Antalyaspor is set to face Pendikspor in a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.4 goals. The home side has been struggling, coming off a defeat in their last match, but they still hold a 48% chance of winning at home. The away side has also been struggling, but they have a 28% chance of winning. The model's prediction is a home win, which is the most likely outcome with a 48% probability.
The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, but the most likely total number of goals is 3, with a 22% probability. Antalyaspor has been averaging 1.43 goals scored and 2.14 goals conceded at home, while Pendikspor has been averaging 0.73 goals scored and 1.36 goals conceded away from home.
The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals with a 86.8% probability, Over 21.5 fouls with a 77.8% probability, Home or Away with a 76.4% probability, Over 3.5 cards with a 76.1% probability, and Home or Draw with a 72% probability. The home win percentage is 48%, the draw percentage is 24%, and the away win percentage is 28%.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Antalyaspor, fell short as Pendikspor snatched a 3-2 away win, extending their recent run of victories. The model had tipped a home win with a 48 % probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 2-3 confirmed the away triumph. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2 %, Under 7.5 hit at 97.5 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.8 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.0 %, Under 6.5 hit at 93.9 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 93.7 %, while Away under 1.5 HT goals missed at 89.7 %. The match delivered more goals than the expected 3.4, but the total stayed under 7.5 as predicted.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Antalyaspor win✗ Miss
48.3%
Avg Implied 41.8% · @ 2.18
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.34
William Hil
2.30
Superbet
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Betano
2.22
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.33
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.71
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Dafabet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Pendikspor win✓ Hit
28.0%
Avg Implied 30.8% · @ 2.96
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.13
BetVictor
3.10
Betano
3.05
1xBet
3.00
Superbet
3.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Antalyaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.67
1.33
1.73
0.40
1.60
vs Stronger (9)
1.33
2.33
1.33
2.17
1.33
2.67
vs Similar (21)
0.67
1.38
1.33
1.44
0.17
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pendikspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.27
1.33
0.80
1.27
1.73
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
1.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.33
1.22
1.31
0.69
1.36
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.8%
@ 1.27+14.2%
Under 1.5
13.2%
@ 3.37-14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.55
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.0%
@ 1.89+17.8%
Under 2.5
33.0%
@ 1.83-17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.96
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
Betfair
1.85
Bet365
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.83
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.2%
@ 3.21+16.4%
Under 3.5
54.8%
@ 1.30-16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.33
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Under
Betfair
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.4%
@ 1.71+13.3%
No
32.6%
@ 2.01-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
No
William Hil
2.10
Betfair
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%@ 5.87+2.7%
2-1
9.1%@ 8.08+3.7%
1-2
6.8%@ 9.70+2.3%
2-2
6.7%@ 12.19+3.1%
2-0
6.2%@ 10.09+1.8%
3-1
6.0%@ 16.34+3.3%
1-0
5.3%@ 7.22-0.7%
3-2
4.4%@ 24.32+2.6%
Antalyaspor goals ↓
Pendikspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
3.8%
3.5%
1.7%
0.6%
1
5.3%
10%
6.8%
3.4%
1.2%
2
6.2%
9.1%
6.7%
3.3%
1.2%
3
4.1%
6.0%
4.4%
2.2%
0.8%
4
2.0%
3.0%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Antalyaspor goals (down), columns = Pendikspor goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Antalyaspor is 0.20 points better than Pendikspor in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Antalyaspor is 0.20 goals better than Pendikspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Antalyaspor is 0.20 goals better than Pendikspor in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Antalyaspor is 3.2 percentage points better than Pendikspor in terms of average possession (55% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Antalyaspor
For 4.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.9 · Total 6.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 15.4 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pendikspor
For 5.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Antalyaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.6
9.0
4.5
4.8
4.1
27.2
29.4
25.0
vs Stronger (15)
9.3
9.5
9.0
4.1
2.9
5.8
26.4
26.2
26.7
vs Similar (35)
9.3
9.6
9.0
4.7
5.9
3.6
27.5
31.1
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
59%
45%
60%
60%
60%
89%
95%
82%
% under line
48%
41%
55%
40%
40%
40%
11%
5%
18%
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pendikspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.4
8.4
4.7
4.9
4.6
26.6
26.7
26.4
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
7.0
10.0
5.3
5.5
5.0
23.3
21.0
28.0
vs Similar (47)
8.5
8.6
8.3
4.7
4.9
4.6
26.8
27.3
26.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
35%
38%
66%
67%
65%
83%
83%
83%
% under line
64%
65%
62%
34%
33%
35%
17%
17%
17%
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mardin 1969
10.0
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.6
Bandırmaspor
9.3
Antalyaspor
9.3
Bodrum FK
9.2
Bursaspor
9.1
Iğdır FK
9.0
Ümraniyespor
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.8
Esenler Erokspor
8.7
Manisa F.K.
8.5
Pendikspor
8.4
Vanspor FK
8.3
İstanbulspor
8.3
Boluspor
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.2
Sarıyer
7.9
Batman Petrolspor
7.5
Muğlaspor
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Batman Petrolspor
7.5
Antalyaspor
5.3
Vanspor FK
5.2
Sarıyer
5.1
Sivasspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Pendikspor
5.0
Boluspor
5.0
Manisa F.K.
4.8
Iğdır FK
4.8
İstanbulspor
4.7
Keçiörengücü
4.7
Bandırmaspor
4.7
Kayserispor
4.5
Bursaspor
4.4
Fatih Karagümrük
4.4
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Muğlaspor
4.0
Bodrum FK
4.0
Mardin 1969
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
39.0
Bursaspor
29.1
Fatih Karagümrük
29.0
Vanspor FK
27.7
Antalyaspor
27.2
Pendikspor
26.3
Mardin 1969
26.0
Boluspor
25.6
Kayserispor
25.0
Bodrum FK
24.1
Bandırmaspor
23.8
Keçiörengücü
23.5
Iğdır FK
23.5
Manisa F.K.
23.4
Sarıyer
23.3
İstanbulspor
23.2
Ümraniyespor
23.1
Sivasspor
23.0
Batman Petrolspor
23.0
Esenler Erokspor
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.2%
@ 2.24-2.0%
Under 9.5
60.8%
@ 1.57+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.31
Pinnacle
2.22
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.21
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.8%
Under 3.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.1%
Under 21.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Antalyaspor or Draw✗ Miss
72.0%
Avg Implied 69.2% · @ 1.33
Edge
+2.7%
48%
24%
28%
covers Antalyaspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Antalyaspor or Pendikspor✓ Hit
76.3%
Avg Implied 72.7% · @ 1.26
Edge
+3.6%
48%
24%
28%
covers Antalyaspor + Pendikspor
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Draw or Pendikspor✓ Hit
51.7%
Avg Implied 58.1% · @ 1.58
Edge
-6.4%
48%
24%
28%
covers Draw + Pendikspor
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.60
BetVictor
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Antalyaspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.1%
@ 1.23+10.9%
Under
13.9%
@ 3.73-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
3.97
BetVictor
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Antalyaspor over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
58.6%
@ 2.16+15.8%
Under
41.4%
@ 1.62-15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
BetVictor
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
BetVictor
1.62
Antalyaspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
31.6%
@ 4.70+11.9%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.15-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Superbet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
Antalyaspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 10.24+4.6%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.03-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
9.20
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Pendikspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.2%
@ 1.34+8.5%
Under
22.8%
@ 2.94-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.98
Superbet
2.95
Pendikspor over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
43.5%
@ 2.70+9.2%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.41-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.68
Under
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Pendikspor over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
18.5%
@ 6.59+4.5%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.08-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
6.70
Betfair
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Pendikspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 14.88-0.2%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.02+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Antalyaspor, so a minus line means Antalyaspor give that many goals of a start and Pendikspor receive them. At -1, Antalyaspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Antalyaspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Antalyaspor)Actual: Pendikspor
Antalyaspor -2
13.3%
@ 9.50+3.8%
Draw -2
14.8%
@ 6.42+0.8%
Pendikspor +2
71.8%
@ 1.18-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.50
Marathonbet
9.00
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
Away
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Antalyaspor)Actual: Pendikspor
Antalyaspor -1
28.2%
@ 4.09+6.8%
Draw -1
20.1%
@ 3.77-3.1%
Pendikspor +1
51.7%
@ 1.58-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Unibet
3.45
Draw
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
Unibet
3.25
Away
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.53
Handicap +1 (Antalyaspor)Actual: Draw
Antalyaspor +1
72.0%
@ 1.31+4.0%
Draw +1
14.9%
@ 4.78-3.9%
Pendikspor -1
13.2%
@ 6.70-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.40
Handicap +2 (Antalyaspor)Actual: Antalyaspor
Antalyaspor +2
86.8%
@ 1.09+1.6%
Draw +2
8.3%
@ 10.00-1.0%
Pendikspor -2
4.9%
@ 17.00-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.09
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Antalyaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.47
0.33
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.78
0.67
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.24
0.62
0.33
0.11
0.17
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pendikspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.53
0.40
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.48
0.54
0.38
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.9%
@ 1.36+1.2%
Under 0.5
31.1%
@ 2.85-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.91
1xBet
2.91
William Hil
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.5%
@ 2.74-1.3%
Under 1.5
67.5%
@ 1.40+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.89
Betano
2.82
Superbet
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 6.89-2.2%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.07+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
7.50
William Hil
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
1xBet
6.75
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Antalyaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.6%
@ 1.94+2.8%
Under
49.4%
@ 1.78-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Antalyaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 5.97+1.9%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.09-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.00
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Antalyaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 10.50-6.0%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Pendikspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.8%
@ 2.25-5.5%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.58+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pendikspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
10.3%
@ 7.63-1.8%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.05+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
7.90
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Pendikspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 11.25-6.4%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Antalyaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.00
0.87
1.40
0.13
0.60
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.56
0.67
1.50
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.76
1.00
1.33
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pendikspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.80
0.40
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.78
0.74
0.77
0.31
0.79
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.2%
Under 0.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
50.2%
Under 1.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
19.2%
Under 2.5
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Antalyaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
58.7%
Under
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Antalyaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
28.3%
Under
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Antalyaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pendikspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.6%
Under
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pendikspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.4%
Under
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pendikspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
+1.8%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.8%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.8%
1.27
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.28
+14.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
86.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
-
-5.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
86.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-4.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.1%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
+10.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.6%
1.09
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.8%
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+1.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
81.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
-4.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
77.2%
1.34
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.3%
1.26
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
73.5%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
-11.7%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
72.4%
1.28
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.27
-
-
-
+2.0%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
72.0%
1.33
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
+2.7%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
72.0%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
-
-
-
+4.0%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
71.8%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Antalyaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
N. Storm33%
Soner Dikmen33%
Ramzi Safouri33%
M. Şimşek33%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz25%
Yohan Boli0%
S. van de Streek0%
Bünyamin Balcı0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
S. Karakoç0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Soner Dikmen67%
Yohan Boli33%
Ramzi Safouri33%
Bünyamin Balcı25%
S. Karakoç25%
N. Storm0%
S. van de Streek0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz0%
M. Şimşek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
S. van de Streek50%
Yohan Boli33%
N. Storm0%
Bünyamin Balcı0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
Soner Dikmen0%
Ramzi Safouri0%
S. Karakoç0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz0%
M. Şimşek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Şimşek33%
Yohan Boli0%
N. Storm0%
S. van de Streek0%
Bünyamin Balcı0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
Soner Dikmen0%
Ramzi Safouri0%
S. Karakoç0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz0%
Pendikspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuel Abifade33%
Görkem Bitin33%
Thuram25%
M. Özdemir25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
V. Soldo0%
B. Karadeniz0%
H. Yeşil0%
K. Kalafat0%
Y. Sönmez0%
Furkan Dogan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Özdemir50%
V. Soldo33%
B. Karadeniz25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
Thuram0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
H. Yeşil0%
Samuel Abifade0%
K. Kalafat0%
Görkem Bitin0%
Y. Sönmez0%
Furkan Dogan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thuram25%
H. Yeşil25%
Y. Sönmez25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
V. Soldo0%
B. Karadeniz0%
Samuel Abifade0%
K. Kalafat0%
Görkem Bitin0%
M. Özdemir0%
Furkan Dogan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Abifade33%
Görkem Bitin33%
B. Karadeniz25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
Thuram0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
V. Soldo0%
H. Yeşil0%
K. Kalafat0%
Y. Sönmez0%
M. Özdemir0%
Furkan Dogan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Antalyaspor's squad is €9m more valuable than Pendikspor's (€16m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Antalyaspor's attack is €3m more valuable than Pendikspor's (€5m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Antalyaspor's midfield is €2m more valuable than Pendikspor's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Antalyaspor's defence is €4m more valuable than Pendikspor's (€7m vs €3m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor