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Annan Athletic vs Spartans Result & Analysis

Date: 18/04/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-2
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Vs
33%
24%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Annan Athletic’s recent form has been shaky, with two straight defeats and a 0-1 loss to Edinburgh City, while the Spartans have come off a draw and a 3-3 stalemate against Elgin. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 44% chance of Spartans triumph, 33% for a home victory and 24% for a draw. The expected total of 3.6 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 9.9% probability. Annan, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, whereas Spartans, on the road against a weaker opponent, average 1.45 scored and 1.27 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 87.9%, Under 25.5 fouls at 82.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.0%, and Under 23.5 fouls at 70.4%.

Results analysis

The Spartans’ win extended their recent run, turning a draw into a decisive away victory. The model’s favourite, an away win at 44 percent, proved correct, and the final score of 0-2 matched the predicted outcome. The model also called the most likely total of three goals, which fell short, but its selections largely hit: Over 1.5 goals at 87.9 percent, Under 25.5 fouls at 82.9 percent, Over 2.5 cards at 77.9 percent, Under 5.5 cards at 76.6 percent, and Under 11.5 corners at 76.0 percent all came through, while Under 23.5 fouls at 70.4 percent missed. The Spartans’ performance, buoyed by a stronger away form, secured the predicted result.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Annan Athletic win✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied 33.2% · @ 2.71
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.36
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartans win✓ Hit
43.7%
Avg Implied 40.1% · @ 2.24
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L04L33D21W30W12L10W12L30WA·FOR21/02A·STI24/02A·SPA28/02H·STI07/03H·ELG10/03H·EDI14/03A·DUM21/03H·STR28/03A·EAS04/04A·ELG11/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.472.001.141.001.75
vs Stronger (11)1.731.912.401.401.172.33
vs Similar (12)1.421.422.001.000.831.83
vs Weaker (7)1.140.861.331.001.000.75
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L40W20W03L21W10W11D11D30W12LA·STR21/02H·ANN28/02H·STI03/03A·DUM07/03H·CLY14/03H·FOR17/03A·FOR21/03H·EAS28/03A·EDI04/04H·STR11/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.101.270.801.931.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)2.381.251.500.753.251.75
vs Weaker (22)1.321.051.180.821.451.27
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.9%
Under 1.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.0%
@ 1.68+14.4%
Under 2.5
31.0%
@ 2.02-14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.6%
Under 3.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.7%
No
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
0-2 ✓
5.2%
0-1
4.6%
2-3
4.5%
Annan Athletic goals ↓
Spartans goals →
01234
03.7%4.6%5.2%3.3%1.6%
13.8%9.9%8.6%5.5%2.6%
23.8%7.4%7.1%4.5%2.2%
32.1%4.0%3.9%2.5%1.2%
40.9%1.7%1.6%1.0%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annan Athletic goals (down), columns = Spartans goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Annan Athletic is 0.64 points worse than Spartans in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.78).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Annan Athletic is 0.36 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Annan Athletic is 0.53 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.08).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 4.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

1402555663622337151224871012946761412A·ELGA·EASH·STRA·DUMH·EDIH·ELGH·STIA·SPAA·STIA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

803342332441253312116662838332A·ELGA·EASH·STRA·DUMH·EDIH·ELGH·STIA·SPAA·STIA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 13.0 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

290915178121381582091014151113710111124252523281929241722A·ELGA·EASH·STRA·DUMH·EDIH·ELGH·STIA·SPAA·STIA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SpartansSpartans

For 5.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

160671156462574374445145131610812711869H·STRA·EDIH·EASA·FORH·FORH·CLYA·DUMH·STIH·ANNA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

801422411124412143115442383532H·STRA·EDIH·EASA·FORH·FORH·CLYA·DUMH·STIH·ANNA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 9.3 · Total 19.2

⚠️ Fouls

240613104159101010141389571113116819142420242114182414H·STRA·EDIH·EASA·FORH·FORH·CLYA·DUMH·STIH·ANNA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.010.33.73.53.922.622.922.2
vs Stronger (24)9.48.710.13.63.43.821.322.220.4
vs Similar (18)8.87.69.93.93.74.224.324.124.4
vs Weaker (8)12.312.512.03.63.83.521.922.021.7
% over line51%43%59%58%54%62%60%57%64%
% under line49%57%41%42%46%38%40%43%36%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.79.13.53.43.519.820.818.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)7.77.27.93.01.83.521.923.521.1
vs Weaker (34)9.49.19.93.73.93.518.920.117.4
% over line40%38%43%54%52%56%33%43%24%
% under line60%62%57%46%48%44%67%57%76%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.8
Dumbarton
10.6
East Kilbride
10.5
Elgin
10.4
Stranraer
10.2
Clyde
9.7
Annan Athletic
9.6
Edinburgh City
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Forfar
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.2
Forfar
4.5
Elgin
4.4
Clyde
4.4
Spartans
4.2
Stirling
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Annan Athletic
4.1
Dumbarton
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
26.7
Forfar
24.4
Edinburgh City
24.1
Elgin
22.5
Stranraer
22.4
Clyde
22.4
Annan Athletic
22.1
Stirling
21.0
Dumbarton
20.4
Spartans
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.8%
Under 9.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.0%
Under 3.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
45.6%
Under 21.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L30W10W30W00D10W00D10WA·FOR21/02A·STI24/02A·SPA28/02H·STI07/03H·ELG10/03H·EDI14/03A·DUM21/03H·STR28/03A·EAS04/04A·ELG11/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.601.210.570.310.62
vs Stronger (11)0.820.911.201.000.500.83
vs Similar (12)0.580.421.170.170.000.67
vs Weaker (7)0.860.431.330.670.500.25
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W10W00D00D10W11D00D00D11DA·STR21/02H·ANN28/02H·STI03/03A·DUM07/03H·CLY14/03H·FOR17/03A·FOR21/03H·EAS28/03A·EDI04/04H·STR11/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.530.400.870.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.880.620.500.251.251.00
vs Weaker (22)0.640.550.550.450.730.64
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L03L03L11D00D12L00D12L20WA·FOR21/02A·STI24/02A·SPA28/02H·STI07/03H·ELG10/03H·EDI14/03A·DUM21/03H·STR28/03A·EAS04/04A·ELG11/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.870.790.570.691.12
vs Stronger (11)0.911.001.200.400.671.50
vs Similar (12)0.831.000.830.830.831.17
vs Weaker (7)0.290.430.000.330.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D30W10W03L21W00D00D11D30W01LA·STR21/02H·ANN28/02H·STI03/03A·DUM07/03H·CLY14/03H·FOR17/03A·FOR21/03H·EAS28/03A·EDI04/04H·STR11/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.530.730.401.070.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.500.621.000.502.000.75
vs Weaker (22)0.680.500.640.360.730.64
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls82.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls70.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
AA wins
1
Draws
2
SPA wins

Head-to-head

Annan Athletic vs Spartans · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26ASpartans Vs AA4-0
06/12/25HAA Vs Spartans1-1
30/08/25ASpartans Vs AA1-0

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26AElgin Vs AA0-3
04/04/26AEast Kilbride Vs AA2-1
28/03/26HAA Vs Stranraer1-0
21/03/26ADumbarton Vs AA2-1
14/03/26HAA Vs Edinburgh City3-0
10/03/26HAA Vs Elgin2-1
07/03/26HAA Vs Stirling3-3
28/02/26ASpartans Vs AA4-0
24/02/26AStirling Vs AA2-0
21/02/26AForfar Vs AA2-1

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HSPA Vs Stranraer1-2
04/04/26AEdinburgh City Vs SPA0-3
28/03/26HSPA Vs East Kilbride1-1
21/03/26AForfar Vs SPA1-1
17/03/26HSPA Vs Forfar1-0
14/03/26HSPA Vs Clyde2-1
07/03/26ADumbarton Vs SPA3-0
03/03/26HSPA Vs Stirling2-0
28/02/26HSPA Vs Annan Athletic4-0
21/02/26AStranraer Vs SPA2-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.12
HomeLDWWW1.54
AwayLLLLW0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%19%
AVG goals3.363.753.00
Over 1.5 %80%92%69%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %44%50%38%
Scored1.361.880.88
Conceded2.001.882.12
BTTS56%71%42%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners9.659.0010.27
Cards4.354.054.64
Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.74
HomeWWWDL1.96
AwayLLLDW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%60%44%
AVG goals2.722.283.16
Over 1.5 %82%72%92%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.581.401.76
Conceded1.140.881.40
BTTS56%48%64%
Clean Sheet32%44%20%
Corners8.938.719.14
Cards4.144.104.19

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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