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Arbroath vs Montrose Result & Analysis

Date: 21/07/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 0-2
Arbroath
Arbroath
Vs
79%
15%
6%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arbroath win✗ Miss
79.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Montrose win✓ Hit
6.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L21W21W00D00D01L00D21W03LA·AYR11/04A·AYR11/04H·RAI18/04H·RAI18/04H·PAR25/04A·DUN01/05A·DUN05/05H·DUN08/05A·SPA11/07A·DUN18/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.101.290.930.941.25
vs Stronger (11)1.181.551.501.751.001.43
vs Similar (19)1.050.841.200.600.891.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-554W11D10W23L13L02L22D02L10W20WH·ALL14/03A·PET21/03H·EAS04/04H·COV07/04A·KEL11/04H·HAM18/04A·QUE25/04H·STE02/05H·DUN14/07A·STI18/07← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.701.501.711.441.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.481.831.451.911.501.75
vs Weaker (7)1.431.291.671.001.251.50
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%4%011%120%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.8%
Under 2.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.0%
No
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.7%
3-0
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
7.0%
4-1
5.0%
Arbroath goals ↓
Montrose goals →
01234
04.2%1.7%0.8%0.2%0.0%
18.9%7.0%2.1%0.5%0.1%
213%8.5%2.8%0.6%0.1%
311%7.5%2.5%0.6%0.1%
47.5%5.0%1.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arbroath goals (down), columns = Montrose goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Arbroath is 0.25 points better than Montrose in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Arbroath and Montrose are level in goals scored per game (both 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Arbroath is 1.25 goals better than Montrose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 2.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ArbroathArbroath

For 4.8 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

1206664237824294212661010696H·DUNA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRH·QUEH·AYRA·QUEA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

704332322322135275554452H·DUNA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRH·QUEH·AYRA·QUEA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

29012111111111016131288139159152322212920212424H·DUNA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRH·QUEH·AYRA·QUEA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

For 4.9 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

190722251424651044642455294196111410697H·STEA·QUEH·HAMA·KELH·COVH·EASA·PETH·ALLA·INVH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

70114113231334222342414246647H·STEA·QUEH·HAMA·KELH·COVH·EASA·PETH·ALLA·INVH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.2

⚠️ Fouls

360771914382115111371221914111016131114331136241930252624H·STEA·QUEH·HAMA·KELH·COVH·EASA·PETH·ALLA·INVH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.28.38.21.01.11.023.622.324.8
vs Stronger (18)7.76.78.51.51.61.523.921.325.8
vs Similar (32)9.010.07.50.80.90.623.223.323.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line33%33%33%18%22%15%67%50%83%
% under line67%67%67%82%78%85%33%50%17%
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.98.33.23.13.223.221.724.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (36)8.69.37.93.33.53.224.423.525.2
vs Weaker (14)8.68.09.42.72.43.220.218.023.4
% over line29%29%29%52%42%62%62%57%67%
% under line71%71%71%48%58%38%38%43%33%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.5%
Under 9.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.5%
Under 3.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
100.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arbroath or Draw✗ Miss
93.7%
Avg Implied -
79%
15%
6%
covers Arbroath + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arbroath or Montrose✓ Hit
85.4%
Avg Implied -
79%
15%
6%
covers Arbroath + Montrose
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Montrose✓ Hit
20.9%
Avg Implied -
79%
15%
6%
covers Draw + Montrose
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arbroath over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
93.1%
Under
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
74.5%
Under
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
49.8%
Under
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
27.9%
Under
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
48.7%
Under
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Arbroath, so a minus line means Arbroath give that many goals of a start and Montrose receive them. At -1, Arbroath must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arbroath win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Arbroath)Actual: Montrose
Arbroath -2
36.8%
Draw -2
22.1%
Montrose +2
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Arbroath)Actual: Montrose
Arbroath -1
58.8%
Draw -1
20.2%
Montrose +1
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Arbroath)Actual: Montrose
Arbroath +1
93.7%
Draw +1
4.6%
Montrose -1
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Arbroath)Actual: Draw
Arbroath +2
98.3%
Draw +2
1.4%
Montrose -2
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D10W10W00D00D01L00D10W01LA·AYR11/04A·AYR11/04H·RAI18/04H·RAI18/04H·PAR25/04A·DUN01/05A·DUN05/05H·DUN08/05A·SPA11/07A·DUN18/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.430.140.560.62
vs Stronger (11)0.450.360.500.250.430.43
vs Similar (19)0.530.420.400.100.670.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D10W00D01L00D01L10W01L10W20WH·ALL14/03A·PET21/03H·EAS04/04H·COV07/04A·KEL11/04H·HAM18/04A·QUE25/04H·STE02/05H·DUN14/07A·STI18/07← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.790.640.690.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.780.570.820.640.750.50
vs Weaker (7)0.570.570.670.670.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D11D00D00D00D00D11D02LA·AYR11/04A·AYR11/04H·RAI18/04H·RAI18/04H·PAR25/04A·DUN01/05A·DUN05/05H·DUN08/05A·SPA11/07A·DUN18/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.860.790.380.62
vs Stronger (11)0.731.181.001.500.571.00
vs Similar (19)0.530.420.800.500.220.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W01L10W22D13L01L12L01L00D00DH·ALL14/03A·PET21/03H·EAS04/04H·COV07/04A·KEL11/04H·HAM18/04A·QUE25/04H·STE02/05H·DUN14/07A·STI18/07← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.130.711.070.751.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.701.260.641.270.751.25
vs Weaker (7)0.860.711.000.330.751.00
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls100.0%--------
Under 23.5 fouls100.0%--------
Under 21.5 fouls100.0%--------
Under 19.5 fouls99.8%--------
Away under 3.5 goals99.5%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap98.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 7.597.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals97.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.594.7%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw93.7%-------✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap93.7%-------✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals93.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.587.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals85.5%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away85.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.585.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners85.0%--------
Under 5.5 cards80.2%--------
Home win79.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners76.5%--------
Under 4.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.6%--------
Home over 1.5 goals74.5%-------✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals72.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Arbroath and Montrose have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Arbroath and Montrose have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Arbroath and Montrose have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Arbroath and Montrose have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
ARB wins
3
Draws
0
MON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arbroath vs Montrose · H/A from ARB
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/25AMontrose Vs ARB0-1
28/12/24HARB Vs Montrose3-0
09/11/24AMontrose Vs ARB1-1
10/08/24HARB Vs Montrose0-0
06/04/19HARB Vs Montrose1-0
29/12/18AMontrose Vs ARB1-1
10/11/18HARB Vs Montrose2-0
04/08/18AMontrose Vs ARB0-4

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26ADundee Utd Vs ARB3-0
11/07/26ASpartans Vs ARB1-2
08/05/26HARB Vs Dunfermline0-0
05/05/26ADunfermline Vs ARB1-0
01/05/26ADunfermline Vs ARB0-0
25/04/26HARB Vs Partick0-0
18/04/26HARB Vs Raith Rovers2-1
18/04/26HARB Vs Raith Rvs2-1
11/04/26AAyr Utd Vs ARB1-0
11/04/26AAyr Vs ARB1-0

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26AStirling Vs MON0-2
14/07/26HMON Vs Dundee Utd1-0
02/05/26HMON Vs Stenhousemuir0-2
25/04/26AQueen of Sth Vs MON2-2
18/04/26HMON Vs Hamilton0-2
11/04/26AKelty Hearts Vs MON3-1
07/04/26HMON Vs Cove Rangers2-3
04/04/26HMON Vs East Fife1-0
21/03/26APeterhead Vs MON1-1
14/03/26HMON Vs Alloa5-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.42
HomeLWWDD1.87
AwayLDLWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%26%
AVG goals2.322.432.22
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %46%43%48%
Over 3.5 %18%26%11%
Scored1.161.480.89
Conceded1.160.961.33
BTTS50%57%44%
Clean Sheet28%39%19%
Corners8.258.338.17
Cards4.334.334.33
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.16
HomeWLLLW1.38
AwayLDLDW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%23%
AVG goals3.183.123.23
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %64%62%65%
Over 3.5 %38%29%46%
Scored1.361.381.35
Conceded1.821.751.88
BTTS62%54%69%
Clean Sheet14%12%15%
Corners8.578.868.29
Cards3.763.573.95

🏆 17. League Table

Arbroath plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir410
75%
2.5
82+6
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.5
-
2PartickPartick48
50%
2.0
41+3
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.2
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.20.8
-
4ArbroathArbroath47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
-
5LivingstonLivingston46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.00.8
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
23-1
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.50.8
-
8Inverness CTInverness CT43
0%
0.8
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.0
-
9MortonMorton41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.5
-
10QueenQueen's Park41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.21.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
Montrose plays in Scotland - League One
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical513
80%
2.6
110+11
2.2
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.0
-
2Ross CountyRoss County412
100%
3.0
102+8
3.0
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.50.5
-
3Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic58
40%
1.6
62+4
1.6
60%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.4
-
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
5PeterheadPeterhead57
40%
1.4
46-2
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
6East FifeEast Fife56
20%
1.2
32+1
1.0
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.60.4
-
7MontroseMontrose56
40%
1.2
611-5
3.4
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers54
20%
0.8
36-3
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
-
9Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United53
0%
0.6
28-6
2.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.6
-
10Queen of the SouthQueen of the South40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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