+1.3%
Dumbarton +2
65.3%
@ 1.28-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.55
Bet365
6.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Handicap -1 (Annan Athletic)Actual: Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic -1
34.7%
@ 3.20+6.9%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 3.91-1.2%
Dumbarton +1
43.8%
@ 1.80-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
Bet365
3.10
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Handicap +1 (Annan Athletic)Actual: Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic +1
79.0%
@ 1.23+6.6%
Draw +1
12.3%
@ 5.58-3.6%
Dumbarton -1
8.7%
@ 7.55-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
Draw
Marathonbet
5.65
Bet365
5.50
Away
Marathonbet
8.10
Bet365
7.00
Handicap +2 (Annan Athletic)Actual: Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic +2
91.3%
@ 1.08+4.7%
Draw +2
6.0%
@ 11.00-2.5%
Dumbarton -2
2.8%
@ 19.00-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Annan Athletic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
1.00
0.67
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.40
1.40
0.40
0.00
0.40
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
1.12
1.25
0.75
0.25
1.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dumbarton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.03
0.47
0.60
0.20
1.47
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.25
0.50
0.50
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.28
0.89
0.44
0.67
0.11
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.6%
@ 1.29-0.8%
Under 0.5
29.4%
@ 3.23+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Under
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Superbet
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.0%
@ 2.39-3.7%
Under 1.5
65.0%
@ 1.51+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Marathonbet
2.41
Pinnacle
2.41
1xBet
2.41
Betfair
2.40
Under
William Hil
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.7%
@ 5.28-3.8%
Under 2.5
86.3%
@ 1.12+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Betano
5.10
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.7%
@ 1.71-3.2%
Under
49.3%
@ 2.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.98
Betano
1.95
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.9%
@ 4.57-4.3%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.15+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.80
Betano
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 9.50-5.9%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.4%
@ 2.19-3.7%
Under
61.6%
@ 1.59+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.23
Pinnacle
2.21
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Under
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
1.55
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 7.30-2.1%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.06+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
7.20
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 11.25-6.5%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Annan Athletic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.27
0.53
1.33
0.67
1.20
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
2.08
0.67
2.50
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (10)
0.80
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.80
1.40
vs Weaker (8)
0.25
0.38
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dumbarton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
0.87
0.60
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
0.83
1.00
0.67
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.78
0.78
0.56
0.56
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.8%
@ 1.17+1.0%
Under 0.5
20.2%
@ 4.37-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.33
Betano
4.25
Superbet
4.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.5%
@ 1.84-0.8%
Under 1.5
50.5%
@ 1.86+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
William Hil
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.2%
@ 3.56-4.6%
Under 2.5
78.8%
@ 1.24+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
60.5%
@ 1.48-1.7%
Under
39.5%
@ 2.44+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.45
Superbet
2.37
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
24.8%
@ 3.24-3.6%
Under
75.2%
@ 1.29+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Betano
3.15
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 8.05-5.2%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.04+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.7%
@ 1.83+0.4%
Under
49.3%
@ 1.86-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Under
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.81
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 5.22-2.0%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.12+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.30
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 9.75-7.4%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.03+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.3%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.1%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.6%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
87.3%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.11
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.3%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.1%
1.15
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
84.1%
1.07
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
79.0%
1.24
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.25
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
79.0%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
-
-
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.2%
1.22
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
75.9%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
1xBet
1.12
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.2%
1.29
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
-
-
+3.6%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.8%
1.34
1xBet
1.34
-
-
-
-
+5.7%
-
Over 2.5 cards
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.7%
1.34
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
Superbet
1.30
+1.7%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.6%
1.29
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
-0.8%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Annan Athletic and Dumbarton have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Annan Athletic and Dumbarton have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Annan Athletic and Dumbarton have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Elgin
Clyde
Forfar
Edinburgh City
Stranraer
Spartans
Kelty Hearts
Stirling