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Annan Athletic vs Edinburgh City Result & Analysis

Date: 14/03/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-0
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Vs
42%
25%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
41.7%
Avg Implied 47.9% · @ 1.87
Edge
-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.47
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City win✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.42
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D11D00D10W24L12L02L04L33D21WA·EDI24/01H·CLY31/01A·STR07/02H·DUM10/02H·EAS14/02A·FOR21/02A·STI24/02A·SPA28/02H·STI07/03H·ELG10/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.771.931.860.811.69
vs Stronger (10)1.502.002.401.400.602.60
vs Similar (13)1.381.622.001.670.861.57
vs Weaker (7)1.001.711.003.001.000.75
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D14L22D21W02L00D05L03L00D41WA·STR03/01H·STI10/01H·ANN24/01A·DUM31/01H·EAS07/02A·SPA14/02A·CLY21/02A·ELG24/02H·FOR28/02H·STR07/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.801.472.131.331.47
vs Stronger (11)1.091.641.002.001.171.33
vs Similar (12)1.671.581.572.001.801.00
vs Weaker (7)1.432.432.002.671.002.25
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.1%
@ 1.61+7.1%
Under 2.5
35.9%
@ 2.13-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.0%
Under 3.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.1%
No
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.7%
Annan Athletic goals ↓
Edinburgh City goals →
01234
04.7%4.7%4.4%2.3%0.9%
15.4%11%7.8%4.0%1.6%
25.6%8.7%6.8%3.5%1.4%
33.3%5.1%4.0%2.0%0.8%
41.4%2.2%1.7%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annan Athletic goals (down), columns = Edinburgh City goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Annan Athletic is 0.06 points better than Edinburgh City in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Annan Athletic is 0.06 goals better than Edinburgh City in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.25).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Annan Athletic is 0.39 goals better than Edinburgh City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 2.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 6.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 9.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

140337151224871724294636761412896139H·ELGH·STIA·SPAA·STIA·FORH·EASH·DUMA·STRH·CLYA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80125331211331233133833261543H·ELGH·STIA·SPAA·STIA·FORH·EASH·DUMA·STRH·CLYA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 13.3 · Total 23.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

31091014151113710111111206141114812141419292417223120252028H·ELGH·STIA·SPAA·STIA·FORH·EASH·DUMA·STRH·CLYA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

For 3.4 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

130452446251973673628399610710101391012H·STRH·FORA·ELGA·CLYA·SPAH·EASA·DUMH·ANNH·STIA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70231322342334231115447266321H·STRH·FORA·ELGA·CLYA·SPAH·EASA·DUMH·ANNH·STIA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

350818815151614129141520131014149913726233126233523281820H·STRH·FORA·ELGA·CLYA·SPAH·EASA·DUMH·ANNH·STIA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.610.43.43.03.721.721.721.6
vs Stronger (26)9.58.910.23.33.23.320.421.519.1
vs Similar (17)9.79.410.03.62.84.523.422.224.6
vs Weaker (7)12.312.712.03.33.03.521.321.021.7
% over line53%45%62%50%44%56%51%50%52%
% under line47%55%38%50%56%44%49%50%48%
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.09.24.54.54.624.325.223.4
vs Stronger (22)9.28.69.74.34.64.225.126.624.0
vs Similar (16)8.88.29.64.94.75.124.124.323.7
vs Weaker (12)9.311.07.84.54.24.823.525.022.2
% over line43%38%48%72%71%73%73%76%70%
% under line57%62%52%28%29%27%27%24%30%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
East Kilbride
10.8
Stirling
10.7
Elgin
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Dumbarton
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.8
Clyde
9.6
Edinburgh City
9.2
Forfar
9.2
Spartans
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.8
Clyde
4.5
Elgin
4.5
Stirling
4.2
Spartans
4.2
Stranraer
4.1
Annan Athletic
3.8
Dumbarton
3.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
26.9
Edinburgh City
24.4
Forfar
24.4
Elgin
22.4
Clyde
22.0
Stranraer
21.7
Annan Athletic
21.6
Stirling
20.9
Dumbarton
20.3
Spartans
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.4%
Under 9.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.7%
Under 3.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.8%
Under 21.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D00D13L01L01L01L30W10WA·EDI24/01H·CLY31/01A·STR07/02H·DUM10/02H·EAS14/02A·FOR21/02A·STI24/02A·SPA28/02H·STI07/03H·ELG10/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.931.000.380.62
vs Stronger (10)0.801.001.201.000.401.00
vs Similar (13)0.460.540.670.500.290.57
vs Weaker (7)0.711.001.002.000.500.25
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D11D02L00D02L03L00D21WA·STR03/01H·STI10/01H·ANN24/01A·DUM31/01H·EAS07/02A·SPA14/02A·CLY21/02A·ELG24/02H·FOR28/02H·STR07/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.801.000.670.60
vs Stronger (11)0.640.910.801.200.500.67
vs Similar (12)0.750.580.570.711.000.40
vs Weaker (7)0.861.001.331.330.500.75
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D01L00D10W11D11D01L03L03L11DA·EDI24/01H·CLY31/01A·STR07/02H·DUM10/02H·EAS14/02A·FOR21/02A·STI24/02A·SPA28/02H·STI07/03H·ELG10/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.971.000.860.441.06
vs Stronger (10)0.701.001.200.400.201.60
vs Similar (13)0.921.081.331.170.571.00
vs Weaker (7)0.290.710.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L22D10W00D00D03L00D00D20WA·STR03/01H·STI10/01H·ANN24/01A·DUM31/01H·EAS07/02A·SPA14/02A·CLY21/02A·ELG24/02H·FOR28/02H·STR07/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.000.671.130.670.87
vs Stronger (11)0.450.730.200.800.670.67
vs Similar (12)0.921.001.001.290.800.60
vs Weaker (7)0.571.430.671.330.501.50
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls76.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards72.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls71.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Annan Athletic and Edinburgh City have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Annan Athletic and Edinburgh City have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
Annan Athletic and Edinburgh City have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Annan Athletic and Edinburgh City have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AA wins
3
Draws
2
EC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Annan Athletic vs Edinburgh City · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
24/01/26AEdinburgh City Vs AA2-2
15/11/25HAA Vs Edinburgh City1-1
16/08/25AEdinburgh City Vs AA2-2
20/04/24AEdinburgh City Vs AA1-2
27/01/24HAA Vs Edinburgh City3-0
28/10/23AEdinburgh City Vs AA3-2
26/08/23HAA Vs Edinburgh City3-2
22/04/22AEdinburgh City Vs AA2-1

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/26HAA Vs Elgin2-1
07/03/26HAA Vs Stirling3-3
28/02/26ASpartans Vs AA4-0
24/02/26AStirling Vs AA2-0
21/02/26AForfar Vs AA2-1
14/02/26HAA Vs East Kilbride2-4
10/02/26HAA Vs Dumbarton1-0
07/02/26AStranraer Vs AA0-0
31/01/26HAA Vs Clyde1-1
24/01/26AEdinburgh City Vs AA2-2

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26HEC Vs Stranraer4-1
28/02/26HEC Vs Forfar0-0
24/02/26AElgin Vs EC3-0
21/02/26AClyde Vs EC5-0
14/02/26ASpartans Vs EC0-0
07/02/26HEC Vs East Kilbride0-2
31/01/26ADumbarton Vs EC1-2
24/01/26HEC Vs Annan Athletic2-2
10/01/26HEC Vs Stirling1-4
03/01/26AStranraer Vs EC1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.08
HomeDWLDW1.40
AwayDDLLL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals3.544.003.08
Over 1.5 %82%96%68%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %52%56%48%
Scored1.401.920.88
Conceded2.142.082.20
BTTS62%80%44%
Clean Sheet12%8%16%
Corners9.989.5910.38
Cards3.933.454.43
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDW1.36
HomeLDLDW1.29
AwayDWDLL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%33%42%
AVG goals3.223.502.96
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %62%67%58%
Over 3.5 %42%58%27%
Scored1.401.711.12
Conceded1.821.791.85
BTTS60%67%54%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners9.099.009.17
Cards5.165.145.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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