Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv Result & Analysis

The contest between Arda Kardzhali and Botev Plovdiv is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 35% for a home victory, 27% for a draw and 39% for an away triumph, making the latter the most likely outcome. On average, the match should see about 2.9 goals, with the most probable total being two goals at 24%. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 12.5% chance.

Arda, playing at home against a team of similar strength, has been modest in attack, scoring 0.86 goals per game while conceding 1.29. Botev, on the road and also facing a comparable opponent, is more prolific, netting 2.12 goals per match and allowing 1.12. Recent form adds intrigue: Arda is on a four-game winning streak, while Botev has just bounced back from three consecutive defeats.

The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 89.4%, Over 19.5 fouls at 82.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 80.4%, Over 3.5 cards at 76.7%, and Under 11.5 corners at 70.1%. Each is presented with its own probability, reflecting the expected intensity and style of the encounter.

The upset came early as Arda Kardzhali snapped a four-game winning streak to defeat Botev Plovdiv 2-1, overturning the model’s pre-match favourite, an away win, which was wrong. The final score was 2-1 and the actual result was a home win. The model’s selection of an away win, with a 39% probability, proved incorrect. Among the suggested picks, Over 19.5 fouls at 82.2% hit, Over 1.5 at 80.4% hit, while Over 2.5 cards at 89.4% missed, Over 3.5 cards at 76.7% missed, and Under 11.5 corners at 70.1% missed. The match finished with a 2-1 scoreline, ending Arda’s run of victories.