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Arbroath vs Montrose Result & Analysis

Date: 10/08/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Arbroath
Arbroath
vs
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arbroath win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Montrose win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L05L05L05L05L02L03L00D10W12LH·MOR20/04H·QUE27/04H·QUE27/04A·RAI03/05A·RAI03/05H·DUN16/07H·ANN20/07A·INV23/07A·BON27/07A·STE03/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.572.830.852.150.353.35
vs Stronger (9)0.673.001.001.500.404.20
vs Similar (19)0.532.790.882.380.273.09
vs Weaker (2)0.502.500.003.001.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L20W32W00D01L23L11D21W10W11DH·HAM20/04A·KEL27/04H·QUE04/05H·INV07/05A·INV11/05A·PAR13/07H·MOT16/07H·EDI23/07A·CLY27/07H·KEL03/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.431.531.731.331.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.681.841.702.301.671.33
vs Weaker (11)1.000.731.200.600.830.83
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arbroath
1.78
Inverness CT
1.61
Cove Rangers
1.58
Queen of Sth
1.53
Stenhousemuir
1.47
Alloa
1.42
Kelty Hearts
1.22
Montrose
1.11
Annan Athletic
1.00
Dumbarton
0.97
Arbroath is 0.67 points better than Montrose in terms of average points per game (1.78 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
1.72
Arbroath
1.61
Alloa
1.53
Dumbarton
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.28
Inverness CT
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.14
Kelty Hearts
1.11
Montrose
1.11
Arbroath is 0.50 goals better than Montrose in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inverness CT
1.06
Queen of Sth
1.14
Arbroath
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.22
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Kelty Hearts
1.28
Alloa
1.31
Montrose
1.36
Dumbarton
1.83
Annan Athletic
1.89
Arbroath is 0.19 goals better than Montrose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ArbroathArbroath

For 3.1 · Against 6.5 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

2008125615251925264420116710788A·STEA·RAIH·QUEA·AYRH·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.0

🟨 Cards

40131211311240121143A·STEA·RAIH·QUEA·AYRH·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 9.1 · Total 19.4

⚠️ Fouls

260127167691312131364815861923152526102314A·STEA·RAIH·QUEA·AYRH·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

For 5.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

1601243627937266465558241699129121010136H·KELH·QUEA·KELH·HAMA·EDIA·ALLH·FALA·STIH·ANNA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

70211112211211234113120423372H·KELH·QUEA·KELH·HAMA·EDIA·ALLH·FALA·STIH·ANNA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 9.1 · Total 19.6

⚠️ Fouls

26091013139111188914371387136131119262019171720151924H·KELH·QUEA·KELH·HAMA·EDIA·ALLH·FALA·STIH·ANNA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.011.50.60.60.519.620.219.0
vs Stronger (16)10.19.810.51.21.51.020.920.521.2
vs Similar (32)7.37.57.00.20.20.116.319.510.0
vs Weaker (2)20.0-20.02.00.04.019.0-19.0
% over line42%33%50%8%8%8%50%50%50%
% under line58%67%50%92%92%92%50%50%50%
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.79.03.43.53.320.421.419.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)10.110.99.33.33.23.320.721.619.7
vs Weaker (17)9.210.38.33.74.13.319.820.818.9
% over line50%64%36%48%48%48%36%45%27%
% under line50%36%64%52%52%52%64%55%73%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Kelty Hearts
11.2
Arbroath
10.8
Dumbarton
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Montrose
10.3
Cove Rangers
10.2
Queen of Sth
10.1
Inverness CT
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.0
Alloa
9.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Annan Athletic
4.7
Dumbarton
4.1
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Montrose
4.0
Queen of Sth
3.6
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Alloa
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
21.9
Kelty Hearts
21.5
Montrose
21.0
Arbroath
20.9
Annan Athletic
20.8
Queen of Sth
20.8
Dumbarton
20.6
Inverness CT
19.5
Alloa
19.0
Cove Rangers
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.7%
Under 9.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.1%
Under 3.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
38.8%
Under 21.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L03L02L02L00D01L00D00D00DH·MOR20/04H·QUE27/04H·QUE27/04A·RAI03/05A·RAI03/05H·DUN16/07H·ANN20/07A·INV23/07A·BON27/07A·STE03/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.031.200.001.000.061.35
vs Stronger (9)0.111.110.000.250.201.80
vs Similar (19)0.001.320.001.380.001.27
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W02L00D00D11D01L11D10W00DH·HAM20/04A·KEL27/04H·QUE04/05H·INV07/05A·INV11/05A·PAR13/07H·MOT16/07H·EDI23/07A·CLY27/07H·KEL03/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.731.070.600.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.681.000.701.400.670.56
vs Weaker (11)0.640.270.800.400.500.17
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L02L03L03L02L02L00D10W12LH·MOR20/04H·QUE27/04H·QUE27/04A·RAI03/05A·RAI03/05H·DUN16/07H·ANN20/07A·INV23/07A·BON27/07A·STE03/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.630.851.150.292.00
vs Stronger (9)0.561.891.001.250.202.40
vs Similar (19)0.531.470.881.000.271.82
vs Weaker (2)0.502.000.002.001.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W30W00D01L12L10W10W00D11DH·HAM20/04A·KEL27/04H·QUE04/05H·INV07/05A·INV11/05A·PAR13/07H·MOT16/07H·EDI23/07A·CLY27/07H·KEL03/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.800.670.730.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.000.841.000.901.000.78
vs Weaker (11)0.360.450.400.200.330.67
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards88.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls87.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls76.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards76.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
Arbroath and Montrose have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
Arbroath and Montrose have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
Arbroath and Montrose have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Arbroath and Montrose have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
ARB wins
3
Draws
1
MON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arbroath vs Montrose · H/A from ARB
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/19HARB Vs Montrose1-0
29/12/18AMontrose Vs ARB1-1
10/11/18HARB Vs Montrose2-0
04/08/18AMontrose Vs ARB0-4
25/03/17HARB Vs Montrose0-1
11/02/17AMontrose Vs ARB1-3
02/01/17HARB Vs Montrose0-0
13/08/16AMontrose Vs ARB1-1

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/24AStenhousemuir Vs ARB2-1
27/07/24ABonnyrigg Rose Athletic Vs ARB0-1
23/07/24AInverness CT Vs ARB0-0
20/07/24HARB Vs Annan Athletic0-3
16/07/24HARB Vs Dundee0-2
03/05/24ARaith Rvs Vs ARB5-0
03/05/24ARaith Rovers Vs ARB5-0
27/04/24HARB Vs Queen's Park0-5
27/04/24HARB Vs Queens Park0-5
20/04/24HARB Vs Morton1-2

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/24HMON Vs Kelty Hearts1-1
27/07/24AClyde Vs MON0-1
23/07/24HMON Vs Edinburgh City2-1
16/07/24HMON Vs Motherwell1-1
13/07/24APartick Vs MON3-2
11/05/24AInverness CT Vs MON1-0
07/05/24HMON Vs Inverness CT0-0
04/05/24HMON Vs Queen of Sth3-2
27/04/24AKelty Hearts Vs MON0-2
20/04/24HMON Vs Hamilton1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL0.70
HomeLLLLL0.76
AwayLLDWL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%20%16%
AVG goals3.302.963.64
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %72%68%76%
Over 3.5 %40%32%48%
Scored0.881.040.72
Conceded2.421.922.92
BTTS42%56%28%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Corners10.259.0011.50
Cards2.422.672.17
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWD1.38
HomeWDDWD1.36
AwayLWLLW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%36%40%
AVG goals3.043.202.88
Over 1.5 %76%84%68%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %34%28%40%
Scored1.461.401.52
Conceded1.581.801.36
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners9.8610.739.00
Cards3.894.003.77

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArbroathArbroath3664
53%
1.8
5842+16
2.8
81%
61%
25%
10.4
56%
3.4
44%
19.7
31%
1
0001.61.2
-
2Inverness CTInverness CT3658
44%
1.6
4538+7
2.3
67%
36%
19%
8.9
42%
3.5
44%
21.4
50%
1
0001.21.1
-
3Cove RangersCove Rangers3657
44%
1.6
6244+18
2.9
86%
61%
36%
9.4
47%
2.6
22%
18.6
25%
0
0001.71.2
-
4
QO
Queen of Sth		3655
44%
1.5
4641+5
2.4
72%
44%
19%
8.7
31%
4.2
67%
21.5
51%
0
0001.31.1
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3653
42%
1.5
4845+3
2.6
72%
53%
31%
9.4
39%
3.7
44%
21.1
47%
0
0001.31.2
-
6
A
Alloa		3651
36%
1.4
5547+8
2.8
75%
50%
36%
10.4
61%
4.1
58%
20.5
42%
0
0001.51.3
-
7Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3644
31%
1.2
4046-6
2.4
75%
42%
25%
10.0
50%
3.2
42%
19.3
28%
1
1001.11.3
-
8MontroseMontrose3640
25%
1.1
4049-9
2.5
72%
50%
25%
9.3
40%
3.9
61%
20.2
34%
0
0001.11.4
-
9Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3636
28%
1.0
4168-27
3.0
81%
53%
36%
9.5
56%
3.6
47%
19.4
31%
0
0001.11.9
-
10DumbartonDumbarton3635
22%
1.0
5166-15
3.2
92%
67%
47%
11.0
53%
3.7
47%
19.2
25%
0
0001.41.8
-
Scotland: League One 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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