This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.10
1.00
1.07
1.93
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.05
1.32
0.82
1.36
1.27
1.27
vs Weaker (8)
2.62
0.50
1.50
0.25
3.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.5%
No
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
Anorthosis goals ↓
Apollon Limassol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
8.6%
7.7%
4.0%
1.6%
1
6.4%
13%
9.3%
4.8%
1.9%
2
4.5%
7.1%
5.6%
2.9%
1.1%
3
1.8%
2.9%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.5%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anorthosis goals (down), columns = Apollon Limassol goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Larnaca
2.03
Apoel Nicosia
2.03
Omonia Nicosia
1.92
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.72
Apollon Limassol
1.65
Anorthosis
1.47
AEL
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.27
Ethnikos Achna
1.25
Karmiotissa
1.00
Doxa
0.88
Othellos
0.82
AE Zakakiou
0.45
Anorthosis is 0.18 points worse than Apollon Limassol in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Apoel Nicosia
1.75
Aris
1.75
Ethnikos Achna
1.75
Omonia Nicosia
1.72
Pafos
1.67
Apollon Limassol
1.60
AEK Larnaca
1.58
AEL
1.52
Karmiotissa
1.45
Nea Salamis
1.30
Anorthosis
1.28
Othellos
1.20
AE Zakakiou
1.00
Doxa
0.85
Anorthosis is 0.32 goals worse than Apollon Limassol in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.86
Pafos
0.92
Aris
0.94
Apollon Limassol
0.95
Omonia Nicosia
1.03
Anorthosis
1.17
Nea Salamis
1.52
AEL
1.70
Doxa
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.93
Othellos
1.93
Ethnikos Achna
1.98
AE Zakakiou
2.50
Anorthosis is 0.22 goals worse than Apollon Limassol in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
56%
Aris
56%
Apollon Limassol
55%
Anorthosis
54%
Karmiotissa
53%
AEK Larnaca
52%
Nea Salamis
52%
Apoel Nicosia
51%
AEL
49%
AE Zakakiou
48%
Othellos
44%
Omonia Nicosia
44%
Ethnikos Achna
42%
Doxa
40%
Anorthosis is 0.9 percentage points worse than Apollon Limassol in terms of average possession (54% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Anorthosis
For 4.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 16.9 · Total 31.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Apollon Limassol
For 7.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.8 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.4 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Anorthosis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.2
8.6
5.3
5.5
5.0
28.8
28.3
29.3
vs Stronger (9)
7.7
7.0
8.5
6.3
6.6
6.0
31.4
32.4
29.7
vs Similar (33)
9.2
9.9
8.4
5.1
5.3
4.9
27.8
27.2
28.4
vs Weaker (8)
9.1
9.0
9.2
4.6
5.0
4.2
30.5
28.0
33.0
% over line
40%
46%
33%
68%
73%
62%
90%
88%
91%
% under line
60%
54%
67%
32%
27%
38%
10%
12%
9%
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.4
9.0
5.2
5.2
5.2
25.8
26.4
25.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
9.5
9.5
9.5
5.4
5.4
5.4
25.8
26.1
25.5
vs Weaker (13)
10.1
12.4
7.3
4.5
4.6
4.3
25.9
27.1
24.5
% over line
45%
46%
44%
76%
72%
80%
82%
88%
76%
% under line
55%
54%
56%
24%
28%
20%
18%
12%
24%
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Othellos
10.0
Apollon Limassol
9.7
AE Zakakiou
9.7
AEL
9.7
AEK Larnaca
9.5
Nea Salamis
9.5
Omonia Nicosia
9.5
Aris
9.3
Apoel Nicosia
9.1
Karmiotissa
9.0
Anorthosis
8.9
Doxa
8.7
Pafos
8.6
Ethnikos Achna
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ethnikos Achna
5.6
Apoel Nicosia
5.4
Aris
5.4
AE Zakakiou
5.3
Apollon Limassol
5.3
Anorthosis
5.3
Pafos
5.3
Othellos
5.1
Nea Salamis
4.9
AEK Larnaca
4.9
Doxa
4.8
Karmiotissa
4.8
AEL
4.7
Omonia Nicosia
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.6
Anorthosis
28.8
Doxa
27.2
AEL
26.9
AE Zakakiou
26.6
Karmiotissa
26.6
Ethnikos Achna
26.2
AEK Larnaca
26.1
Nea Salamis
26.0
Apollon Limassol
25.9
Pafos
25.4
Othellos
25.0
Aris
24.9
Omonia Nicosia
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.9%
Under 9.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.6%
Under 3.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.5%
Under 21.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Anorthosis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.27
0.47
0.40
0.93
0.13
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.10
0.50
0.20
0.80
0.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
0.00
0.50
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.40
0.67
1.07
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.77
0.27
0.82
0.91
0.73
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.25
0.75
0.25
1.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anorthosis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Anorthosis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.63
1.13
0.53
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.00
1.33
0.67
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (20)
1.10
0.60
1.20
0.50
1.00
0.70
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
0.60
0.40
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
0.25
0.75
0.00
2.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anorthosis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Anorthosis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sergio Castel Martínez67%
Chico Banza25%
Sekou Gassama25%
Moussa Wagué0%
Iván Arboleda0%
Majeed Waris0%
Anderson Correia0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Hélder Ferreira0%
Kiko0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Ousseynou Thioune0%
Christian Makoun0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Nabil Marmouk0%
Dimitrianos Tzouliou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Iván Arboleda50%
Chico Banza50%
Minas Antoniou50%
Nabil Marmouk40%
Majeed Waris33%
Dimitrianos Tzouliou33%
Christian Makoun25%
Anderson Correia20%
Moussa Wagué0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Hélder Ferreira0%
Kiko0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Ousseynou Thioune0%
Sekou Gassama0%
Sergio Castel Martínez0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Majeed Waris33%
Moussa Wagué0%
Iván Arboleda0%
Chico Banza0%
Anderson Correia0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Hélder Ferreira0%
Kiko0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Ousseynou Thioune0%
Christian Makoun0%
Sekou Gassama0%
Sergio Castel Martínez0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Nabil Marmouk0%
Dimitrianos Tzouliou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chico Banza50%
Sekou Gassama25%
Danil Paroutis25%
Hélder Ferreira20%
Moussa Wagué0%
Iván Arboleda0%
Majeed Waris0%
Anderson Correia0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Kiko0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Ousseynou Thioune0%
Christian Makoun0%
Sergio Castel Martínez0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Nabil Marmouk0%
Dimitrianos Tzouliou0%
Apollon Limassol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danilo Špoljarić33%
Ángelo Sagal33%
Pedro Marques25%
Mathieu Valbuena0%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Giorgos Malekkidis0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Israel Coll0%
Mushaga Bakenga0%
Valentin Costache0%
Andrei Artean0%
Peter Leeuwenburgh0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Eliel Peretz0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Godswill Ekpolo40%
Danilo Špoljarić33%
Pedro Marques25%
Giorgos Malekkidis25%
Israel Coll25%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis25%
Tendayi Darikwa20%
Mathieu Valbuena0%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Ángelo Sagal0%
Mushaga Bakenga0%
Valentin Costache0%
Andrei Artean0%
Peter Leeuwenburgh0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Eliel Peretz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mathieu Valbuena0%
Pedro Marques0%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Danilo Špoljarić0%
Giorgos Malekkidis0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Israel Coll0%
Ángelo Sagal0%
Mushaga Bakenga0%
Valentin Costache0%
Andrei Artean0%
Peter Leeuwenburgh0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Eliel Peretz0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pedro Marques50%
Mathieu Valbuena25%
Giorgos Malekkidis25%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Danilo Špoljarić0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Israel Coll0%
Ángelo Sagal0%
Mushaga Bakenga0%
Valentin Costache0%
Andrei Artean0%
Peter Leeuwenburgh0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Eliel Peretz0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
Anorthosis's squad is €9m less valuable than Apollon Limassol's (€7m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Anorthosis's attack is €4m less valuable than Apollon Limassol's (€2m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Anorthosis's midfield is €1m less valuable than Apollon Limassol's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
Anorthosis's defence is €3m less valuable than Apollon Limassol's (€3m vs €7m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
Pafos
AEL
Nea Salamis
Ethnikos Achna
Karmiotissa
Doxa
Othellos
AE Zakakiou