This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pafos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.13
2.14
0.86
1.25
1.38
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.20
2.33
1.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (13)
1.31
1.62
1.50
1.50
1.14
1.71
vs Weaker (12)
2.17
0.58
2.80
0.00
1.71
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.1%
Under 1.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.5%
Under 3.5
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1 ✓
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
Apollon Limassol goals ↓
Pafos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
7.4%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
1
7.8%
13%
8.1%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.3%
8.5%
5.7%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.0%
4.0%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.0%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Apollon Limassol goals (down), columns = Pafos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Akritas
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.00
Enosis
0.15
Apollon Limassol is 0.14 points better than Pafos in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Akritas
0.94
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Enosis
0.33
Apollon Limassol is 0.39 goals worse than Pafos in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Aris
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.33
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
AEL
1.39
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Akritas
1.76
Enosis
2.42
Apollon Limassol is 0.08 goals worse than Pafos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Ethnikos Achna
48%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Akritas
44%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Enosis
41%
Apollon Limassol is 2.3 percentage points worse than Pafos in terms of average possession (53% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Apollon Limassol
For 5.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.1 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pafos
For 6.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 11.3 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Apollon Limassol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
10.2
7.6
1.4
0.8
2.0
25.1
22.0
26.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (44)
8.8
10.2
8.2
1.3
0.9
1.8
24.7
22.0
25.9
vs Weaker (6)
5.0
-
5.0
1.7
0.0
3.3
27.5
-
27.5
% over line
27%
25%
27%
20%
12%
27%
67%
50%
73%
% under line
73%
75%
73%
80%
88%
73%
33%
50%
27%
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pafos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
8.9
12.0
2.2
2.4
1.9
24.7
24.4
25.1
vs Stronger (9)
10.8
7.4
15.0
3.9
3.8
4.0
24.1
25.8
22.0
vs Similar (25)
9.9
9.8
10.0
1.8
2.3
1.2
26.2
26.2
26.3
vs Weaker (16)
9.6
9.4
10.0
1.9
1.8
2.0
23.5
20.8
28.0
% over line
50%
44%
60%
30%
36%
24%
65%
69%
60%
% under line
50%
56%
40%
70%
64%
76%
35%
31%
40%
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.2
Apoel Nicosia
9.7
Krasava Ypsonas
9.6
Apollon Limassol
9.6
Aris
9.6
Pafos
9.5
AEL
9.4
Akritas
9.2
AEK Larnaca
9.2
Enosis
9.0
Anorthosis
8.7
Ethnikos Achna
8.4
Olympiakos
8.2
Omonia Aradippou
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aris
5.7
Anorthosis
5.3
Omonia Aradippou
5.3
Apoel Nicosia
5.0
Ethnikos Achna
5.0
AEK Larnaca
4.9
Enosis
4.9
AEL
4.8
Apollon Limassol
4.7
Pafos
4.7
Olympiakos
4.5
Omonia Nicosia
4.4
Akritas
4.4
Krasava Ypsonas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Anorthosis
29.5
Omonia Aradippou
28.9
Apoel Nicosia
28.3
Enosis
28.2
Olympiakos
28.0
AEL
27.8
Ethnikos Achna
27.2
Aris
26.4
AEK Larnaca
26.3
Pafos
25.8
Krasava Ypsonas
24.9
Omonia Nicosia
24.8
Apollon Limassol
24.6
Akritas
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.9%
Under 9.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.8%
Under 3.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.5%
Under 21.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Apollon Limassol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.67
0.47
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pafos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.44
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.77
0.67
0.67
0.43
0.86
vs Weaker (12)
1.08
0.08
1.60
0.00
0.71
0.14
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Apollon Limassol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.93
0.53
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.58
0.77
0.62
0.62
0.54
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pafos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
1.14
0.36
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.60
1.67
0.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.85
0.83
0.83
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (12)
1.08
0.50
1.20
0.00
1.00
0.86
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Apollon Limassol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pedro Marques33%
Brandon Thomas33%
Josef Kvida18%
Ivan Ljubić17%
Garry Rodrigues17%
Giorgos Malekkidis10%
Gustavo Assunção0%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Bruno Gaspar0%
Danilo Špoljarić0%
Praxitelis Vouros0%
Zacharias Adoni0%
Lazar Marković0%
Gaetan Weissbeck0%
Philipp Kühn0%
Thomas Lam0%
Dani Escriche0%
Ali Youssef0%
Sergio Castel Martínez0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Morgan Brown0%
Antreas Shikkis0%
Clinton Duodu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gustavo Assunção50%
Ivan Ljubić33%
Brandon Thomas33%
Praxitelis Vouros25%
Antreas Shikkis25%
Josef Kvida18%
Philipp Kühn17%
Thomas Lam17%
Garry Rodrigues17%
Clinton Duodu17%
Zacharias Adoni12%
Lazar Marković12%
Dani Escriche12%
Pedro Marques11%
Gaetan Weissbeck11%
Morgan Brown9%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Bruno Gaspar0%
Danilo Špoljarić0%
Giorgos Malekkidis0%
Ali Youssef0%
Sergio Castel Martínez0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Garry Rodrigues17%
Clinton Duodu17%
Gaetan Weissbeck11%
Jaromír Zmrhal10%
Giorgos Malekkidis10%
Brandon Thomas8%
Gustavo Assunção0%
Bruno Gaspar0%
Pedro Marques0%
Danilo Špoljarić0%
Ivan Ljubić0%
Praxitelis Vouros0%
Zacharias Adoni0%
Lazar Marković0%
Philipp Kühn0%
Thomas Lam0%
Josef Kvida0%
Dani Escriche0%
Ali Youssef0%
Sergio Castel Martínez0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Morgan Brown0%
Antreas Shikkis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brandon Thomas25%
Sergio Castel Martínez25%
Pedro Marques11%
Agapios Vrikkis8%
Gustavo Assunção0%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Bruno Gaspar0%
Danilo Špoljarić0%
Ivan Ljubić0%
Giorgos Malekkidis0%
Praxitelis Vouros0%
Zacharias Adoni0%
Lazar Marković0%
Gaetan Weissbeck0%
Philipp Kühn0%
Thomas Lam0%
Josef Kvida0%
Garry Rodrigues0%
Dani Escriche0%
Ali Youssef0%
Morgan Brown0%
Antreas Shikkis0%
Clinton Duodu0%
Pafos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Correia35%
Alexandre Brito33%
David Luiz25%
Anderson Silva24%
Jajá23%
Domingos Quina14%
Bruno13%
Ivan Šunjić9%
Mislav Oršić8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Mons Bassouamina7%
Derrick Luckassen5%
Pêpê4%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Jay Gorter0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Šunjić36%
Alexandre Brito33%
Ken Sema21%
David Luiz20%
Jay Gorter20%
Bruno Langa20%
Jajá18%
Bruno17%
Axel Guessand17%
Domingos Quina14%
Lelê14%
Derrick Luckassen14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Pêpê12%
Nikolas Ioannou11%
David Goldar9%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Landry Dimata0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mislav Oršić33%
Wilmer Odefalk20%
Landry Dimata17%
David Luiz15%
Ken Sema11%
Jajá9%
Pêpê8%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Domingos Quina5%
Ivan Šunjić5%
Bruno4%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lelê14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Anderson Silva12%
João Correia12%
David Luiz10%
Jajá9%
Domingos Quina5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Šunjić0%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Pêpê0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
Apollon Limassol's squad is €13m less valuable than Pafos's (€15m vs €28m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
Apollon Limassol's attack is €7m less valuable than Pafos's (€7m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
Apollon Limassol's midfield is €5m less valuable than Pafos's (€2m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
Apollon Limassol and Pafos have a similar defence value (both €7m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Anorthosis
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
Krasava Ypsonas
Olympiakos
Akritas
Ethnikos Achna
Enosis