Annan Athletic vs Edinburgh City Result & Analysis

Annan Athletic are the slight favourites, but the model predicts an away win for Edinburgh City. The expected goal total sits at three, with the most likely total being two goals overall. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.2% chance. Annan’s home form shows they average 1.44 goals scored and 1.56 conceded against similar opposition, while Edinburgh City, playing away, averages 1.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded to comparable teams. The model assigns a 32% chance to a home win, a 26% chance to a draw, and a 42% chance to an away win. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 87.1%, Under 25.5 fouls at 83.9%, Over 1.5 goals at 81.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 74.4%, and Under 23.5 fouls at 71.7%. The match will likely feature a modest number of cards and fouls, with a moderate goal output.

Annan Athletic’s win, 2-1, stunned the pre-match favourite Edinburgh City, who had been tipped to triumph with a 42% chance. The model’s call was wrong, as the home side lifted the trophy. The upset came after Annan’s recent form of WLLWL, ending on a victory, while Edinburgh entered from a draw in their last five. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 5.5 cards at 87.1%, Under 25.5 fouls at 83.9%, Over 1.5 at 81.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 74.4% and Under 23.5 fouls at 71.7%. The match finished with the expected total of 3 goals, the most likely scoreline being 1-1.