Arges Pitesti’s recent five matches (LLDWW) ended after two straight defeats, while FCSB’s last five (LLWDD) also finished with two losses, leaving both sides rattled. The model favours an away win at 60%, with a 19% chance for a home victory and a 21% chance of a draw. The expected total is 3.7 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-2, a 9.3% probability. Arges Pitesti, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. FCSB, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (96.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.6% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (92.0%), Away +2 handicap (91.9% with a 14% edge), Over 1.5 (88.9% with an 18% edge), Over 19.5 fouls (88.2%), Over 2.5 cards (86.4%), and Home under 2.5 goals (85.6% with a 3% edge).
Results analysis
The Cupa României clash saw FCSB extend their winning run, as the model’s favourite - an away win - proved correct with a 0-5 triumph. The pre-match odds placed the away side at 60% probability, a figure the outcome matched. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit, Home under 3.5 goals hit, Under 6.5 hit, Away +2 handicap hit, Over 1.5 hit, and Home under 2.5 goals hit. Each hit came with its own probability - 96.6%, 95.6%, 92.0%, 91.9%, 88.9%, and 85.6% respectively - underscoring the strength of the model’s predictions.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arges Pitesti win✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied 38.5% · @ 2.35
Edge
-19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Dafabet
2.43
Betano
2.42
Betfair
2.38
Draw✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.15
Edge
-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.45
Bet365
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Dafabet
3.25
Unibet
3.20
FCSB win✓ Hit
60.3%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.77
Edge
+27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.90
Betano
2.87
1xBet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.85
Dafabet
2.85
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arges Pitesti
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.93
0.88
0.81
0.86
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
0.33
0.67
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.80
1.00
0.92
0.75
0.62
1.38
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FCSB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.40
1.81
1.31
1.36
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
2.50
1.00
3.50
0.75
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.83
1.13
2.00
1.00
1.60
1.30
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.9%
@ 1.30+18.2%
Under 1.5
11.1%
@ 3.14-18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Under
Unibet
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.0%
@ 1.97+24.0%
Under 2.5
29.0%
@ 1.75-24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
Bet365
2.00
Under
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.0%
@ 3.29+22.2%
Under 3.5
50.0%
@ 1.27-22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.65
Betano
3.50
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
3.30
1xBet
3.28
Under
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.8%
@ 1.72+13.7%
No
33.2%
@ 1.95-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
No
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.3%@ 9.40+4.7%
1-1
8.6%@ 5.77+1.2%
1-3
7.3%@ 21.44+5.3%
0-2
7.1%@ 12.89+3.8%
2-2
6.1%@ 12.49+2.6%
0-3
5.6%@ 28.84+4.1%
0-1
5.2%@ 8.05-0.1%
2-1
5.1%@ 8.63+0.1%
Arges Pitesti goals ↓
FCSB goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.3%
5.2%
7.1%
5.6%
3.3%
1
2.5%
8.6%
9.3%
7.3%
4.4%
2
2.2%
5.1%
6.1%
4.8%
2.8%
3
0.9%
2.2%
2.6%
2.1%
1.2%
4
0.3%
0.7%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arges Pitesti goals (down), columns = FCSB goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arges Pitesti
2.33
Viitorul Arad
2.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.33
Gloria Bistriţa
2.29
Agricola Borcea
2.25
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
2.25
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.20
ACS Mediaş 2022
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
2.00
Plopeni
2.00
Oltul Curtişoara
2.00
Farul Constanta
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
Metalul Buzău
2.00
Jiul Petroşani
2.00
Săcele
2.00
LPS HD Clinceni
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Cetatea
2.00
Păușești
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Universitatea Cluj
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Concordia
1.80
Csikszereda
1.75
FC Botosani
1.75
Uta Arad
1.75
Sporting Lieşti
1.67
Universitatea Craiova
1.67
Dumbrăviţa
1.67
Sighetu Marmaţiei
1.67
Timişul Şag
1.50
Pucioasa
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
CSM FC Vaslui
1.50
Progresul Fundulea
1.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.50
AFC Hermannstadt
1.50
Tunari
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Ştefăneşti
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
1.50
Sânmartin
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
Sănătatea Cluj
1.43
Slatina
1.40
Rapid
1.33
FCSB
1.33
Oţelul
1.33
CSM Satu Mare
1.33
Viitorul Onesti
1.33
Gloria Băneasa
1.33
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.25
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Metaloglobus
1.25
CS Dinamo București
1.17
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Minaur Baia Mare
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Aerostar Bacau
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Viitorul Cluj
1.00
Voința Crevedia
0.99
CSM Targu Jiu
0.99
Bradul Putna
0.99
Berca
0.99
Cetatea Suceava
0.99
Inter Sibiu
0.99
Progresul Mogosoaia
0.99
Corona Braşov
0.99
Chiesd
0.99
Unirea Sântana
0.99
Caransebes
0.99
Unirea DMO
0.99
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
0.99
Domnesti IF
0.99
Bihorul Beiuş
0.99
Bolintin Vale
0.99
Victoria Traian
0.99
Agigea
0.99
ASA Targu Mures
0.96
Baicoi
0.67
Râmnicu Sărat
0.50
Bihor Oradea
0.50
Progresul Pecica
0.50
CS Afumati
0.50
CSM Adjud
0.00
U Craiova 1948
0.00
Crişul Sântandrei
0.00
CSM Reşiţa
0.00
USV Iaşi
0.00
CIL Blaj
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Minerul Lupeni
0.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
0.00
Valenii de Munte
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Alexandria
0.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
0.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
0.00
Academica Balș
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Blejoi
0.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
0.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
0.00
Gilortul
0.00
Tricolorul Breaza
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Unirea Braniştea
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Păuleşti
0.00
Urban Titu
0.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
0.00
Arges Pitesti is 1.00 points better than FCSB in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
CSM FC Vaslui
8.00
Timişul Şag
5.00
CSM Satu Mare
4.00
Ştefăneşti
4.00
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
3.75
Râmnicu Sărat
3.50
Csikszereda
3.50
Metalul Buzău
2.83
Concordia
2.80
Gloria Bistriţa
2.57
Progresul Fundulea
2.50
Chindia Targoviste
2.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
2.33
Sporting Lieşti
2.33
Oltul Curtişoara
2.33
Săcele
2.33
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.33
Sănătatea Cluj
2.14
U Craiova 1948
2.00
Slatina
2.00
USV Iaşi
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
2.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
2.00
Tunari
2.00
Rapid
2.00
Metaloglobus
2.00
Târgu Secuiesc
2.00
Cetatea
2.00
Agricola Borcea
2.00
Tricolorul Breaza
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Gloria Băneasa
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2.00
Arges Pitesti
1.83
Universitatea Craiova
1.83
FCSB
1.67
Oţelul
1.67
Viitorul Arad
1.67
Baicoi
1.67
Pucioasa
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
Progresul Pecica
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Farul Constanta
1.50
FC Botosani
1.50
Dumbrăviţa
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
Uta Arad
1.50
Voința Crevedia
1.41
CSM Targu Jiu
1.41
Bradul Putna
1.41
Berca
1.41
Cetatea Suceava
1.41
Inter Sibiu
1.41
Progresul Mogosoaia
1.41
Corona Braşov
1.41
Chiesd
1.41
Unirea Sântana
1.41
Caransebes
1.41
Unirea DMO
1.41
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
1.41
Domnesti IF
1.41
Bihorul Beiuş
1.41
Bolintin Vale
1.41
Victoria Traian
1.41
Agigea
1.41
ASA Targu Mures
1.37
Jiul Petroşani
1.33
Sighetu Marmaţiei
1.33
Păușești
1.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
1.33
AFC Hermannstadt
1.25
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.20
Crişul Sântandrei
1.00
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.00
Unirea Dej
1.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
1.00
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.00
CS Dinamo București
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
CS Afumati
1.00
Unirea Bascov
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
LPS HD Clinceni
1.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.00
Academica Balș
1.00
Axiopolis
1.00
Sânmartin
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Blejoi
1.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
1.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
1.00
Gilortul
1.00
Unirea Braniştea
1.00
Stiinta Miroslava
1.00
Păuleşti
1.00
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.00
Viitorul Onesti
0.67
Bihor Oradea
0.50
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
0.50
Viitorul Cluj
0.50
CSM Adjud
0.00
CSM Reşiţa
0.00
CIL Blaj
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Minerul Lupeni
0.00
Minaur Baia Mare
0.00
Valenii de Munte
0.00
Alexandria
0.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
Aerostar Bacau
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Urban Titu
0.00
Arges Pitesti is 0.17 goals better than FCSB in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Minaur Baia Mare
0.00
Aerostar Bacau
0.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.20
Farul Constanta
0.25
LPS HD Clinceni
0.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.33
Agricola Borcea
0.50
Viitorul Cluj
0.50
Uta Arad
0.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
0.67
Unirea Alba Iulia
0.67
Universitatea Craiova
0.67
Viitorul Onesti
0.67
Sighetu Marmaţiei
0.67
Păușești
0.67
Csikszereda
0.75
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.75
Universitatea Cluj
0.83
CSM Adjud
1.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.00
Minerul Lupeni
1.00
Plopeni
1.00
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Bihor Oradea
1.00
Alexandria
1.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
1.00
Rapid
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Viitorul Arad
1.00
Jiul Petroşani
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
1.00
Gloria Băneasa
1.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.00
Concordia
1.00
Arges Pitesti
1.17
AFC Hermannstadt
1.25
Gloria Bistriţa
1.29
Sănătatea Cluj
1.43
Timişul Şag
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
CSM FC Vaslui
1.50
Tunari
1.50
FC Botosani
1.50
Chindia Targoviste
1.50
Dumbrăviţa
1.50
CS Afumati
1.50
Ştefăneşti
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
Popești-Leordeni
1.50
CSM Satu Mare
1.67
Metalul Buzău
1.67
Săcele
1.67
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.75
Metaloglobus
1.75
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.75
Slatina
1.80
Crişul Sântandrei
2.00
CIL Blaj
2.00
Progresul Spartac
2.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
2.00
Oltul Curtişoara
2.00
Progresul Pecica
2.00
FCSB
2.00
Oţelul
2.00
CS Dinamo București
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
2.00
Unirea Bascov
2.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
2.00
Academica Balș
2.00
Înainte Modelu
2.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.00
Baicoi
2.00
Păuleşti
2.00
Urban Titu
2.00
Voința Crevedia
2.14
CSM Targu Jiu
2.14
Bradul Putna
2.14
Berca
2.14
Cetatea Suceava
2.14
Inter Sibiu
2.14
Progresul Mogosoaia
2.14
Corona Braşov
2.14
Chiesd
2.14
Unirea Sântana
2.14
Caransebes
2.14
Unirea DMO
2.14
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
2.14
Domnesti IF
2.14
Bihorul Beiuş
2.14
Bolintin Vale
2.14
Victoria Traian
2.14
Agigea
2.14
ASA Targu Mures
2.20
Pucioasa
2.50
Progresul Fundulea
2.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.50
Cetatea
2.67
Gheorgheni
2.67
U Craiova 1948
3.00
Sporting Lieşti
3.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
3.00
Târgu Secuiesc
3.00
Blejoi
3.00
Gilortul
3.00
Tricolorul Breaza
3.00
Unirea Braniştea
3.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3.00
Râmnicu Sărat
4.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
4.00
Valenii de Munte
4.00
Unirea Dej
4.00
Stiinta Miroslava
4.00
FC Voluntari
4.50
USV Iaşi
5.00
Axiopolis
5.00
Sânmartin
5.50
Filiaşi
9.00
Arges Pitesti is 0.83 goals better than FCSB in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arges Pitesti or Draw✗ Miss
39.7%
Avg Implied 67.1% · @ 1.37
Edge
-27.4%
19%
21%
60%
covers Arges Pitesti + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Arges Pitesti or FCSB✓ Hit
79.5%
Avg Implied 72.2% · @ 1.27
Edge
+7.3%
19%
21%
60%
covers Arges Pitesti + FCSB
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Draw or FCSB✓ Hit
80.8%
Avg Implied 60.7% · @ 1.51
Edge
+20.1%
19%
21%
60%
covers Draw + FCSB
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.53
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arges Pitesti over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.9%
@ 1.28+0.8%
Under
27.1%
@ 3.32-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Unibet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Under
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.34
Unibet
3.30
Betano
3.30
Arges Pitesti over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.5%
@ 2.35-2.0%
Under
62.5%
@ 1.53+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
Superbet
2.42
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.30
Under
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Arges Pitesti over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 5.22-3.4%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.13+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Unibet
5.00
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Arges Pitesti over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 11.75-3.7%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
FCSB over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.7%
@ 1.34+21.6%
Under
9.3%
@ 3.00-21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Unibet
1.30
Under
Unibet
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Betano
2.95
1xBet
2.93
FCSB over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
68.5%
@ 2.62+33.0%
Under
31.5%
@ 1.44-33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.73
Superbet
2.67
Betano
2.65
Marathonbet
2.61
1xBet
2.60
Under
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
FCSB over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
42.2%
@ 6.30+27.5%
Under
57.8%
@ 1.09-27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Superbet
6.40
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
FCSB over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
21.5%
@ 13.88+14.7%
Under
78.5%
@ 1.02-14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Arges Pitesti, so a minus line means Arges Pitesti give that many goals of a start and FCSB receive them. At -1, Arges Pitesti must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arges Pitesti win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Arges Pitesti)Actual: FCSB
Arges Pitesti -2
2.6%
@ 10.25-6.0%
Draw -2
5.4%
@ 6.50-8.2%
FCSB +2
91.9%
@ 1.15+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Draw
Superbet
6.50
Unibet
6.50
Away
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.13
Handicap -1 (Arges Pitesti)Actual: FCSB
Arges Pitesti -1
8.1%
@ 4.69-10.8%
Draw -1
11.1%
@ 3.94-11.4%
FCSB +1
80.8%
@ 1.51+22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.75
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Draw
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
Unibet
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Away
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Handicap +1 (Arges Pitesti)Actual: FCSB
Arges Pitesti +1
39.7%
@ 1.40-23.3%
Draw +1
20.8%
@ 4.25+0.0%
FCSB -1
39.5%
@ 5.40+23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Unibet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.33
Draw
Superbet
4.35
Marathonbet
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Away
Marathonbet
5.65
Superbet
5.55
Unibet
5.40
Betfair
5.00
Handicap +2 (Arges Pitesti)Actual: FCSB
Arges Pitesti +2
60.5%
@ 1.12-19.1%
Draw +2
18.0%
@ 7.15+5.5%
FCSB -2
21.6%
@ 11.25+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.10
Draw
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
6.80
Away
Unibet
11.50
Superbet
11.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arges Pitesti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.23
0.44
0.19
0.21
0.29
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.43
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.30
0.20
0.42
0.17
0.12
0.25
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FCSB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
1.00
0.69
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
1.33
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.04
0.52
1.08
0.46
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
Under
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.80
Superbet
2.80
Betano
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.05
Superbet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.89
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.82
Under
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.50
1xBet
7.20
William Hil
7.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arges Pitesti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.06
1xBet
2.03
Unibet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Superbet
1.67
Arges Pitesti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Arges Pitesti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
FCSB over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.26
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Unibet
2.08
Under
Unibet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.60
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
FCSB over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
FCSB over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arges Pitesti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.44
0.62
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.29
0.00
0.33
0.25
0.25
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.80
0.50
0.58
0.50
1.12
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FCSB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.81
0.62
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.17
1.17
0.00
1.50
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
0.78
0.61
0.92
0.54
0.60
0.70
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Under
Betano
3.70
Superbet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Unibet
2.10
Under
Betano
1.67
Unibet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.00
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arges Pitesti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Under
Betano
2.02
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.92
Arges Pitesti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Arges Pitesti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
FCSB over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Under
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
FCSB over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.35
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
FCSB over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.0%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.9%
1.15
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.13
-
-
-
+14.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.9%
1.30
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.28
+18.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
85.6%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
83.4%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-10.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
79.5%
1.27
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
Unibet
1.29
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.8%
1.19
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
-
+1.6%
-
Away under 3.5 goals
78.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-14.7%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
72.9%
1.28
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Unibet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
-
+0.8%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
71.7%
1.45
Superbet
1.45
-
-
-
-
+8.7%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arges Pitesti
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Robert Moldoveanu43%
Y. Pîrvu14%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
V. Raţă0%
Florin Borța0%
I. Rădescu0%
Silviu Balaure0%
C. Căbuz0%
Dorinel Oancea0%
Costinel Tofan0%
L. Sadriu0%
Ricardo Matos0%
C. Micovschi0%
T. Luvambo0%
Rober Sierra0%
Guilherme Garutti0%
Mario Tudose0%
P. Dulcea0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
T. Luvambo50%
L. Sadriu40%
Costinel Tofan33%
V. Raţă29%
Silviu Balaure20%
Dorinel Oancea20%
I. Rădescu17%
Rober Sierra17%
Mario Tudose17%
Florin Borța14%
Robert Moldoveanu14%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
C. Căbuz0%
Ricardo Matos0%
C. Micovschi0%
Guilherme Garutti0%
Y. Pîrvu0%
P. Dulcea0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dorinel Oancea20%
T. Luvambo17%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
V. Raţă0%
Florin Borța0%
Robert Moldoveanu0%
I. Rădescu0%
Silviu Balaure0%
C. Căbuz0%
Costinel Tofan0%
L. Sadriu0%
Ricardo Matos0%
C. Micovschi0%
Rober Sierra0%
Guilherme Garutti0%
Mario Tudose0%
Y. Pîrvu0%
P. Dulcea0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
T. Luvambo33%
I. Rădescu17%
Florin Borța14%
Robert Moldoveanu14%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
V. Raţă0%
Silviu Balaure0%
C. Căbuz0%
Dorinel Oancea0%
Costinel Tofan0%
L. Sadriu0%
Ricardo Matos0%
C. Micovschi0%
Rober Sierra0%
Guilherme Garutti0%
Mario Tudose0%
Y. Pîrvu0%
P. Dulcea0%
FCSB
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Bîrligea33%
João Paulo33%
Joyskim Dawa20%
Dennis Politic20%
Risto Radunović20%
Florin Tănase17%
Alexandru Stoian17%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
David Miculescu0%
Valentin Crețu0%
Juri Cisotti0%
Ofri Arad0%
André Duarte0%
Aymen Boutoutaou0%
Octavian Popescu0%
Mihai Toma0%
David Popa0%
Ricardo Pădurariu0%
Matei Popa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ronny Labonne67%
Valentin Crețu50%
Florin Tănase33%
Daniel Bîrligea33%
Mihai Toma25%
Dylan Batubinsika20%
Dennis Politic20%
Aymen Boutoutaou20%
João Paulo17%
Octavian Popescu17%
Ricardo Pădurariu14%
Joyskim Dawa0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
David Miculescu0%
Risto Radunović0%
Juri Cisotti0%
Ofri Arad0%
André Duarte0%
Alexandru Stoian0%
David Popa0%
Matei Popa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Miculescu33%
Octavian Popescu33%
Mihai Toma25%
Juri Cisotti14%
Joyskim Dawa0%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Dennis Politic0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
Florin Tănase0%
Risto Radunović0%
Valentin Crețu0%
Ofri Arad0%
Daniel Bîrligea0%
André Duarte0%
João Paulo0%
Aymen Boutoutaou0%
Alexandru Stoian0%
David Popa0%
Ricardo Pădurariu0%
Matei Popa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Bîrligea67%
David Miculescu33%
João Paulo33%
Octavian Popescu33%
David Popa33%
Dennis Politic20%
André Duarte17%
Alexandru Stoian17%
Juri Cisotti14%
Joyskim Dawa0%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
Florin Tănase0%
Risto Radunović0%
Valentin Crețu0%
Ofri Arad0%
Aymen Boutoutaou0%
Mihai Toma0%
Ricardo Pădurariu0%
Matei Popa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
AH (37)
€11m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Arges Pitesti's squad is €14m less valuable than FCSB's (€13m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
AH (13)
€5m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
PP (5)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Arges Pitesti's attack is €8m less valuable than FCSB's (€4m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
AH (9)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Arges Pitesti and FCSB have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
AH (15)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Arges Pitesti's defence is €5m less valuable than FCSB's (€6m vs €11m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Craiova
Corvinul Hunedoara
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
CFR 1907 Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda