Antalyaspor’s return to home ground after a win against Bandırmaspor sets a cautiously optimistic tone, yet the balance remains razor-thin as the model still favours a home victory. The probabilities read 40% for a win, 26% for a draw and 34% for a Sivasspor win. The expected total of 3.1 goals points to a lively match, but the most probable total is two goals, with a 22% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 11.7% probability. Antalyaspor average home scoring sits at 1.4 with 1.6 conceded against similar opposition, while Sivasspor’s away average is 1.0 scored and 1.15 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.9% with a 5% edge), Under 6.5 (95.9% with no edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.1% with a 7% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (93.5% with a 1% edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (91.6% with a 2% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Antalyaspor win
40.6%
Avg Implied 42.3% · @ 2.16
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.26
William Hil
2.25
Betano
2.22
Dafabet
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Draw
25.8%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.28
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.43
Dafabet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Betano
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Sivasspor win
33.7%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.06
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.55
Dafabet
3.10
Betano
3.10
Pinnacle
3.01
1xBet
3.01
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Antalyaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.67
1.40
1.73
0.47
1.60
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
2.25
1.40
2.00
1.33
2.67
vs Similar (22)
0.77
1.45
1.40
1.60
0.25
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sivasspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sivasspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.30
1.29
1.35
1.00
1.23
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (28)
1.18
1.25
1.31
1.38
1.00
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.1%
@ 1.28+11.0%
Under 1.5
16.9%
@ 3.30-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.47
BetVictor
3.40
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.6%
@ 1.90+11.7%
Under 2.5
39.4%
@ 1.82-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.90
Unibet
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.86
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.3%
@ 3.17+9.2%
Under 3.5
61.7%
@ 1.30-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.30
Pinnacle
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Unibet
3.20
1xBet
3.08
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
63.6%
@ 1.72+10.0%
No
36.4%
@ 1.98-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.76
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
No
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.01
BetVictor
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 5.91+4.3%
2-1
8.8%@ 8.26+3.5%
1-2
7.9%@ 9.94+3.5%
2-2
6.5%@ 12.36+3.0%
1-0
6.1%@ 7.44+0.2%
2-0
5.9%@ 10.04+1.6%
0-0
5.4%@ 8.91+0.5%
0-1
5.4%@ 8.91+0.5%
Antalyaspor goals ↓
Sivasspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
5.4%
4.8%
2.4%
0.9%
1
6.1%
12%
7.9%
3.9%
1.5%
2
5.9%
8.8%
6.5%
3.2%
1.2%
3
3.2%
4.8%
3.6%
1.8%
0.7%
4
1.3%
2.0%
1.5%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Antalyaspor goals (down), columns = Sivasspor goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Antalyaspor is 0.60 points better than Sivasspor in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Antalyaspor is 0.60 goals better than Sivasspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Antalyaspor is 0.40 goals worse than Sivasspor in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Antalyaspor is 6.2 percentage points better than Sivasspor in terms of average possession (55% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Antalyaspor
For 4.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 16.4 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sivasspor
For 5.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Antalyaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.7
9.1
4.6
5.0
4.1
27.1
29.5
24.6
vs Stronger (14)
9.7
10.3
9.0
4.1
2.9
5.8
26.4
26.1
26.7
vs Similar (36)
9.3
9.4
9.2
4.8
6.0
3.5
27.5
30.9
23.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
61%
43%
62%
65%
58%
89%
96%
81%
% under line
48%
39%
57%
38%
35%
42%
11%
4%
19%
This opponent (Sivasspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sivasspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.9
8.6
4.3
4.9
3.8
23.8
24.9
22.7
vs Stronger (4)
8.8
11.0
8.0
2.5
0.0
3.3
16.5
19.0
15.7
vs Similar (45)
9.3
9.9
8.7
4.6
5.1
4.0
24.5
25.2
23.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
46%
48%
43%
64%
76%
52%
59%
57%
61%
% under line
54%
52%
57%
36%
24%
48%
41%
43%
39%
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.5
Antalyaspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Bandırmaspor
9.1
Iğdır FK
9.0
Bodrum FK
8.9
Ümraniyespor
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.8
Manisa F.K.
8.7
Mardin 1969
8.6
İstanbulspor
8.4
Pendikspor
8.4
Boluspor
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.2
Batman Petrolspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.8
Muğlaspor
6.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
6.8
Batman Petrolspor
5.8
Antalyaspor
5.3
Pendikspor
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Vanspor FK
5.1
Boluspor
5.1
Manisa F.K.
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
4.9
Iğdır FK
4.9
Bandırmaspor
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.7
Keçiörengücü
4.6
Kayserispor
4.6
Bursaspor
4.5
Fatih Karagümrük
4.3
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.2
Mardin 1969
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
30.8
Bursaspor
28.9
Fatih Karagümrük
28.7
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.4
Pendikspor
26.5
Batman Petrolspor
26.2
Mardin 1969
25.6
Boluspor
25.6
Kayserispor
24.8
Bandırmaspor
24.2
Bodrum FK
23.9
Iğdır FK
23.8
Keçiörengücü
23.7
Sivasspor
23.7
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Sarıyer
23.4
Ümraniyespor
23.2
İstanbulspor
23.1
Esenler Erokspor
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.0%
Under 9.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
76.3%
Under 3.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.4%
Under 21.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Antalyaspor or Draw
66.3%
Avg Implied 70.3% · @ 1.31
Edge
-4.0%
41%
26%
34%
covers Antalyaspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Antalyaspor or Sivasspor
74.2%
Avg Implied 72.3% · @ 1.27
Edge
+2.0%
41%
26%
34%
covers Antalyaspor + Sivasspor
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.25
Draw or Sivasspor
59.4%
Avg Implied 57.4% · @ 1.60
Edge
+2.0%
41%
26%
34%
covers Draw + Sivasspor
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.68
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Antalyaspor over/under 0.5
Over
80.7%
@ 1.23+5.3%
Under
19.3%
@ 3.78-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.00
Pinnacle
3.78
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.70
1xBet
3.65
Antalyaspor over/under 1.5
Over
49.0%
@ 2.15+5.9%
Under
51.0%
@ 1.63-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Unibet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Antalyaspor over/under 2.5
Over
22.9%
@ 4.73+3.3%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.15-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Antalyaspor over/under 3.5
Over
8.5%
@ 10.44-0.5%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.03+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Sivasspor over/under 0.5
Over
77.4%
@ 1.36+9.5%
Under
22.6%
@ 2.87-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.03
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.95
1xBet
2.91
Marathonbet
2.91
Sivasspor over/under 1.5
Over
43.8%
@ 2.70+9.4%
Under
56.2%
@ 1.41-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.74
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.64
Marathonbet
2.64
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Sivasspor over/under 2.5
Over
18.8%
@ 6.50+4.5%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.08-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Sivasspor over/under 3.5
Over
6.4%
@ 15.00+0.0%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.02-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Antalyaspor, so a minus line means Antalyaspor give that many goals of a start and Sivasspor receive them. At -1, Antalyaspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Antalyaspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Antalyaspor)
Antalyaspor -2
8.8%
@ 9.33-0.8%
Draw -2
12.5%
@ 6.23-1.9%
Sivasspor +2
78.7%
@ 1.18+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.50
Marathonbet
8.50
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Antalyaspor)
Antalyaspor -1
21.3%
@ 3.91-1.0%
Draw -1
19.3%
@ 3.62-4.7%
Sivasspor +1
59.4%
@ 1.62+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Unibet
3.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.00
Away
Unibet
1.68
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.55
Handicap +1 (Antalyaspor)
Antalyaspor +1
66.3%
@ 1.31-0.9%
Draw +1
17.3%
@ 4.75-1.3%
Sivasspor -1
16.3%
@ 6.28+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.50
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
Handicap +2 (Antalyaspor)
Antalyaspor +2
83.7%
@ 1.10-1.1%
Draw +2
10.2%
@ 9.50+0.4%
Sivasspor -2
6.2%
@ 17.00+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Away
Bet365
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Antalyaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.47
0.33
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.62
0.80
0.40
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.27
0.68
0.30
0.30
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Sivasspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sivasspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.76
0.76
0.69
0.46
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.61
0.75
0.75
0.67
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.4%
@ 1.38+5.4%
Under 0.5
27.6%
@ 2.79-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Under
William Hil
3.00
Pinnacle
2.99
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.1%
@ 2.76+3.6%
Under 1.5
62.9%
@ 1.39-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
Betano
2.82
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.74
Under
BetVictor
1.41
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 6.93-0.2%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.07+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
7.50
William Hil
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Antalyaspor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.0%
@ 1.95+3.4%
Under
49.0%
@ 1.77-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Under
1xBet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
Antalyaspor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.5%
@ 5.93-1.0%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.09+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.90
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Antalyaspor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.5%
@ 10.50-5.4%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Sivasspor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.0%
@ 2.24+6.0%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.56-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.19
Under
Marathonbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.53
Sivasspor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.9%
@ 7.53-0.4%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.05+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
7.50
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Sivasspor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Antalyaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.00
0.93
1.40
0.13
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.62
0.60
1.60
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.77
1.10
1.30
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Sivasspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sivasspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.53
0.59
0.31
0.77
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.46
0.64
0.56
0.62
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.2%
@ 1.23+8.4%
Under 0.5
16.8%
@ 3.64-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Under
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.70
William Hil
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.2%
@ 2.09+4.8%
Under 1.5
50.8%
@ 1.67-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Betano
2.02
Under
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
William Hil
1.65
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.9%
@ 4.37+3.8%
Under 2.5
75.1%
@ 1.17-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Antalyaspor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
61.4%
@ 1.66+5.7%
Under
38.6%
@ 2.08-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.04
Antalyaspor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.2%
@ 4.13+3.9%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.19-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Antalyaspor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.2%
@ 8.50-5.7%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.04+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Sivasspor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.7%
@ 1.86+3.2%
Under
47.3%
@ 1.82-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Sivasspor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.2%
@ 5.22-2.4%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.11+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.40
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Sivasspor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.4%
@ 10.00-2.9%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.02+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
Under 6.5
95.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+0.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.8%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.7%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.9%
Away under 3.5 goals
93.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-0.0%
Home under 3.5 goals
91.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+0.5%
Under 5.5
90.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-1.9%
Over 2.5 cards
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.1%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
+0.4%
Over 19.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.07
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
+0.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.5%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
+1.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.8%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
+2.4%
Home +2 handicap
83.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-1.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.23
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
+8.4%
Over 1.5
83.1%
1.28
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
+11.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
81.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-4.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
80.7%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
+5.3%
Under 11.5 corners
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
79.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-5.6%
Away +2 handicap
78.7%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+2.7%
Away over 0.5 goals
77.4%
1.36
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.33
+9.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
77.1%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-3.3%
Over 21.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.1%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
-3.8%
Home or Away
74.2%
1.27
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.25
+2.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
73.8%
1.19
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
-3.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.4%
1.38
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
+5.4%
Under 10.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Antalyaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
N. Storm33%
Soner Dikmen33%
Ramzi Safouri33%
M. Şimşek33%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz25%
Yohan Boli0%
S. van de Streek0%
Bünyamin Balcı0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
S. Karakoç0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Soner Dikmen67%
Yohan Boli33%
Ramzi Safouri33%
Bünyamin Balcı25%
S. Karakoç25%
N. Storm0%
S. van de Streek0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz0%
M. Şimşek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
S. van de Streek50%
Yohan Boli33%
N. Storm0%
Bünyamin Balcı0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
Soner Dikmen0%
Ramzi Safouri0%
S. Karakoç0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz0%
M. Şimşek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Şimşek33%
Yohan Boli0%
N. Storm0%
S. van de Streek0%
Bünyamin Balcı0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
Soner Dikmen0%
Ramzi Safouri0%
S. Karakoç0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz0%
Sivasspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
R. Manaj50%
V. Ethemi0%
Charis Charisis0%
Mert Çelik0%
Amilton0%
Uğur Çiftçi0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Burak Kapacak0%
Cihat Çelik0%
Aaron Appindangoyé0%
Okan Erdoğan0%
S. Kavrazlı0%
K. Fidan0%
Yilmaz Cin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
V. Ethemi50%
K. Fidan50%
Mert Çelik25%
Uğur Çiftçi25%
Charis Charisis0%
R. Manaj0%
Amilton0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Burak Kapacak0%
Cihat Çelik0%
Aaron Appindangoyé0%
Okan Erdoğan0%
S. Kavrazlı0%
Yilmaz Cin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Burak Kapacak33%
V. Ethemi0%
Charis Charisis0%
R. Manaj0%
Mert Çelik0%
Amilton0%
Uğur Çiftçi0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Cihat Çelik0%
Aaron Appindangoyé0%
Okan Erdoğan0%
S. Kavrazlı0%
K. Fidan0%
Yilmaz Cin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
R. Manaj75%
V. Ethemi25%
Charis Charisis0%
Mert Çelik0%
Amilton0%
Uğur Çiftçi0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Burak Kapacak0%
Cihat Çelik0%
Aaron Appindangoyé0%
Okan Erdoğan0%
S. Kavrazlı0%
K. Fidan0%
Yilmaz Cin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Antalyaspor's squad is €6m more valuable than Sivasspor's (€16m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Antalyaspor and Sivasspor have a similar attack value (both €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Antalyaspor's midfield is €1m more valuable than Sivasspor's (€4m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Antalyaspor's defence is €4m more valuable than Sivasspor's (€7m vs €3m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor