Annecy are tipped to lift the trophy, with a 48 % chance of victory, a 27 % chance of a draw and a 25 % chance of Metz winning. The model expects 2.7 goals in total, with the most likely total being 2 goals at a 25 % probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.9 % chance. At home Annecy average 1.53 goals scored and 0.93 conceded against similar opposition, while Metz, on the road, averages 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 % with a 3 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.8 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.5 % with a 5 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3 % with a 5 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.2 % with a 3 % edge) and Over 19.5 fouls (94.3 %). Annecy’s recent form shows a 2-game winning run, last beating Rodez 2-0, while Metz comes off a draw, 1-1 with Laval.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Home win at 48 percent, failed to materialise as Annecy and Metz settled for a 1-1 draw, extending Annecy’s recent run of a draw and Metz’s unbeaten streak. The model’s call was therefore incorrect. The Under 7.5 at 99.3 percent hit, as did Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6 percent, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3 percent, Under 6.5 at 97.9 percent, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.5 percent, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4 percent, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1 percent and Under 5.5 at 94.3 percent. All selections were settled and each hit as predicted.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Annecy win✗ Miss
48.4%
Avg Implied 37.6% · @ 2.47
Edge
+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.62
1xBet
2.57
BetVictor
2.55
Superbet
2.52
William Hil
2.50
Draw✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.18
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.27
BetVictor
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Dafabet
3.25
Metz win✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied 33.1% · @ 2.82
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.10
Pinnacle
3.06
Dafabet
3.05
Marathonbet
2.92
Superbet
2.92
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Annecy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.13
1.69
0.88
1.50
1.43
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
2.00
4.00
0.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (25)
1.60
0.96
1.53
0.93
1.70
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.87
1.06
2.06
1.07
1.64
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
2.00
1.17
1.83
0.40
2.20
vs Similar (17)
1.12
1.94
1.00
2.33
1.25
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Annecy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
@ 1.33+6.3%
Under 1.5
23.6%
@ 3.13-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.32
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Unibet
3.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.8%
@ 2.08+5.5%
Under 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.72-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.14
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.7%
@ 3.72+3.6%
Under 3.5
71.3%
@ 1.24-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.90
Pinnacle
3.85
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Under
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.3%
@ 1.79+2.9%
No
45.7%
@ 1.90-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Betfair
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Betano
1.80
No
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.92
BetVictor
1.91
Betfair
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.9%@ 5.87+5.4%
1-0
9.6%@ 7.30+3.5%
2-1
9.5%@ 9.07+4.6%
2-0
8.7%@ 11.31+4.8%
0-0
7.9%@ 8.44+2.6%
1-2
6.4%@ 9.69+1.8%
0-1
6.1%@ 7.72+0.3%
2-2
5.2%@ 13.49+1.9%
Annecy goals ↓
Metz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
6.1%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
1
9.6%
13%
6.4%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.5%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.7%
5.1%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.9%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annecy goals (down), columns = Metz goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nantes
1.92
Saint Etienne
1.75
Rodez
1.67
Reims
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Metz
1.64
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Sochaux
1.11
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Dijon
1.03
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Annecy is 0.12 points worse than Metz in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.64).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nantes
1.80
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
Metz
1.54
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Clermont Foot
1.11
Sochaux
1.05
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Dijon
0.97
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Annecy is 0.13 goals worse than Metz in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.54).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nantes
0.85
Montpellier
0.92
Metz
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Sochaux
1.47
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
Dijon
1.58
PAU
1.81
Annecy is 0.14 goals worse than Metz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Annecy
For 4.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 11.7 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metz
For 5.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.4 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Annecy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.8
8.2
3.9
4.4
3.3
28.5
28.9
28.2
vs Stronger (7)
8.7
10.7
6.7
3.7
6.0
2.0
28.5
32.3
24.7
vs Similar (43)
8.5
8.6
8.5
3.9
4.2
3.6
28.5
28.4
28.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
42%
33%
60%
68%
52%
85%
83%
88%
% under line
62%
58%
67%
40%
32%
48%
15%
17%
12%
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.2
9.6
3.6
3.5
3.7
23.1
23.6
22.6
vs Stronger (16)
8.8
8.6
9.0
2.7
2.2
3.1
23.4
21.5
25.2
vs Similar (28)
9.8
9.5
10.2
3.9
3.8
4.1
23.0
24.3
21.2
vs Weaker (6)
9.2
9.0
9.2
4.7
7.0
3.5
23.0
26.5
21.2
% over line
41%
36%
46%
56%
58%
54%
67%
68%
67%
% under line
59%
64%
54%
44%
42%
46%
33%
32%
33%
This opponent (Annecy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.2
Rodez
10.0
Saint Etienne
9.5
Metz
9.5
Grenoble
9.5
PAU
9.4
Montpellier
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Nantes
9.3
Dijon
9.3
Clermont Foot
9.2
Sochaux
9.2
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
8.7
Boulogne
8.5
Annecy
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Guingamp
4.7
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.4
PAU
4.4
Annecy
4.2
Sochaux
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Reims
4.1
Rodez
4.1
Laval
4.0
Nancy
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
RED Star FC 93
3.9
Metz
3.8
Clermont Foot
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
Grenoble
3.8
Dijon
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.8
Nancy
29.1
Annecy
28.5
Boulogne
28.3
Laval
28.3
Guingamp
27.7
Dijon
27.6
Clermont Foot
26.7
RED Star FC 93
26.7
Nantes
26.7
Saint Etienne
26.4
Sochaux
26.1
Dunkerque
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Rodez
25.7
PAU
25.6
Reims
24.7
Metz
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.18
Superbet
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Under
Superbet
1.82
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Annecy or Draw✓ Hit
75.5%
Avg Implied 66.4% · @ 1.41
Edge
+9.1%
48%
27%
24%
covers Annecy + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Annecy or Metz✗ Miss
72.9%
Avg Implied 70.9% · @ 1.32
Edge
+1.9%
48%
27%
24%
covers Annecy + Metz
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Draw or Metz✓ Hit
51.6%
Avg Implied 62.6% · @ 1.49
Edge
-11.0%
48%
27%
24%
covers Draw + Metz
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Superbet
1.53
William Hil
1.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Annecy over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.1%
@ 1.30+8.8%
Under
19.9%
@ 3.23-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.57
Betano
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Annecy over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.0%
@ 2.50+10.7%
Under
52.0%
@ 1.49-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.58
BetVictor
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Under
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Marathonbet
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Annecy over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.1%
@ 5.89+6.2%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.11-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
1xBet
5.95
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Annecy over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 14.67+1.6%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.02-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Metz over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.4%
@ 1.34-2.6%
Under
33.6%
@ 2.98+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.06
Unibet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Metz over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.7%
@ 2.71-4.7%
Under
70.3%
@ 1.42+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
Marathonbet
2.82
Betano
2.80
Superbet
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Metz over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 6.54-4.5%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.08+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Superbet
6.60
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Metz over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 16.08-3.4%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Annecy, so a minus line means Annecy give that many goals of a start and Metz receive them. At -1, Annecy must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Annecy win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Annecy)Actual: Metz
Annecy -2
10.9%
@ 10.85+2.7%
Draw -2
15.1%
@ 6.60+1.7%
Metz +2
74.0%
@ 1.13-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
6.75
Superbet
6.60
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Handicap -1 (Annecy)Actual: Metz
Annecy -1
26.0%
@ 5.05+8.4%
Draw -1
22.4%
@ 4.00+0.1%
Metz +1
51.6%
@ 1.49-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Superbet
4.80
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Away
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.48
10Bet
1.45
Handicap +1 (Annecy)Actual: Annecy
Annecy +1
75.5%
@ 1.42+12.1%
Draw +1
14.7%
@ 4.29-6.2%
Metz -1
9.8%
@ 5.73-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Draw
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.33
Unibet
4.00
Away
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
5.85
Superbet
5.65
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Handicap +2 (Annecy)Actual: Annecy
Annecy +2
90.2%
@ 1.10+8.2%
Draw +2
6.9%
@ 8.03-4.4%
Metz -2
2.9%
@ 13.62-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Unibet
7.50
Away
Betfair
17.00
Superbet
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
11.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Annecy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.40
0.69
0.19
0.86
0.64
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.20
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.24
0.67
0.20
0.80
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.93
0.31
1.00
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
1.18
0.33
1.17
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.88
0.33
1.00
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Annecy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.4%
@ 1.42+1.9%
Under 0.5
32.6%
@ 2.69-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.90
10Bet
2.80
William Hil
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Unibet
2.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
28.1%
@ 2.94-3.6%
Under 1.5
71.9%
@ 1.36+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.15
Superbet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.01
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Under
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
BetVictor
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.5%
@ 7.71-2.6%
Under 2.5
90.5%
@ 1.06+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.80
William Hil
7.50
Betano
7.30
Under
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annecy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.4%
@ 2.09-2.9%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.67+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Marathonbet
2.08
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Annecy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 6.67-4.9%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.08+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.20
Marathonbet
6.75
Superbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Annecy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 19.33-3.6%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
23.00
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Metz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.5%
@ 2.23+1.8%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.59-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.32
Marathonbet
2.26
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.18
Under
10Bet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.59
Unibet
1.58
Superbet
1.57
Metz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.4%
@ 7.28-2.3%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.06+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
Superbet
7.40
1xBet
7.40
Betano
7.20
10Bet
6.50
Under
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Metz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 21.83-2.7%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Annecy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
1.00
0.69
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
3.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.72
0.87
0.73
0.90
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.93
0.75
1.06
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.82
0.83
0.67
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.65
1.06
0.67
1.33
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Annecy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
74.4%
@ 1.26+0.7%
Under 0.5
25.6%
@ 3.52-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.60
Superbet
3.55
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.7%
@ 2.25-2.7%
Under 1.5
61.3%
@ 1.60+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.30
William Hil
2.30
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Betano
2.22
Under
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.1%
@ 4.93-3.8%
Under 2.5
84.9%
@ 1.15+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annecy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.0%
@ 1.80-4.5%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.91+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.86
10Bet
1.83
Annecy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 4.99-6.8%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.14+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.15
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Annecy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 14.67-3.6%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Metz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.6%
@ 1.88-1.4%
Under
52.4%
@ 1.81+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.83
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Metz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 5.43-1.6%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.12+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.65
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.45
1xBet
5.35
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Metz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 15.42-3.5%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.9%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.0%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.5%
1.06
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
-
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.06
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
88.2%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.2%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.5%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.1%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.30
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.9%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-6.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.4%
1.33
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
75.5%
1.41
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.5%
1.42
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
+12.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.4%
1.26
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
74.0%
1.13
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
-4.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.9%
1.32
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.9%
1.36
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
BetVictor
1.37
William Hil
1.36
+3.6%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
71.3%
1.24
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.3%
1.42
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.42
+4.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Annecy
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Antoine Larose25%
Mattéo Veillon25%
Axel Drouhin25%
Moïse Sahi Dion25%
Kadan Young25%
Florian Escales0%
Ahmed Kashi0%
Thibault Rambaud0%
Clement Billemaz0%
Julien Kouadio0%
Paul Venot0%
Zepiqueno Redmond0%
Thibault Delphis0%
Mohamed Kone0%
Pascal Mozie0%
Kilyan Jusseron-Veniere0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paul Venot25%
Kadan Young25%
Mohamed Kone25%
Florian Escales0%
Ahmed Kashi0%
Antoine Larose0%
Thibault Rambaud0%
Clement Billemaz0%
Julien Kouadio0%
Mattéo Veillon0%
Axel Drouhin0%
Moïse Sahi Dion0%
Zepiqueno Redmond0%
Thibault Delphis0%
Pascal Mozie0%
Kilyan Jusseron-Veniere0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Clement Billemaz33%
Kilyan Jusseron-Veniere33%
Paul Venot25%
Mohamed Kone25%
Florian Escales0%
Ahmed Kashi0%
Antoine Larose0%
Thibault Rambaud0%
Julien Kouadio0%
Mattéo Veillon0%
Axel Drouhin0%
Moïse Sahi Dion0%
Kadan Young0%
Zepiqueno Redmond0%
Thibault Delphis0%
Pascal Mozie0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antoine Larose25%
Moïse Sahi Dion25%
Florian Escales0%
Ahmed Kashi0%
Thibault Rambaud0%
Clement Billemaz0%
Julien Kouadio0%
Mattéo Veillon0%
Axel Drouhin0%
Paul Venot0%
Kadan Young0%
Zepiqueno Redmond0%
Thibault Delphis0%
Mohamed Kone0%
Pascal Mozie0%
Kilyan Jusseron-Veniere0%
Metz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pape Moussa Fall50%
Giorgi Abuashvili25%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Florian Miguel0%
Jessy Deminguet0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Idris Mohamed0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Idris Mohamed67%
Nampalys Mendy25%
Florian Miguel25%
Jessy Deminguet25%
Pape Moussa Fall25%
Jean Ruiz0%
Giorgi Abuashvili0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jessy Deminguet25%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Florian Miguel0%
Giorgi Abuashvili0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Pape Moussa Fall0%
Idris Mohamed0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pape Moussa Fall50%
Giorgi Abuashvili25%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Florian Miguel0%
Jessy Deminguet0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Idris Mohamed0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
REI (30)
€72m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
Annecy's squad is €32m less valuable than Metz's (€10m vs €43m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
Annecy's attack is €14m less valuable than Metz's (€3m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
Annecy's midfield is €15m less valuable than Metz's (€3m vs €18m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (10)
€34m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Annecy's defence is €3m less valuable than Metz's (€4m vs €8m).
France: Ligue 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Saint Etienne
Reims
Montpellier
Rodez
Nancy
RED Star FC 93
Sochaux
Dunkerque
Guingamp
PAU
Grenoble
Laval
Boulogne
Clermont Foot
Dijon
Nantes