Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts Result & Analysis

Annan Athletic face Kelty Hearts with the model favouring an away win, a 47% chance against a 27% home win and a 26% draw. The expected total goals hover near 2.9, but the most likely total is two, a 24% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.5% chance. Annan, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 2.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded, while Kelty, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 2.0 scored and 1.12 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 88.8%, Under 25.5 fouls at 85.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 77.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 77.0% and Under 23.5 fouls at 74.1%. The model’s selection set reflects a tight, low-scoring encounter with Kelty Hearts likely to edge out a victory.

Annan Athletic’s recent win over Dumbarton had them looking sharp at home, but Kelty Hearts, fresh from a defeat, kept their form narrative in check. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved correct as Kelty triumphed 1-2. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 47%. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 5.5 cards at 88.8%, Under 25.5 fouls at 85.6%, Over 1.5 at 79.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 77.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 77.0% and Under 23.5 fouls at 74.1% all came through. The match finished 1-2, confirming the predicted outcome and the accuracy of the model’s picks.