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Annan Athletic vs Elgin Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
vs
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Annan Athletic win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-821W02L01L51W13L24L11D16L28L06LH·KEL29/03H·QUE05/04A·ALL12/04H·ARB19/04A·DUM26/04H·COV03/05H·FOR12/07H·AYR15/07A·ST 19/07A·ARB22/07← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
3.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.232.501.332.331.132.67
vs Stronger (23)1.132.831.452.730.832.92
vs Similar (7)1.571.431.001.252.331.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-810W02L02L40W30W02L15L02L14L08LA·BON29/03H·STI05/04A·EDI12/04H·PET19/04H·STR26/04A·EAS03/05H·RAI12/07A·INV15/07H·EAS19/07A·ST 26/07
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.771.711.650.461.92
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (14)1.362.001.881.620.672.50
vs Weaker (15)1.071.471.751.500.291.43
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Annan Athletic is 0.08 points worse than Elgin in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Annan Athletic is 0.11 goals worse than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Annan Athletic is 0.08 goals worse than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 4.6 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

12021643128758310239253831041012111212711H·COVA·DUMH·ARBA·ALLH·QUEH·KELA·MONA·INVH·STEA·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

501132222122233112312543405434H·COVA·DUMH·ARBA·ALLH·QUEH·KELA·MONA·INVH·STEA·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 8.1 · Total 17.8

⚠️ Fouls

2506891099961581199119413127414191815232020132511H·COVA·DUMH·ARBA·ALLH·QUEH·KELA·MONA·INVH·STEA·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

For 4.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1303784141347391536914810125131112691012A·EASH·STRH·PETA·EDIH·STIA·BONA·SPAH·CLYH·SPAH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

802122232262112421442345822638A·EASH·STRH·PETA·EDIH·STIA·BONA·SPAH·CLYH·SPAH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

2906699209131171411118131315810121112182924212221281823A·EASH·STRH·PETA·EDIH·STIA·BONA·SPAH·CLYH·SPAH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.99.63.02.73.320.020.619.3
vs Stronger (39)9.69.39.92.92.92.919.521.117.6
vs Similar (11)10.112.28.73.52.04.721.218.223.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line59%62%55%44%36%52%37%52%20%
% under line41%38%45%56%64%48%63%48%80%
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.59.23.73.83.623.422.424.4
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (24)9.49.69.23.33.23.522.921.724.4
vs Weaker (24)9.39.59.24.35.13.623.823.124.5
% over line51%50%53%58%63%52%62%50%74%
% under line49%50%47%42%37%48%38%50%26%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.7
Stirling
10.4
Annan Athletic
10.1
Clyde
9.8
Forfar
9.6
Stranraer
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Elgin
9.2
Spartans
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.6
Forfar
4.6
Edinburgh City
4.5
Clyde
4.3
Stirling
4.2
Stranraer
4.0
Spartans
4.0
Annan Athletic
3.7
Dumbarton
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.8
Elgin
23.8
Edinburgh City
23.8
Clyde
22.6
Spartans
22.0
Stirling
21.5
Annan Athletic
19.8
Stranraer
19.6
Dumbarton
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
40.6%
Under 9.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.3%
Under 3.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.6%
Under 21.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D21W01L02L01L02L13L03LH·KEL29/03H·QUE05/04A·ALL12/04H·ARB19/04A·DUM26/04H·COV03/05H·FOR12/07H·AYR15/07A·ST 19/07A·ARB22/07← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.330.271.200.471.47
vs Stronger (23)0.351.520.271.360.421.67
vs Similar (7)0.430.710.250.750.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L01L30W20W01L03L02L12L04LA·BON29/03H·STI05/04A·EDI12/04H·PET19/04H·STR26/04A·EAS03/05H·RAI12/07A·INV15/07H·EAS19/07A·ST 26/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.831.060.760.230.92
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (14)0.790.931.000.750.501.17
vs Weaker (15)0.670.731.250.750.000.71
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W02L01L30W12L22D10W14L15L03LH·KEL29/03H·QUE05/04A·ALL12/04H·ARB19/04A·DUM26/04H·COV03/05H·FOR12/07H·AYR15/07A·ST 19/07A·ARB22/07← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.171.071.130.671.20
vs Stronger (23)0.781.301.181.360.421.25
vs Similar (7)1.140.710.750.501.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L01L10W10W01L12L00D02L04LA·BON29/03H·STI05/04A·EDI12/04H·PET19/04H·STR26/04A·EAS03/05H·RAI12/07A·INV15/07H·EAS19/07A·ST 26/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.930.650.880.231.00
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (14)0.571.070.880.880.171.33
vs Weaker (15)0.400.730.500.750.290.71
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners80.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls79.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners71.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
AA wins
1
Draws
2
ELG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Annan Athletic vs Elgin · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23HAA Vs Elgin4-1
14/01/23AElgin Vs AA1-1
19/11/22HAA Vs Elgin1-3
01/10/22AElgin Vs AA5-1
12/03/22HAA Vs Elgin2-1
15/02/22AElgin Vs AA0-2
11/12/21HAA Vs Elgin4-1
18/09/21AElgin Vs AA0-2

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/07/25AArbroath Vs AA6-0
19/07/25AST Mirren Vs AA8-2
15/07/25HAA Vs Ayr Utd1-6
12/07/25HAA Vs Forfar1-1
03/05/25HAA Vs Cove Rangers2-4
26/04/25ADumbarton Vs AA3-1
19/04/25HAA Vs Arbroath5-1
12/04/25AAlloa Vs AA1-0
05/04/25HAA Vs Queen of Sth0-2
29/03/25HAA Vs Kelty Hearts2-1

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25AST Johnstone Vs ELG8-0
19/07/25HELG Vs East Kilbride1-4
15/07/25AInverness CT Vs ELG2-0
12/07/25HELG Vs Raith Rovers1-5
03/05/25AEast Fife Vs ELG2-0
26/04/25HELG Vs Stranraer3-0
19/04/25HELG Vs Peterhead4-0
12/04/25AEdinburgh City Vs ELG2-0
05/04/25HELG Vs Stirling0-2
29/03/25ABonnyrigg Rose Vs ELG0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.04
HomeLWLDL1.24
AwayLLLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals3.383.283.48
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %42%40%44%
Scored1.261.401.12
Conceded2.121.882.36
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet12%16%8%
Corners9.719.869.55
Cards3.683.244.15
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.24
HomeLWWLL1.52
AwayWLLLL0.91
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%22%
AVG goals2.923.302.48
Over 1.5 %80%89%70%
Over 2.5 %48%59%35%
Over 3.5 %30%33%26%
Scored1.201.590.74
Conceded1.721.701.74
BTTS46%52%39%
Clean Sheet24%26%22%
Corners9.369.509.21
Cards4.725.104.32

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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