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Annan Athletic vs Stranraer Result & Analysis

Date: 28/03/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Vs
44%
25%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
43.8%
Avg Implied 44.0% · @ 2.03
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.40
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stranraer win✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.00
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W24L12L02L04L33D21W30W12LA·STR07/02H·DUM10/02H·EAS14/02A·FOR21/02A·STI24/02A·SPA28/02H·STI07/03H·ELG10/03H·EDI14/03A·DUM21/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.772.001.730.801.80
vs Stronger (10)1.502.002.401.400.602.60
vs Similar (13)1.541.622.141.430.831.83
vs Weaker (7)1.001.711.003.001.000.75
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W11D00D21W12L14L02L21W12L31WA·EAS24/01A·STI31/01H·ANN07/02H·SPA21/02H·ELG28/02A·EDI07/03A·DUM10/03H·EAS14/03A·CLY21/03H·CLY24/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.231.471.181.541.31
vs Stronger (18)1.561.221.171.172.331.33
vs Similar (12)1.421.252.201.200.861.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.5%
@ 1.61+7.8%
Under 2.5
35.5%
@ 2.11-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 3.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.2%
No
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
1-0 ✓
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
4.6%
Annan Athletic goals ↓
Stranraer goals →
01234
04.6%4.5%4.1%2.1%0.8%
15.5%11%7.5%3.8%1.4%
25.9%8.9%6.8%3.4%1.3%
33.6%5.4%4.1%2.1%0.8%
41.6%2.4%1.8%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annan Athletic goals (down), columns = Stranraer goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Annan Athletic is 0.17 points worse than Stranraer in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.31).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Annan Athletic is 0.03 goals better than Stranraer in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Annan Athletic is 0.33 goals worse than Stranraer in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.28).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 5.0 · Against 3.1 · Total 8.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

14036223371512248717242946761412896A·DUMH·EDIH·ELGH·STIA·SPAA·STIA·FORH·EASH·DUMA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80244125331211331232838332615A·DUMH·EDIH·ELGH·STIA·SPAA·STIA·FORH·EASH·DUMA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 14.2 · Total 23.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

3108158209101415111371011111120614111423281929241722312025A·DUMH·EDIH·ELGH·STIA·SPAA·STIA·FORH·EASH·DUMA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

For 5.5 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

13091527310354565424453610710139119699H·CLYA·CLYH·EASA·DUMA·EDIH·ELGH·SPAH·ANNA·STIA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6011123322321111322322364522525H·CLYA·CLYH·EASA·DUMA·EDIH·ELGH·SPAH·ANNA·STIA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

3601111814152157188131286141151061422223612262514251520H·CLYA·CLYH·EASA·DUMA·EDIH·ELGH·SPAH·ANNA·STIA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.410.53.53.33.722.222.421.9
vs Stronger (24)9.78.910.63.33.33.321.022.419.4
vs Similar (19)9.38.89.93.73.34.223.722.924.4
vs Weaker (7)12.312.712.03.33.03.521.321.021.7
% over line53%45%62%52%48%56%56%55%57%
% under line47%55%38%48%52%44%44%45%43%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.59.811.23.53.43.522.323.021.5
vs Stronger (32)10.59.611.53.13.03.322.523.721.2
vs Similar (18)10.410.110.84.14.33.922.022.121.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%59%60%48%48%48%52%55%50%
% under line40%41%40%52%52%52%48%45%50%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
East Kilbride
10.7
Stirling
10.6
Dumbarton
10.4
Elgin
10.4
Stranraer
10.2
Annan Athletic
9.7
Clyde
9.6
Forfar
8.9
Edinburgh City
8.9
Spartans
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.7
Edinburgh City
5.3
Forfar
4.5
Clyde
4.5
Elgin
4.4
Spartans
4.3
Stirling
4.2
Stranraer
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Dumbarton
3.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
27.0
Forfar
24.5
Edinburgh City
24.5
Elgin
22.5
Stranraer
22.2
Clyde
22.1
Annan Athletic
21.7
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.2
Dumbarton
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.0%
Under 9.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.5%
Under 3.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.4%
Under 21.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D13L01L01L01L30W10W30W00DA·STR07/02H·DUM10/02H·EAS14/02A·FOR21/02A·STI24/02A·SPA28/02H·STI07/03H·ELG10/03H·EDI14/03A·DUM21/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.801.070.930.270.67
vs Stronger (10)0.801.001.201.000.401.00
vs Similar (13)0.540.541.000.430.000.67
vs Weaker (7)0.711.001.002.000.500.25
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D10W11D12L02L11D00D11DA·EAS24/01A·STI31/01H·ANN07/02H·SPA21/02H·ELG28/02A·EDI07/03A·DUM10/03H·EAS14/03A·CLY21/03H·CLY24/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.530.760.411.080.69
vs Stronger (18)1.000.500.500.332.000.83
vs Similar (12)0.750.581.400.600.290.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W11D11D01L03L03L11D00D12LA·STR07/02H·DUM10/02H·EAS14/02A·FOR21/02A·STI24/02A·SPA28/02H·STI07/03H·ELG10/03H·EDI14/03A·DUM21/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.970.930.800.531.13
vs Stronger (10)0.701.001.200.400.201.60
vs Similar (13)1.001.081.141.000.831.17
vs Weaker (7)0.290.710.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D11D01L02L00D10W12L20WA·EAS24/01A·STI31/01H·ANN07/02H·SPA21/02H·ELG28/02A·EDI07/03A·DUM10/03H·EAS14/03A·CLY21/03H·CLY24/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.710.760.460.62
vs Stronger (18)0.560.720.670.830.330.50
vs Similar (12)0.670.670.800.600.570.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards78.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners71.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls70.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Annan Athletic and Stranraer have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Annan Athletic and Stranraer have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Annan Athletic and Stranraer have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AA wins
5
Draws
1
STR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Annan Athletic vs Stranraer · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
07/02/26AStranraer Vs AA0-0
27/12/25HAA Vs Stranraer2-2
04/10/25AStranraer Vs AA0-1
25/03/23HAA Vs Stranraer0-0
26/11/22AStranraer Vs AA1-1
15/10/22HAA Vs Stranraer1-1
30/07/22AStranraer Vs AA1-0
05/03/22HAA Vs Stranraer4-1

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26ADumbarton Vs AA2-1
14/03/26HAA Vs Edinburgh City3-0
10/03/26HAA Vs Elgin2-1
07/03/26HAA Vs Stirling3-3
28/02/26ASpartans Vs AA4-0
24/02/26AStirling Vs AA2-0
21/02/26AForfar Vs AA2-1
14/02/26HAA Vs East Kilbride2-4
10/02/26HAA Vs Dumbarton1-0
07/02/26AStranraer Vs AA0-0

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/03/26HSTR Vs Clyde3-1
21/03/26AClyde Vs STR2-1
14/03/26HSTR Vs East Kilbride2-1
10/03/26ADumbarton Vs STR2-0
07/03/26AEdinburgh City Vs STR4-1
28/02/26HSTR Vs Elgin1-2
21/02/26HSTR Vs Spartans2-1
07/02/26HSTR Vs Annan Athletic0-0
31/01/26AStirling Vs STR1-1
24/01/26AEast Kilbride Vs STR0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.06
HomeWLDWW1.48
AwayDLLLL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%40%16%
AVG goals3.503.963.04
Over 1.5 %82%96%68%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %48%52%44%
Scored1.381.960.80
Conceded2.122.002.24
BTTS60%76%44%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Corners9.919.3610.48
Cards4.053.734.38
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.30
HomeDWLWW1.39
AwayWDLLL1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.462.322.64
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %50%43%59%
Over 3.5 %24%18%32%
Scored1.261.291.23
Conceded1.201.041.41
BTTS56%61%50%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners10.499.9111.15
Cards4.164.264.05

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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