This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Egersund
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.63
1.71
2.14
1.75
1.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.41
1.95
1.45
2.27
1.36
1.64
vs Weaker (8)
2.62
0.75
2.67
1.67
2.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Arendal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.8%
Under 1.5
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.8%
Under 2.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.8%
Under 3.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
70.1%
No
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.8%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
7.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-2 ✓
6.2%
0-3
5.2%
2-3
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
Arendal goals ↓
Egersund goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.7%
4.3%
6.3%
5.2%
3.2%
1
2.1%
7.8%
8.8%
7.4%
4.6%
2
2.0%
5.0%
6.2%
5.2%
3.2%
3
0.9%
2.4%
2.9%
2.4%
1.5%
4
0.3%
0.8%
1.0%
0.9%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arendal goals (down), columns = Egersund goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.60
Fredrikstad
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Lillestrom
2.43
KFUM Oslo
2.40
Brann
2.33
Ranheim
2.33
Sogndal
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.29
Asane
2.25
Rosenborg
2.20
Molde
2.00
Træff
2.00
Rana
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Lysekloster
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Tromso
2.00
Sandefjord
2.00
Aalesund
2.00
Stromsgodset
2.00
Start
2.00
Lyn
2.00
Moss
2.00
Kongsvinger
2.00
Haugesund
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Kristiansund BK
1.83
Bryne
1.75
Egersund
1.75
Grorud
1.67
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Lørenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Levanger
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Kjelsås
1.50
Flint
1.50
Follo
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.33
Mjondalen
1.25
Djerv
1.00
Asker
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
Førde
0.92
Madla
0.92
Vigør
0.92
Vestfossen
0.92
Finnsnes
0.92
Gamle Oslo
0.50
Sotra
0.50
Nardo
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Ull/Kisa
0.50
hodd
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Brumunddal
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Råde
0.00
Hønefoss
0.00
Eik-Tønsberg
0.00
ODD Ballklubb
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Arendal is 0.75 points worse than Egersund in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
6.00
Alta
4.67
Haugesund
4.67
Levanger
4.50
Rosenborg
4.40
Bodo/Glimt
4.33
Tromso
3.67
Molde
3.50
Follo
3.50
Fredrikstad
3.25
Brann
3.00
Stromsgodset
3.00
Start
3.00
Viking
3.00
Stabaek
3.00
Strommen
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Kristiansund BK
2.83
Asane
2.75
Egersund
2.75
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.71
Tromsdalen Uil
2.67
Sandefjord
2.67
Ranheim
2.67
Eidsvold
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Raufoss
2.50
Lillestrom
2.29
KFUM Oslo
2.20
Rana
2.00
Asker
2.00
Grorud
2.00
Mjondalen
2.00
Bærum
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Moss
2.00
Aalesund
1.80
Ham-Kam
1.75
Bryne
1.75
Lyn
1.67
Træff
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Lørenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Nardo
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Flint
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Førde
1.44
Madla
1.44
Vigør
1.44
Vestfossen
1.44
Finnsnes
1.44
Pors Grenland
1.33
Djerv
1.00
Gamle Oslo
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Brumunddal
1.00
Råde
1.00
Eik-Tønsberg
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
hodd
1.00
Sotra
0.50
Strindheim
0.50
Kjelsås
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Hønefoss
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Arendal is 1.75 goals worse than Egersund in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viking
0.17
Brann
0.33
Tromso
0.33
Lillestrom
0.43
Træff
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.50
jerv
0.50
Ham-Kam
0.50
Stromsgodset
0.50
KFUM Oslo
0.60
Bodo/Glimt
0.67
Molde
0.75
Rosenborg
0.80
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Trygg/Lade
1.00
Lørenskog
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Levanger
1.00
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Eidsvold
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
Lyn
1.00
Bryne
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Stabaek
1.20
Grorud
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Moss
1.33
Sogndal
1.33
Bjarg
1.50
Sotra
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Kjelsås
1.50
Lysekloster
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Egersund
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.67
Rana
1.67
Tromsdalen Uil
1.67
Ranheim
1.67
Strommen
1.67
Mjondalen
1.75
Kongsvinger
1.75
Asker
2.00
Vard
2.00
Gneist
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Råde
2.00
Bærum
2.00
Flekkerøy
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
Start
2.00
hodd
2.00
Sandnes ULF
2.00
Asane
2.25
Sandviken (Norway)
2.50
Follo
2.50
Ull/Kisa
2.50
Førde
2.68
Madla
2.68
Vigør
2.68
Vestfossen
2.68
Finnsnes
2.68
Junkeren
3.00
Notodden
3.00
Ulfstind
3.00
Nardo
3.00
ODD Ballklubb
3.00
Gamle Oslo
3.50
Flint
3.50
Brumunddal
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Arendal is 0.50 goals better than Egersund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arendal or Draw✓ Hit
39.6%
Avg Implied -
20%
20%
60%
covers Arendal + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arendal or Egersund✗ Miss
80.2%
Avg Implied -
20%
20%
60%
covers Arendal + Egersund
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Egersund✓ Hit
80.2%
Avg Implied -
20%
20%
60%
covers Draw + Egersund
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arendal over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.7%
Under
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arendal over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.3%
Under
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arendal over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.0%
Under
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arendal over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.7%
Under
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
71.1%
Under
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
45.5%
Under
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
24.1%
Under
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Arendal, so a minus line means Arendal give that many goals of a start and Egersund receive them. At -1, Arendal must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arendal win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Arendal)Actual: Egersund
Arendal -2
3.0%
Draw -2
5.7%
Egersund +2
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Arendal)Actual: Egersund
Arendal -1
8.7%
Draw -1
11.1%
Egersund +1
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Arendal)Actual: Arendal
Arendal +1
39.6%
Draw +1
20.2%
Egersund -1
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Arendal)Actual: Arendal
Arendal +2
59.8%
Draw +2
17.7%
Egersund -2
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arendal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
71% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Egersund
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.64
1.00
0.88
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.82
0.55
1.00
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Arendal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arendal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arendal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arendal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arendal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
1.43
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
1.60
0.67
1.33
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
-
-
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
29% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Egersund
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.90
1.07
1.14
0.88
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.82
1.14
0.91
1.27
0.73
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
0.25
1.67
0.67
1.20
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Arendal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arendal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arendal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arendal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →