PythiaFootballBETA
Arges Pitesti's recent form has been impressive, with a 3-game winning streak, including a 1-0 win over Universitatea Craiova. However, they face a challenging test against Csikszereda, who have struggled on the road, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in similar-strength matches.
The model predicts a home win, with a probability of 58%, while the draw is 28% and away win is 14%. The expected total goals are 2.1, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-0, with a probability of 17.3%.
At home, Arges Pitesti has scored an average of 1.12 goals and conceded 0.88. Csikszereda, on the other hand, has scored 0.7 goals and conceded 2.0 when playing away against similar-strength opponents.
The model's selections include Under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 83.6% and a 6% edge, Over 21.5 fouls, with a probability of 82.1%, and Over 3.5 cards, with a probability of 71.1% and a 13% edge.
The home win percentage is 58%, draw percentage is 28%, and away win percentage is 14%.
The win extends Arges Pitesti's run to four consecutive victories, following their 1-0 triumph over Csikszereda. The final scoreline of 1-0 also matched the most likely outcome predicted by the model, with a probability of 17%. The model correctly identified the home win as its selection, with a pre-match probability of 58%. The model's call was correct, as the home side emerged victorious.
The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with an 83.6% probability, while Over 21.5 fouls and Over 3.5 cards also came in, both with high probabilities of 82.1% and 71.1%, respectively.
Arges Pitesti| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.07 | 0.93 | 1.12 | 0.82 | 1.00 | 1.08 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.88 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.95 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 2.33 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
Csikszereda| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 1.57 | 1.23 | 0.85 | 0.82 | 2.12 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 1.17 | 1.83 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.95 | 1.64 | 1.36 | 0.82 | 0.55 | 2.45 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+4pp vs league) | |||||
| Csikszereda goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 13% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 17% | 12% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 14% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Arges PitestiCsikszeredaArges Pitesti| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.6 | 9.1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 25.6 | 25.5 | 25.7 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 10.6 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 25.5 | 27.4 | 24.0 |
| vs Similar (34) | 9.3 | 9.3 | 9.2 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 25.5 | 24.7 | 26.4 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 8.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 26.5 | 27.0 | 26.0 |
| % over line | 48% | 43% | 52% | 54% | 56% | 52% | 74% | 71% | 76% |
| % under line | 52% | 57% | 48% | 46% | 44% | 48% | 26% | 29% | 24% |
Csikszereda| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 24.5 | 22.5 | 26.4 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 10.2 | 12.8 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 20.2 | 18.6 | 23.0 |
| vs Similar (37) | 8.4 | 10.4 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 25.6 | 24.4 | 26.8 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 11.0 | 10.0 | 11.5 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 24.7 | 16.0 | 29.0 |
| % over line | 44% | 70% | 19% | 56% | 58% | 54% | 61% | 60% | 62% |
| % under line | 56% | 30% | 81% | 44% | 42% | 46% | 39% | 40% | 38% |
Arges Pitesti| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.43 | 0.30 | 0.59 | 0.29 | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.37 | 0.21 | 0.45 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.33 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 77% (+48pp vs league) | |||||
Csikszereda| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.37 | 0.80 | 0.54 | 0.46 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.00 | 1.17 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.41 | 0.77 | 0.64 | 0.36 | 0.18 | 1.18 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+21pp vs league) | |||||
Arges Pitesti| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.58 | 0.74 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.62 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+21pp vs league) | |||||
Csikszereda| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.77 | 0.69 | 0.38 | 0.59 | 1.06 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 1.17 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.55 | 0.86 | 0.73 | 0.45 | 0.36 | 1.27 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 88.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 88.4% | 1.24 | 1.31 | 1.17 | - | - | - | +14.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 84.3% | 1.24 | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.23 | +10.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 83.6% | 1.21 | 1.25 | 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.22 | 1.22 | +6.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 78.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 10.5 corners | 75.6% | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.46 | 1.45 | 1.44 | 1.44 | +11.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 3.5 cards | 74.9% | 1.58 | 1.70 | 1.46 | - | - | - | +16.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 | A | 0-2 | |
| 02/08/25 | H | 3-1 | |
| 18/05/25 | A | 0-4 | |
| 19/04/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 26/08/24 | H | 0-1 | |
| 26/02/24 | A | 2-1 |
Arges Pitesti| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 17/07/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 22/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 15/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 27/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 21/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 13/04/26 | A | 0-0 |
Csikszereda| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 20/07/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 01/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 24/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 13/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 1-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Dinamo Bucuresti | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 2.8 | 67% | 50% | 33% | 8.3 | 17% | 5.3 | 50% | 22.7 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 54% |
| 2 |  FCSB | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 2.3 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 11.3 | 67% | 4.7 | 83% | 25.8 | 100% | 34 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 58% |
| 3 |  Rapid | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 1.7 | 50% | 17% | 17% | 12.0 | 67% | 5.7 | 50% | 22.7 | 50% | 25 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 51% |
| 4 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 3.5 | 83% | 67% | 67% | 8.0 | 17% | 5.0 | 83% | 20.8 | 33% | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 60% |
| 5 | Arges Pitesti | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.4 | 40% | 0% | 0% | 9.0 | 60% | 5.8 | 60% | 25.0 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 43% |
| 6 |  Corvinul Hunedoara | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 1.7 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 8.2 | 33% | 4.6 | 60% | 25.0 | 67% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 46% |
| 7 |  Farul Constanta | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 33% | 8.0 | 33% | 4.7 | 83% | 21.5 | 33% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 48% |
| 8 |  Universitatea Cluj | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.6 | 80% | 80% | 0% | 8.6 | 20% | 5.6 | 80% | 24.2 | 60% | 19 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 54% |
| 9 |  Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 9 | 50% | 1.5 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2.0 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 8.2 | 17% | 6.3 | 67% | 25.5 | 83% | 12 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 45% |
| 10 |  Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 6 | 7 | 17% | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 1.0 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 10.7 | 50% | 4.3 | 67% | 23.0 | 50% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50% |
| 11 |  CFR 1907 Cluj | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 40% | 10.4 | 60% | 2.2 | 20% | 20.2 | 40% | 40 | 18 | 5 | 17 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 55% |
| 12 |  Oţelul | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | 8.4 | 40% | 4.8 | 60% | 26.4 | 80% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 53% |
| 13 |  FC Voluntari | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 3.5 | 83% | 83% | 67% | 7.0 | 17% | 4.2 | 60% | 21.0 | 50% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 40% |
| 14 |  FC Botosani | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | 11.0 | 40% | 7.5 | 100% | 24.4 | 80% | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 49% |
| 15 |  Uta Arad | 6 | 3 | 0% | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.0 | 50% | 50% | 33% | 8.7 | 50% | 5.0 | 100% | 28.7 | 83% | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 48% |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | 7.0 | 20% | 5.5 | 100% | 27.8 | 100% | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 45% |