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Araks Ararat vs Banants II Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/10/2026
Time: 13:00
Araks Ararat
Araks Ararat
Vs
53%
22%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Banants II
Banants II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Araks Ararat’s recent home form shows a strong offensive rhythm, averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded against weaker opposition, while Banants II, struggling away, averages only 0.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded against stronger teams. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.6 goals, most likely a 3-goal match. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.5% chance. The model favours a home win, with a 53% probability, a draw at 22% and an away win at 24%. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (97.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.3%), Under 6.5 (92.9%), Home +2 handicap (88.9%), Home over 0.5 goals (88.3%), Over 1.5 (88.0%), Under 5.5 (84.9%) and Home under 3.5 goals (83.1%). Each pick is listed with its exact probability, and no other outcome is mentioned.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Araks Ararat win
53.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Banants II win
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L42W01L31W02L32W17L31W11D12LA·SAR20/04H·ARA26/04H·BKM30/04H·MIK04/05A·HAY12/05H·ARA20/05A·AND26/05H·ARA09/08A·SHI15/08A·OLY01/09
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.771.601.471.072.07
vs Stronger (2)0.003.000.003.000.003.00
vs Similar (12)1.082.171.291.430.803.20
vs Weaker (16)1.691.312.141.291.331.33
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Banants II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Banants IIBanants II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W35L00D03L32W02L22D22D32W05LA·MIK27/04A·SHI06/05H·NOA11/05A·BKM20/05H·LER26/05A·OLY03/08H·NOA10/08A·PYU15/08H·BKM19/08A·LER02/09
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.971.621.691.652.18
vs Stronger (11)1.001.731.401.800.671.67
vs Similar (13)2.152.461.802.002.382.75
vs Weaker (6)1.671.331.671.001.671.67
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Araks Ararat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.0%
Under 1.5
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69.1%
Under 2.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
47.8%
Under 3.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
67.9%
No
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.7%
Araks Ararat goals ↓
Banants II goals →
01234
03.7%3.2%2.9%1.4%0.5%
15.2%9.5%6.1%2.9%1.0%
26.5%9.2%6.6%3.1%1.1%
34.6%6.6%4.7%2.2%0.8%
42.5%3.5%2.5%1.2%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Araks Ararat goals (down), columns = Banants II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Araks Ararat is 0.03 points better than Banants II in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Araks Ararat is 0.27 goals worse than Banants II in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Araks Ararat is 0.10 goals better than Banants II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Araks Ararat or Draw
75.6%
Avg Implied -
53%
22%
24%
covers Araks Ararat + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat or Banants II
77.5%
Avg Implied -
53%
22%
24%
covers Araks Ararat + Banants II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Banants II
46.9%
Avg Implied -
53%
22%
24%
covers Draw + Banants II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Araks Ararat over/under 0.5
Over
88.3%
Under
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 1.5
Over
63.1%
Under
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 2.5
Over
36.2%
Under
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 3.5
Over
16.9%
Under
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 0.5
Over
75.9%
Under
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 1.5
Over
41.7%
Under
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 2.5
Over
17.3%
Under
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 3.5
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Araks Ararat, so a minus line means Araks Ararat give that many goals of a start and Banants II receive them. At -1, Araks Ararat must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Araks Ararat win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Araks Ararat)
Araks Ararat -2
16.4%
Draw -2
16.2%
Banants II +2
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Araks Ararat)
Araks Ararat -1
32.6%
Draw -1
20.5%
Banants II +1
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Araks Ararat)
Araks Ararat +1
75.6%
Draw +1
13.4%
Banants II -1
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Araks Ararat)
Araks Ararat +2
88.9%
Draw +2
7.2%
Banants II -2
3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L21W00D10W01L21W12L00D01L11DA·SAR20/04H·ARA26/04H·BKM30/04H·MIK04/05A·HAY12/05H·ARA20/05A·AND26/05H·ARA09/08A·SHI15/08A·OLY01/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.670.730.600.93
vs Stronger (2)0.002.500.002.000.003.00
vs Similar (12)0.500.920.430.860.601.00
vs Weaker (16)0.810.561.000.430.670.67
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Banants II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Banants IIBanants II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W23L00D02L10W00D11D11D20W03LA·MIK27/04A·SHI06/05H·NOA11/05A·BKM20/05H·LER26/05A·OLY03/08H·NOA10/08A·PYU15/08H·BKM19/08A·LER02/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.900.690.690.711.06
vs Stronger (11)0.270.550.600.600.000.50
vs Similar (13)1.001.310.801.001.121.50
vs Weaker (6)0.830.670.670.331.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Araks Ararat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Araks Ararat over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D21W01L21W01L11D05L31W10W01LA·SAR20/04H·ARA26/04H·BKM30/04H·MIK04/05A·HAY12/05H·ARA20/05A·AND26/05H·ARA09/08A·SHI15/08A·OLY01/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.930.930.730.471.13
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (12)0.581.250.860.570.202.20
vs Weaker (16)0.880.751.140.860.670.67
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Banants II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Banants IIBanants II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L00D01L22D02L11D11D12L02LA·MIK27/04A·SHI06/05H·NOA11/05A·BKM20/05H·LER26/05A·OLY03/08H·NOA10/08A·PYU15/08H·BKM19/08A·LER02/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.070.921.000.941.12
vs Stronger (11)0.731.180.801.200.671.17
vs Similar (13)1.151.151.001.001.251.25
vs Weaker (6)0.830.671.000.670.670.67
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Araks Ararat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Araks Ararat over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.3%-------
Under 6.592.9%-------
Home +2 handicap88.9%-------
Home over 0.5 goals88.3%-------
Over 1.588.0%-------
Under 5.584.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals83.1%-------
Away under 2.5 goals82.7%-------
Home or Away77.5%-------
Away over 0.5 goals75.9%-------
Home or Draw75.6%-------
Home +1 handicap75.6%-------
Under 4.571.3%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
AA wins
0
Draws
1
BI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Araks Ararat vs Banants II · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/26ABanants II Vs AA2-0
27/09/25HAA Vs Banants II3-2

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26AOlympia Yerevan Vs AA2-1
15/08/26AShirak II Vs AA1-1
09/08/26HAA Vs Ararat II3-1
26/05/26AAndranik Vs AA7-1
20/05/26HAA Vs Ararat-Armenia II3-2
12/05/26AHayq Vs AA2-0
04/05/26HAA Vs Mika3-1
30/04/26HAA Vs BKMA II0-1
26/04/26HAA Vs Ararat II4-2
20/04/26ASardarapat Vs AA3-0

Banants IIBanants II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26ALernayin Artsakh Vs BI5-0
19/08/26HBI Vs BKMA II3-2
15/08/26APyunik II Vs BI2-2
10/08/26HBI Vs Noah II2-2
03/08/26AOlympia Yerevan Vs BI2-0
26/05/26HBI Vs Lernayin Artsakh3-2
20/05/26ABKMA II Vs BI3-0
11/05/26HBI Vs Noah II0-0
06/05/26AShirak II Vs BI5-3
27/04/26AMika Vs BI2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Araks Ararat
Araks Ararat
Armenia: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.24
HomeWLWWW1.62
AwayLLLDL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%24%
AVG goals2.973.062.88
Over 1.5 %76%75%76%
Over 2.5 %52%62%41%
Over 3.5 %36%44%29%
Scored1.301.621.00
Conceded1.671.441.88
BTTS52%56%47%
Clean Sheet15%6%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Banants II
Banants II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.34
HomeLDWDW1.46
AwayLLLDL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%33%35%
AVG goals3.343.003.65
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %60%54%65%
Over 3.5 %46%42%50%
Scored1.661.501.81
Conceded1.681.501.85
BTTS64%75%54%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II512
80%
2.4
134+9
3.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.8
-
3Pyunik IIPyunik II511
60%
2.2
117+4
3.6
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
4AndranikAndranik47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.21.0
-
5MikaMika57
40%
1.4
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
6Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan45
25%
1.2
138+5
5.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
8Banants IIBanants II55
20%
1.0
713-6
4.0
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.6
-
9Noah IINoah II55
20%
1.0
613-7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
10Araks AraratAraks Ararat34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
11Shirak IIShirak II44
25%
1.0
37-4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
12Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 243
25%
0.8
26-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II41
0%
0.2
15-4
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.2
-
14HayqHayq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
15Ararat IIArarat II30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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