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Araks Ararat vs BKMA II Result & Analysis

Date: 30/04/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Araks Ararat
Araks Ararat
Vs
24%
24%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BKMA II
BKMA II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Araks Ararat win✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
BKMA II win✓ Hit
52.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L24L22D02L21W00D31W22D03L42WH·SYU19/11A·BEN25/11H·VAN03/03A·BAN09/03H·SHI17/03A·NOA24/03A·LER07/04H·PYU14/04A·SAR20/04H·ARA26/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.241.521.421.501.081.54
vs Stronger (2)0.003.000.003.000.003.00
vs Similar (9)1.001.561.201.600.751.50
vs Weaker (14)1.571.291.831.171.381.38
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BKMA IIBKMA II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W30W40W21W31W00D01L21W20W21WH·ARA15/11H·NOA19/11H·MIK26/11A·LER03/03H·PYU09/03A·SAR17/03H·HAY07/04A·ARA13/04H·AND22/04A·SYU26/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.631.003.290.932.061.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.711.711.332.332.001.25
vs Weaker (23)2.910.783.820.552.081.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Araks Ararat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.3%
Under 3.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1 ✓
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
Araks Ararat goals ↓
BKMA II goals →
01234
05.4%7.3%7.9%5.0%2.4%
14.3%11%9.7%6.2%2.9%
23.3%6.3%6.0%3.8%1.8%
31.4%2.6%2.5%1.6%0.7%
40.4%0.8%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Araks Ararat goals (down), columns = BKMA II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sardarapat
2.53
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Syunik
2.21
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Van II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Shirak II
0.60
Araks Ararat is 1.13 points worse than BKMA II in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 2.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Syunik
2.76
Sardarapat
2.70
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Banants II
1.53
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Van II
1.10
Mika
1.07
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Araks Ararat is 1.30 goals worse than BKMA II in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 2.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sardarapat
0.60
Hayq
0.80
Syunik
0.90
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Van II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Araks Ararat is 0.67 goals worse than BKMA II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L11D00D21W00D10W10W03L21WH·SYU19/11A·BEN25/11H·VAN03/03A·BAN09/03H·SHI17/03A·NOA24/03A·LER07/04H·PYU14/04A·SAR20/04H·ARA26/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.760.670.830.620.69
vs Stronger (2)0.002.500.002.000.003.00
vs Similar (9)0.560.780.601.200.500.25
vs Weaker (14)0.790.500.830.330.750.62
Clean sheet %52% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BKMA IIBKMA II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W20W00D21W00D00D10W10W21WH·ARA15/11H·NOA19/11H·MIK26/11A·LER03/03H·PYU09/03A·SAR17/03H·HAY07/04A·ARA13/04H·AND22/04A·SYU26/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.331.290.360.810.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.570.570.330.670.750.50
vs Weaker (23)1.170.261.550.270.830.25
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Araks Ararat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Araks Ararat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D02L00D00D21W12L00D21WH·SYU19/11A·BEN25/11H·VAN03/03A·BAN09/03H·SHI17/03A·NOA24/03A·LER07/04H·PYU14/04A·SAR20/04H·ARA26/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.760.750.670.460.85
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (9)0.440.780.600.400.251.25
vs Weaker (14)0.790.791.000.830.620.75
Clean sheet %44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BKMA IIBKMA II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W21W10W00D01L11D10W00DH·ARA15/11H·NOA19/11H·MIK26/11A·LER03/03H·PYU09/03A·SAR17/03H·HAY07/04A·ARA13/04H·AND22/04A·SYU26/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.672.000.571.250.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.141.141.001.671.250.75
vs Weaker (23)1.740.522.270.271.250.75
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Araks Ararat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Araks Ararat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (23)
€2m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (9)
€1m
SAR (7)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
SAR (4)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
AA wins
0
Draws
1
BI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Araks Ararat vs BKMA II · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/25ABKMA II Vs AA3-2

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HAA Vs Ararat II4-2
20/04/26ASardarapat Vs AA3-0
14/04/26HAA Vs Pyunik II2-2
07/04/26ALernayin Artsakh Vs AA1-3
24/03/26ANoah II Vs AA0-0
17/03/26HAA Vs Shirak II2-1
09/03/26ABanants II Vs AA2-0
03/03/26HAA Vs Van II2-2
25/11/25ABentonit Ijevan Vs AA4-2
19/11/25HAA Vs Syunik0-1

BKMA IIBKMA II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26ASyunik Vs BI1-2
22/04/26HBI Vs Andranik2-0
13/04/26AArarat-Armenia II Vs BI1-2
07/04/26HBI Vs Hayq0-1
17/03/26ASardarapat Vs BI0-0
09/03/26HBI Vs Pyunik II3-1
03/03/26ALernayin Artsakh Vs BI1-2
26/11/25HBI Vs Mika4-0
19/11/25HBI Vs Noah II3-0
15/11/25HBI Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Araks Ararat
Araks Ararat
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.24
HomeLDWDW1.42
AwayLLDWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%31%
AVG goals2.762.922.62
Over 1.5 %72%75%69%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored1.241.421.08
Conceded1.521.501.54
BTTS44%50%38%
Clean Sheet20%8%31%
Corners---
Cards---
BKMA II
BKMA II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW2.46
HomeWWWLW2.48
AwayWWDWW2.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %78%80%76%
AVG goals3.784.123.44
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %46%56%36%
Scored2.863.322.40
Conceded0.920.801.04
BTTS54%44%64%
Clean Sheet42%48%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SardarapatSardarapat3076
80%
2.5
8118+63
3.3
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II3071
73%
2.4
7731+46
3.6
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.0
-
3HayqHayq3068
73%
2.3
5924+35
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
4AndranikAndranik3066
70%
2.2
7630+46
3.5
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.51.0
-
5SyunikSyunik2964
72%
2.2
8026+54
3.7
83%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.80.9
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II3044
40%
1.5
4343+0
2.9
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
7Ararat IIArarat II3038
40%
1.3
4358-15
3.4
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Araks AraratAraks Ararat3037
37%
1.2
3851-13
3.0
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Banants IIBanants II3036
30%
1.2
4654-8
3.3
77%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
10Noah IINoah II3031
27%
1.0
3958-19
3.2
73%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
11Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
77%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
12MikaMika3028
23%
0.9
3260-28
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3024
20%
0.8
4662-16
3.6
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
14Van IIVan II3024
20%
0.8
3358-25
3.0
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2923
24%
0.8
2271-49
3.2
76%
62%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
16Shirak IIShirak II3018
13%
0.6
3489-55
4.1
80%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
-
Armenia: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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