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Ararat-Armenia II vs Lernayin Artsakh Result & Analysis

Date: 06/10/2025
Time: 10:30
Final 1-3
Ararat-Armenia II
Ararat-Armenia II
Vs
24%
25%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ararat-Armenia II win✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh win✓ Hit
50.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L03L05L42W01L03L01L11D33D21WA·BAN14/05H·LER20/05A·SYU27/05H·MIK05/08H·AND13/08A·SYU19/08A·VAN28/08A·SHI11/09H·NOA22/09H·BEN28/09
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.332.171.132.401.531.93
vs Stronger (15)1.072.871.143.431.002.38
vs Similar (15)1.601.471.121.502.141.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W10W20W00D10W12L13L21W10W13LH·PYU24/05A·SHI06/08H·NOA12/08A·BKM19/08A·MIK24/08H·PYU28/08A·SAR03/09H·ARA11/09A·ARA22/09H·HAY01/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.432.071.501.441.38
vs Stronger (13)1.001.311.501.500.571.14
vs Similar (15)2.271.732.291.712.251.75
vs Weaker (2)2.500.004.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.3%
Under 2.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.9%
Under 3.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
1-3 ✓
5.8%
Ararat-Armenia II goals ↓
Lernayin Artsakh goals →
01234
06.2%8.0%8.1%4.8%2.2%
15.0%12%9.7%5.8%2.6%
23.6%6.5%5.8%3.4%1.5%
31.4%2.6%2.3%1.4%0.6%
40.4%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ararat-Armenia II goals (down), columns = Lernayin Artsakh goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sardarapat
2.53
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Syunik
2.21
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Van II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Shirak II
0.60
Ararat-Armenia II is 0.01 points better than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 0.79).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Syunik
2.76
Sardarapat
2.70
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Banants II
1.53
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Van II
1.10
Mika
1.07
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Ararat-Armenia II is 0.77 goals better than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 0.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sardarapat
0.60
Hayq
0.80
Syunik
0.90
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Van II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Ararat-Armenia II is 0.38 goals better than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of goals conceded per game (2.07 vs 2.45).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L02L40W00D02L01L00D22D10WA·BAN14/05H·LER20/05A·SYU27/05H·MIK05/08H·AND13/08A·SYU19/08A·VAN28/08A·SHI11/09H·NOA22/09H·BEN28/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.771.000.600.470.93
vs Stronger (15)0.471.130.710.860.251.38
vs Similar (15)1.000.401.250.380.710.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W00D00D10W11D02L20W10W01LH·PYU24/05A·SHI06/08H·NOA12/08A·BKM19/08A·MIK24/08H·PYU28/08A·SAR03/09H·ARA11/09A·ARA22/09H·HAY01/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.601.070.500.560.69
vs Stronger (12)0.330.420.400.600.290.29
vs Similar (16)1.060.811.380.500.751.12
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L03L02L01L01L00D11D11D11DA·BAN14/05H·LER20/05A·SYU27/05H·MIK05/08H·AND13/08A·SYU19/08A·VAN28/08A·SHI11/09H·NOA22/09H·BEN28/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.330.471.470.871.20
vs Stronger (15)0.531.470.292.000.751.00
vs Similar (15)0.801.200.621.001.001.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D20W00D00D01L11D01L00D12LH·PYU24/05A·SHI06/08H·NOA12/08A·BKM19/08A·MIK24/08H·PYU28/08A·SAR03/09H·ARA11/09A·ARA22/09H·HAY01/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.801.290.930.880.69
vs Stronger (12)0.500.920.801.000.290.86
vs Similar (16)1.500.811.501.001.500.62
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (23)
€2m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia II and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (9)
€1m
SAR (7)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia II and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
SAR (4)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia II and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia II and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
AI wins
1
Draws
3
LA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ararat-Armenia II vs Lernayin Artsakh · H/A from AI
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/25HAI Vs Lernayin Artsakh0-3
08/11/24ALernayin Artsakh Vs AI2-1
20/05/24ALernayin Artsakh Vs AI3-0
03/11/23HAI Vs Lernayin Artsakh1-1

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/25HAI Vs Bentonit Ijevan2-1
22/09/25HAI Vs Noah II3-3
11/09/25AShirak II Vs AI1-1
28/08/25AVan II Vs AI1-0
19/08/25ASyunik Vs AI3-0
13/08/25HAI Vs Andranik0-1
05/08/25HAI Vs Mika4-2
27/05/25ASyunik Vs AI5-0
20/05/25HAI Vs Lernayin Artsakh0-3
14/05/25ABanants II Vs AI2-1

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/25HLA Vs Hayq1-3
22/09/25AAraks Ararat Vs LA0-1
11/09/25HLA Vs Ararat II2-1
03/09/25ASardarapat Vs LA3-1
28/08/25HLA Vs Pyunik II1-2
24/08/25AMika Vs LA0-1
19/08/25ABKMA II Vs LA0-0
12/08/25HLA Vs Noah II2-0
06/08/25AShirak II Vs LA0-1
24/05/25HLA Vs Pyunik II3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ararat-Armenia II
Ararat-Armenia II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW1.14
HomeLWLDW1.28
AwayLLLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals3.263.403.12
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %60%64%56%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.461.521.40
Conceded1.801.881.72
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.92
HomeWWLWL2.36
AwayWDWLW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%76%44%
AVG goals3.323.722.92
Over 1.5 %82%96%68%
Over 2.5 %64%80%48%
Over 3.5 %40%44%36%
Scored2.222.761.68
Conceded1.100.961.24
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet42%40%44%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SardarapatSardarapat3076
80%
2.5
8118+63
3.3
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II3071
73%
2.4
7731+46
3.6
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.0
-
3HayqHayq3068
73%
2.3
5924+35
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
4AndranikAndranik3066
70%
2.2
7630+46
3.5
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.51.0
-
5SyunikSyunik2964
72%
2.2
8026+54
3.7
83%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.80.9
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II3044
40%
1.5
4343+0
2.9
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
7Ararat IIArarat II3038
40%
1.3
4358-15
3.4
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Araks AraratAraks Ararat3037
37%
1.2
3851-13
3.0
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Banants IIBanants II3036
30%
1.2
4654-8
3.3
77%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
10Noah IINoah II3031
27%
1.0
3958-19
3.2
73%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
11Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
77%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
12MikaMika3028
23%
0.9
3260-28
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3024
20%
0.8
4662-16
3.6
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
14Van IIVan II3024
20%
0.8
3358-25
3.0
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2923
24%
0.8
2271-49
3.2
76%
62%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
16Shirak IIShirak II3018
13%
0.6
3489-55
4.1
80%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
-
Armenia: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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