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Ararat II vs Ararat-Armenia II Result & Analysis

Date: 17/04/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 2-3
Ararat II
Ararat II
Vs
56%
21%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ararat-Armenia II
Ararat-Armenia II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ararat II win✗ Miss
56.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II win✓ Hit
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Ararat IIArarat II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L21W21W31W20W30W01L03L40W00DH·PYU21/11A·BAN25/11H·SHI01/12A·SYU06/12A·ALA04/03H·SYU09/03A·BKM17/03H·GAN29/03H·MIK04/04A·WES10/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.381.042.921.251.830.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.450.911.401.201.500.67
vs Weaker (13)3.151.154.001.292.171.00
Clean sheet %46% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-443W22D10W21W03L31W12L10W24L01LA·SYU11/11H·LER21/11A·BKM25/11H·PYU01/12A·GAN04/03H·BAN09/03A·MIK18/03H·SHI30/03A·WES04/04H·ALA08/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.921.462.081.251.751.67
vs Stronger (16)1.691.622.001.381.381.88
vs Similar (8)2.381.122.251.002.501.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%07%117%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.5%
Under 1.5
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
72.0%
Under 2.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.3%
Under 3.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.4%
No
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
3-2
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
Ararat II goals ↓
Ararat-Armenia II goals →
01234
03.2%2.6%2.5%1.2%0.4%
14.7%8.7%5.7%2.7%1.0%
26.3%9.1%6.5%3.1%1.1%
34.8%6.9%5.0%2.4%0.9%
42.8%4.0%2.9%1.4%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ararat II goals (down), columns = Ararat-Armenia II goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
West Armenia
2.25
BKMA II
2.13
Gandzasar
2.12
Ararat II
1.78
Ararat-Armenia II
1.72
Banants II
1.34
Pyunik II
1.31
Shirak II
1.23
Mika
1.03
Syunik
0.97
Alashkert II
0.65
Lernayin Artsakh II
0.11
Ararat II is 0.06 points better than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of average points per game (1.78 vs 1.72).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Gandzasar
2.59
West Armenia
2.56
BKMA II
2.42
Ararat-Armenia II
1.94
Ararat II
1.94
Banants II
1.81
Pyunik II
1.69
Syunik
1.32
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.06
Lernayin Artsakh II
1.00
Mika
1.00
Ararat II and Ararat-Armenia II are level in goals scored per game (both 1.94).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
BKMA II
0.97
Gandzasar
0.97
West Armenia
1.06
Shirak II
1.23
Ararat II
1.50
Ararat-Armenia II
1.62
Syunik
1.71
Pyunik II
1.72
Banants II
1.78
Mika
2.41
Alashkert II
3.19
Lernayin Artsakh II
3.72
Ararat II is 0.12 goals better than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.62).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ararat IIArarat II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D11D01L10W10W20W01L02L00DA·ARA01/11A·LER11/11A·BAN25/11H·SHI01/12A·SYU06/12A·ALA04/03H·SYU09/03A·BKM17/03H·GAN29/03A·WES10/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.940.501.170.670.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.500.380.670.670.400.20
vs Weaker (8)1.380.621.670.671.200.60
Clean sheet %56% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D03L22D00D01L01L01L10W00DA·ALA25/10H·ARA01/11A·SYU11/11H·LER21/11A·BKM25/11H·PYU01/12A·GAN04/03H·BAN09/03A·MIK18/03H·SHI30/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.710.500.830.380.62
vs Stronger (9)0.110.670.330.670.000.67
vs Similar (5)1.000.800.671.001.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ararat II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ararat IIArarat II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W10W20W21W10W10W00D01L00DA·ARA01/11A·LER11/11A·BAN25/11H·SHI01/12A·SYU06/12A·ALA04/03H·SYU09/03A·BKM17/03H·GAN29/03A·WES10/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.560.442.330.501.100.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.000.251.000.331.000.20
vs Weaker (8)2.120.623.670.671.200.60
Clean sheet %75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W03L40W00D10W20W02L30W02L10WA·ALA25/10H·ARA01/11A·SYU11/11H·LER21/11A·BKM25/11H·PYU01/12A·GAN04/03H·BAN09/03A·MIK18/03H·SHI30/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.711.000.831.120.62
vs Stronger (9)1.220.891.001.671.330.50
vs Similar (5)0.800.401.000.000.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %64% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ararat II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.572.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (25)
€3m
SYU (23)
€2m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (8)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
AI wins
0
Draws
0
AI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ararat II vs Ararat-Armenia II · H/A from AI
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/22AArarat-Armenia II Vs AI1-4
13/08/22HAI Vs Ararat-Armenia II4-1

Ararat IIArarat II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/23AWest Armenia Vs AI0-0
04/04/23HAI Vs Mika4-0
29/03/23HAI Vs Gandzasar0-3
17/03/23ABKMA II Vs AI1-0
09/03/23HAI Vs Syunik3-0
04/03/23AAlashkert II Vs AI0-2
06/12/22ASyunik Vs AI1-3
01/12/22HAI Vs Shirak II2-1
25/11/22ABanants II Vs AI1-2
21/11/22HAI Vs Pyunik II0-4

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/23HAI Vs Alashkert II0-1
04/04/23AWest Armenia Vs AI4-2
30/03/23HAI Vs Shirak II1-0
18/03/23AMika Vs AI2-1
09/03/23HAI Vs Banants II3-1
04/03/23AGandzasar Vs AI3-0
01/12/22HAI Vs Pyunik II2-1
25/11/22ABKMA II Vs AI0-1
21/11/22HAI Vs Lernayin Artsakh II2-2
11/11/22ASyunik Vs AI3-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ararat II
Ararat II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD2.21
HomeLWWLW2.25
AwayWWWLD2.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %71%75%67%
AVG goals3.424.172.67
Over 1.5 %88%100%75%
Over 2.5 %67%83%50%
Over 3.5 %42%50%33%
Scored2.382.921.83
Conceded1.041.250.83
BTTS38%33%42%
Clean Sheet46%42%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Ararat-Armenia II
Ararat-Armenia II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.83
HomeDWWWL2.08
AwayWWLLL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%67%50%
AVG goals3.383.333.42
Over 1.5 %75%83%67%
Over 2.5 %62%58%67%
Over 3.5 %46%50%42%
Scored1.922.081.75
Conceded1.461.251.67
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet25%25%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1West ArmeniaWest Armenia3272
69%
2.2
8234+48
3.6
84%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.1
-
2GandzasarGandzasar3268
66%
2.1
8331+52
3.6
81%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.61.0
-
3BKMA IIBKMA II3166
68%
2.1
7530+45
3.4
87%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.0
-
4Ararat IIArarat II3257
56%
1.8
6248+14
3.4
88%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
5Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3255
53%
1.7
6252+10
3.6
78%
66%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6Banants IIBanants II3243
38%
1.3
5857+1
3.6
81%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Pyunik IIPyunik II3242
41%
1.3
5455-1
3.4
81%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8Shirak IIShirak II3138
35%
1.2
3338-5
2.3
68%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
9MikaMika3233
31%
1.0
3277-45
3.4
81%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
10SyunikSyunik3130
29%
1.0
4153-12
3.0
74%
52%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.31.7
-
11Alashkert IIAlashkert II3120
19%
0.6
4199-58
4.5
94%
84%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.2
-
12Lernayin Artsakh IILernayin Artsakh II182
0%
0.1
1867-49
4.7
100%
78%
72%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.7
-
Armenia: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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