Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia Result & Analysis

Arda Kardzhali are the favoured side, with a 54% chance of triumph, while the draw sits at 26% and the away win at 20%. The model predicts an average of 2.7 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.5% probability. Arda, playing at home against a similarly-rated opponent, averages 1.56 goals scored and 0.44 conceded, whereas Septemvri Sofia, on the road, averages 1.44 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 90%, Under 11.5 corners at 79%, Over 3.5 cards at 77.8%, Over 19.5 fouls at 77.5%, Over 1.5 at 75.7%, and Under 3.5 at 72.1%. The match is expected to be a tight contest, with Arda’s home form and defensive solidity giving them a clear edge.

The upset came as Arda Kardzhali, riding a four-game winning streak, fell to a 0-1 defeat at home to Septemvri Sofia, who had just drawn their previous match. The pre-match favourite was the home win at 54 percent, but the model’s call proved wrong. The match finished with an away victory, a 0-1 scoreline. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 2.5 cards hit at 90 percent, Under 11.5 corners missed at 79 percent, Over 3.5 cards hit at 77.8 percent, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 77.5 percent, Over 1.5 missed at 75.7 percent, and Under 3.5 hit at 72.1 percent.