PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Annan Athletic vs Spartans Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-4
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Vs
30%
24%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Annan Athletic a 30% win probability against Spartans in the Scotland: League Two on 2026-08-01, with 24% for the draw and 46% for Spartans. The model estimates around 3.3 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (22%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (10.7%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (86%).

Results analysis

Annan Athletic finished 2-4 against Spartans (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 30% home win, 24% draw and 46% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (86%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Annan Athletic win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartans win✓ Hit
45.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D21W30W12L10W12L30W02L13L11DH·STI07/03H·ELG10/03H·EDI14/03A·DUM21/03H·STR28/03A·EAS04/04A·ELG11/04H·SPA18/04A·CLY25/04H·FOR02/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.431.671.270.931.60
vs Stronger (10)1.501.801.601.801.401.80
vs Similar (10)1.501.402.001.170.751.75
vs Weaker (10)0.901.101.250.750.671.33
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D11D30W12L20W11D22D02L11DH·FOR17/03A·FOR21/03H·EAS28/03A·EDI04/04H·STR11/04A·ANN18/04H·ELG25/04A·STI02/05A·CLY05/05H·CLY09/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.101.270.871.801.33
vs Stronger (3)3.000.671.501.006.000.00
vs Similar (3)1.671.331.000.503.003.00
vs Weaker (24)1.331.121.270.911.381.31
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.6%
Under 1.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.9%
Under 2.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.9%
Under 3.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.2%
No
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.6%
0-1
5.6%
0-0
4.5%
Annan Athletic goals ↓
Spartans goals →
01234
04.5%5.6%6.2%3.8%1.8%
14.3%11%9.1%5.6%2.6%
23.9%7.2%6.7%4.2%1.9%
31.9%3.5%3.3%2.1%1.0%
40.7%1.3%1.2%0.8%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annan Athletic goals (down), columns = Spartans goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Kelty Hearts
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Annan Athletic is 0.64 points worse than Spartans in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.78).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Kelty Hearts
1.47
Forfar
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Annan Athletic is 0.36 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.67).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Kelty Hearts
1.47
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Annan Athletic is 0.53 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.08).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1305847382555663622337131111710129467H·FORA·CLYH·SPAA·ELGA·EASH·STRA·DUMH·EDIH·ELGH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802111233423324412532236662838H·FORA·CLYH·SPAA·ELGA·EASH·STRA·DUMH·EDIH·ELGH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 13.3 · Total 23.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

290101351313119151781213815820910141523182424252523281929H·FORA·CLYH·SPAA·ELGA·EASH·STRA·DUMH·EDIH·ELGH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SpartansSpartans

For 6.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

16093438367115646257437412711131610812711A·STIH·ELGA·ANNH·STRA·EDIH·EASA·FORH·FORH·CLYA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8011232114224111244122535442383A·STIH·ELGA·ANNH·STRA·EDIH·EASA·FORH·FORH·CLYA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

33071219141113613104159101010141389519332419142420242114A·STIH·ELGA·ANNH·STRA·EDIH·EASA·FORH·FORH·CLYA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.710.24.03.74.422.222.621.7
vs Stronger (23)9.59.19.94.33.94.621.222.520.0
vs Similar (13)8.97.410.74.24.44.025.225.125.2
vs Weaker (14)11.612.910.33.52.74.320.920.121.7
% over line56%52%60%58%52%64%58%60%56%
% under line44%48%40%42%48%36%42%40%44%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.99.34.04.13.920.321.519.0
vs Stronger (4)8.07.58.54.23.05.524.025.023.0
vs Similar (8)7.87.08.23.82.74.422.625.720.8
vs Weaker (38)9.69.39.84.04.43.519.420.618.0
% over line44%40%48%60%62%58%38%48%26%
% under line56%60%52%40%38%42%62%52%74%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
11.0
Dumbarton
10.5
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.7
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Forfar
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.0%
Under 9.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.7%
Under 3.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
47.1%
Under 21.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸ”Ē 6. Odd / Even

ðŸĨ… 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 8. Handicap

ðŸ”Ĩ 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Annan Athletic vs Spartans · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26HAA Vs Spartans0-2
28/02/26ASpartans Vs AA4-0
06/12/25HAA Vs Spartans1-1
30/08/25ASpartans Vs AA1-0

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26HAA Vs Forfar1-1
25/04/26AClyde Vs AA3-1
18/04/26HAA Vs Spartans0-2
11/04/26AElgin Vs AA0-3
04/04/26AEast Kilbride Vs AA2-1
28/03/26HAA Vs Stranraer1-0
21/03/26ADumbarton Vs AA2-1
14/03/26HAA Vs Edinburgh City3-0
10/03/26HAA Vs Elgin2-1
07/03/26HAA Vs Stirling3-3

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HSPA Vs Clyde1-1
05/05/26AClyde Vs SPA2-0
02/05/26AStirling Vs SPA2-2
25/04/26HSPA Vs Elgin1-1
18/04/26AAnnan Athletic Vs SPA0-2
11/04/26HSPA Vs Stranraer1-2
04/04/26AEdinburgh City Vs SPA0-3
28/03/26HSPA Vs East Kilbride1-1
21/03/26AForfar Vs SPA1-1
17/03/26HSPA Vs Forfar1-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD1.12
HomeWWWLD1.48
AwayLLLWL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals3.103.642.56
Over 1.5 %80%92%68%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %40%44%36%
Scored1.361.800.92
Conceded1.741.841.64
BTTS60%72%48%
Clean Sheet16%12%20%
Corners9.949.6810.20
Cards4.043.724.36
Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD1.70
HomeWDLDD1.77
AwayDWWDL1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%50%46%
AVG goals2.702.273.17
Over 1.5 %84%73%96%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %26%19%33%
Scored1.601.351.88
Conceded1.100.921.29
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet32%38%25%
Corners9.128.929.35
Cards4.174.284.04

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElginElgin37
67%
2.3
102+8
4.0
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.30.7
-
2ForfarForfar37
67%
2.3
51+4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.3
-
3ClydeClyde36
67%
2.0
53+2
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
4SpartansSpartans34
33%
1.3
65+1
3.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
5Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City34
33%
1.3
57-2
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.3
-
6Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic33
33%
1.0
46-2
3.3
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
7StirlingStirling33
33%
1.0
46-2
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
8StranraerStranraer33
33%
1.0
24-2
2.0
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
9Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts33
33%
1.0
47-3
3.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.32.3
-
10DumbartonDumbarton33
33%
1.0
15-4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.7
-
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches