Annan Athletic vs Forfar Result & Analysis

The contest between Annan Athletic and Forfar is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win at 38%. The expected total of goals is three, but the most likely total is two, a 24% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.4% probability, a tidy draw that reflects the evenly matched teams. Annan’s home form shows they score and concede 1.71 goals against similar opposition, while Forfar’s away record is 1.67 scored and only 0.83 conceded, suggesting a slight edge for the visitors. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners at 82.6%, Under 5.5 cards at 81.4%, Over 1.5 at 81.0%, Under 25.5 fouls at 74.9%, Under 10.5 corners at 73.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 73.3% (miss), and Over 19.5 fouls at 72.4%. Home win probability stands at 36%, draw at 27%, and away win at 38%. Both sides have shown recent resilience, with Annan coming off a win and Forfar a draw, making the outcome uncertain.

The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an Away win at 38 percent, failed to materialise. The match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. The final score of 2-2 matched the most likely scoreline of 1-2 or 2-1, but the actual result was a stalemate. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 11.5 corners hit at 82.6 percent, Under 5.5 cards hit at 81.4 percent, Over 1.5 hit at 81.0 percent, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 74.9 percent, Under 10.5 corners hit at 73.4 percent, and Over 19.5 fouls hit at 72.4 percent. Only Over 2.5 cards missed at 73.3 percent. Both teams were coming off recent wins and draws respectively, yet the match ended in a balanced 2-2 draw.