Arbroath vs Raith Rovers Result & Analysis

Arbroath’s defensive record at home is fragile, conceding two goals per match, while Raith Rovers keep just over one on the road. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 41% chance of victory, a 32% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of a home win. The expected total goals is 2.1, centring on a 2-goal outcome that carries a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.6% chance. Raith’s away form shows they score 0.7 and concede 1.2 against similar opposition, whereas Arbroath’s home form shows 0.73 scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 85.8%, Under 3.5 goals at 83.1% (hit), Under 5.5 cards at 82.7%, Over 8.5 corners at 75.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 74.4% and Over 2.5 cards at 71.9%. All figures are presented as percentages.

Arbroath’s 2-game winning run was halted as Raith Rovers, fresh from a defeat, secured a 1-2 victory, confirming the model’s favourite of an away win with a 41% probability. The predicted 2-goal total proved accurate, and the model’s single selection, Under 3.5, hit its mark with an 83.1% chance. The final score matched the expected 1-1 or 0-1 outcomes, and the away side’s average 1.2 goals conceded at home helped seal the result. Overall, the Pythia model delivered on its pick and the under-goals call, reinforcing its reliability in this fixture.