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Ararat-Armenia II vs Andranik Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2025
Time: 09:00
Final 1-6
Ararat-Armenia II
Ararat-Armenia II
Vs
35%
25%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Andranik
Andranik
Armenia: First League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ararat-Armenia II win✗ Miss
35.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Andranik win✓ Hit
39.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D61W14L12L23L12L23L04L12L02LA·BEN04/10A·NIK17/10H·ARA23/10A·SHI29/10H·BAN04/11A·LER08/11A·PYU12/11H·SYU17/11H·BEN22/11A·BKM11/03
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.701.711.501.751.88
vs Stronger (16)1.312.121.122.121.502.12
vs Similar (14)2.211.212.500.672.001.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AndranikAndranik

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L32W12L21W10W03L02L13L11D02LH·NOA18/09H·NIK28/09A·MIK07/10A·ARA17/10H·SHI24/10A·BAN29/10H·LER04/11A·SYU09/11H·BEN16/11H·BKM23/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.430.871.871.671.00
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (13)1.231.770.672.331.711.29
vs Weaker (14)1.501.001.291.431.710.57
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.8%
Under 2.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.6%
Under 3.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.3%
No
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-0
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
Ararat-Armenia II goals ↓
Andranik goals →
01234
04.9%5.5%5.4%3.0%1.3%
15.1%11%8.6%4.8%2.0%
24.9%8.1%6.7%3.7%1.6%
32.5%4.2%3.5%2.0%0.8%
41.0%1.7%1.4%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ararat-Armenia II goals (down), columns = Andranik goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.62
Syunik
2.54
Noah II
1.92
Lernayin Artsakh
1.75
Banants II
1.58
Pyunik II
1.54
Andranik
1.42
Shirak II
1.33
Ararat II
1.21
Bentonit Ijevan
1.00
Ararat-Armenia II
0.79
Mika
0.67
Nikarm
0.04
Ararat-Armenia II is 0.63 points worse than Andranik in terms of average points per game (0.79 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
3.21
Syunik
2.67
Lernayin Artsakh
2.50
Banants II
1.96
Noah II
1.96
Pyunik II
1.96
Ararat II
1.83
Shirak II
1.79
Andranik
1.71
Bentonit Ijevan
1.58
Ararat-Armenia II
1.25
Mika
1.04
Nikarm
0.71
Ararat-Armenia II is 0.46 goals worse than Andranik in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.71).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Syunik
0.54
BKMA II
0.71
Noah II
1.21
Banants II
1.38
Lernayin Artsakh
1.42
Pyunik II
1.54
Andranik
1.67
Shirak II
1.96
Ararat II
2.00
Bentonit Ijevan
2.21
Ararat-Armenia II
2.29
Mika
2.96
Nikarm
4.29
Ararat-Armenia II is 0.62 goals worse than Andranik in terms of goals conceded per game (2.29 vs 1.67).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W12L01L12L10W11D00D02L02LA·BEN04/10A·NIK17/10H·ARA23/10A·SHI29/10H·BAN04/11A·LER08/11A·PYU12/11H·SYU17/11H·BEN22/11A·BKM11/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.930.790.690.69
vs Stronger (17)0.591.000.671.000.501.00
vs Similar (13)1.080.381.400.400.880.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AndranikAndranik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W10W20W10W03L01L12L10W01LH·NOA18/09H·NIK28/09A·MIK07/10A·ARA17/10H·SHI24/10A·BAN29/10H·LER04/11A·SYU09/11H·BEN16/11H·BKM23/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.560.690.790.79
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.001.500.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.500.750.170.670.830.83
vs Weaker (15)0.930.601.000.500.860.71
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L41W02L11D11D02L12L04L10W00DA·BEN04/10A·NIK17/10H·ARA23/10A·SHI29/10H·BAN04/11A·LER08/11A·PYU12/11H·SYU17/11H·BEN22/11A·BKM11/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.030.790.931.061.12
vs Stronger (17)0.761.180.561.221.001.12
vs Similar (13)1.150.851.200.401.121.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AndranikAndranik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L02L01L00D00D01L01L01L01LH·NOA18/09H·NIK28/09A·MIK07/10A·ARA17/10H·SHI24/10A·BAN29/10H·LER04/11A·SYU09/11H·BEN16/11H·BKM23/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.870.561.060.710.64
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.000.501.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.671.080.501.670.830.50
vs Weaker (15)0.670.730.750.750.570.71
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia II's squad is €1m less valuable than Andranik's (€0m vs €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (9)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia II and Andranik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia II and Andranik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia II and Andranik have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
AI wins
0
Draws
2
AND wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ararat-Armenia II vs Andranik · H/A from AI
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/24AAndranik Vs AI4-3
04/12/23HAI Vs Andranik0-1
05/08/23AAndranik Vs AI0-2

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/25ABKMA II Vs AI2-0
22/11/24HAI Vs Bentonit Ijevan1-2
17/11/24HAI Vs Syunik0-4
12/11/24APyunik II Vs AI3-2
08/11/24ALernayin Artsakh Vs AI2-1
04/11/24HAI Vs Banants II2-3
29/10/24AShirak II Vs AI2-1
23/10/24HAI Vs Ararat II1-4
17/10/24ANikarm Vs AI1-6
04/10/24ABentonit Ijevan Vs AI1-1

AndranikAndranik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/24HAND Vs BKMA II0-2
16/11/24HAND Vs Bentonit Ijevan1-1
09/11/24ASyunik Vs AND3-1
04/11/24HAND Vs Lernayin Artsakh0-2
29/10/24ABanants II Vs AND3-0
24/10/24HAND Vs Shirak II1-0
17/10/24AArarat II Vs AND1-2
07/10/24AMika Vs AND2-1
28/09/24HAND Vs Nikarm3-2
18/09/24HAND Vs Noah II1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ararat-Armenia II
Ararat-Armenia II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.20
HomeWLLLL1.21
AwayWLLLL1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%31%
AVG goals3.523.753.31
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %64%71%58%
Over 3.5 %42%42%42%
Scored1.721.751.69
Conceded1.802.001.62
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet22%21%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Andranik
Andranik
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.34
HomeWWLDL1.05
AwayDLWLL1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%29%50%
AVG goals2.882.902.85
Over 1.5 %80%86%75%
Over 2.5 %56%48%65%
Over 3.5 %27%29%25%
Scored1.291.241.35
Conceded1.591.671.50
BTTS41%38%45%
Clean Sheet29%19%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BKMA IIBKMA II2463
83%
2.6
7717+60
3.9
92%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.20.7
-
2SyunikSyunik2461
79%
2.5
6413+51
3.2
79%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.70.5
-
3Noah IINoah II2446
58%
1.9
4729+18
3.2
79%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
4Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2442
54%
1.8
6034+26
3.9
92%
75%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.51.4
-
5Banants IIBanants II2438
46%
1.6
4733+14
3.3
92%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II2437
46%
1.5
4737+10
3.5
88%
62%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
7AndranikAndranik2434
38%
1.4
4140+1
3.4
92%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.7
-
8Shirak IIShirak II2432
33%
1.3
4347-4
3.8
92%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
9Ararat IIArarat II2429
38%
1.2
4448-4
3.8
83%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
10Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan2424
25%
1.0
3853-15
3.8
100%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
11Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II2419
25%
0.8
3055-25
3.5
88%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.3
-
12MikaMika2416
17%
0.7
2571-46
4.0
92%
79%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
13NikarmNikarm241
0%
0.0
17103-86
5.0
92%
88%
79%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.74.3
-
Armenia: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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