Arges Pitesti are tipped to win, with the model assigning a 42 % chance to a home victory, a 36 % chance of a draw and a 23 % chance of an away win. The expected total goals is 1.7, and the most likely total is one goal, a 28 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a 19.1 % chance. Arges, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, average 0.92 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, on the road, average 1.21 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Recent form shows Arges coming off a draw, and Sepsi unbeaten in five, both having met Farul Constanta 1-1.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (100 %), Under 6.5 (99.8 %), Away under 3.5 goals (99.5 % with a 7 % edge), Under 5.5 (99.1 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.0 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.9 % with an 8 % edge) and Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7 % with a 5 % edge).
Results analysis
The upset came early as Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe snatched a 1-0 win over Arges Pitesti, ending the home side’s run of two defeats. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 40% chance, but the model’s pick was wrong. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result, confirming the away triumph. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 at 100%, Under 6.5 at 99.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.4%, Under 5.5 at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.6%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%. The match delivered a quiet, low-scoring outcome that matched the model’s defensive predictions.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arges Pitesti win✗ Miss
40.4%
Avg Implied 42.3% · @ 2.18
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.27
William Hil
2.25
Dafabet
2.23
Pinnacle
2.21
Betfair
2.20
Draw✗ Miss
35.8%
Avg Implied 31.3% · @ 2.95
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.05
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.04
Betfair
3.00
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win✓ Hit
23.8%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.48
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.73
Betano
3.60
Superbet
3.60
Dafabet
3.55
10Bet
3.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arges Pitesti
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.90
0.88
0.75
0.86
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
0.33
0.67
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.95
0.92
0.67
0.62
1.38
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.77
1.79
0.64
1.06
0.88
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.42
0.79
2.00
0.67
0.83
0.92
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.5%
@ 1.52-9.0%
Under 1.5
47.5%
@ 2.43+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
BetVictor
1.52
Under
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Betano
2.47
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.7%
@ 2.62-11.1%
Under 2.5
75.3%
@ 1.47+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.70
Betano
2.70
Pinnacle
2.69
10Bet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Betfair
1.47
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
9.6%
@ 5.26-8.1%
Under 3.5
90.4%
@ 1.13+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Superbet
5.35
Pinnacle
5.33
Under
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
33.6%
@ 2.16-9.5%
No
66.4%
@ 1.63+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Betano
2.15
No
Betfair
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
William Hil
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
19.2%@ 6.15+12.0%
1-0
16.8%@ 5.26+8.4%
1-1
14.1%@ 5.69+6.3%
0-1 ✓
11.5%@ 7.29+5.4%
2-0
9.1%@ 8.76+4.1%
2-1
6.5%@ 9.00+1.5%
1-2
4.6%@ 12.07+0.9%
0-2
4.5%@ 15.24+1.6%
Arges Pitesti goals ↓
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
19%
11%
4.5%
1.1%
0.2%
1
17%
14%
4.6%
1.1%
0.2%
2
9.1%
6.5%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
3
3.1%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arges Pitesti goals (down), columns = Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Arges Pitesti and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe are level in average points per game (both 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Arges Pitesti and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe are level in goals scored per game (both 0.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Arges Pitesti is 0.29 goals worse than Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 0.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Arges Pitesti is 5.3 percentage points worse than Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe in terms of average possession (44% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arges Pitesti
For 3.3 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 10.0 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
For 4.5 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arges Pitesti
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.8
10.1
4.1
4.4
3.8
24.6
24.5
24.7
vs Stronger (11)
11.4
9.0
13.3
5.1
5.2
5.0
24.5
27.4
22.0
vs Similar (34)
8.9
8.9
8.9
4.1
4.4
3.6
24.6
23.5
25.7
vs Weaker (5)
8.0
7.0
9.0
2.4
2.5
2.3
26.5
27.0
26.0
% over line
48%
41%
55%
56%
56%
56%
68%
68%
68%
% under line
52%
59%
45%
44%
44%
44%
32%
32%
32%
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
11.4
8.7
1.3
1.4
1.1
24.9
25.6
24.1
vs Stronger (1)
13.0
13.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
25.0
25.0
-
vs Similar (38)
9.8
11.2
8.7
1.6
1.6
1.6
24.8
25.7
24.1
vs Weaker (11)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
71%
29%
22%
26%
19%
71%
71%
71%
% under line
50%
29%
71%
78%
74%
81%
29%
29%
29%
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.4
Rapid
10.1
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Farul Constanta
9.9
FC Botosani
9.7
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.7
Uta Arad
9.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Oţelul
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.3
Csikszereda
8.8
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.8
FC Voluntari
8.8
Universitatea Craiova
8.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arges Pitesti
5.1
FC Botosani
5.0
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.7
Uta Arad
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.6
Csikszereda
4.5
Rapid
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.3
Oţelul
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.3
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Botosani
26.7
Oţelul
26.6
Arges Pitesti
25.4
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.3
Corvinul Hunedoara
25.0
Csikszereda
24.9
FCSB
24.8
Uta Arad
24.2
FC Voluntari
23.8
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
23.8
Universitatea Craiova
23.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.7
Rapid
23.7
Farul Constanta
23.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.6
Universitatea Cluj
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.1%
@ 2.39+3.4%
Under 9.5
57.9%
@ 1.51-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Unibet
2.43
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.39
Pinnacle
2.39
Under
Superbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.2%
@ 1.41+8.1%
Under 3.5
26.8%
@ 2.62-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Under
Superbet
2.70
Betano
2.55
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.0%
Under 21.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arges Pitesti or Draw✗ Miss
76.2%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.27
Edge
+2.9%
40%
36%
24%
covers Arges Pitesti + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Arges Pitesti or Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe✓ Hit
64.2%
Avg Implied 69.6% · @ 1.34
Edge
-5.5%
40%
36%
24%
covers Arges Pitesti + Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Draw or Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe✓ Hit
59.6%
Avg Implied 57.1% · @ 1.63
Edge
+2.5%
40%
36%
24%
covers Draw + Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.67
SBO
1.67
Superbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arges Pitesti over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
63.5%
@ 1.34-5.8%
Under
36.5%
@ 3.03+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.17
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.04
BetVictor
3.00
Unibet
3.00
Arges Pitesti over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.7%
@ 2.66-8.3%
Under
73.3%
@ 1.43+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.72
10Bet
2.65
Betano
2.65
Under
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Arges Pitesti over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 6.54-6.1%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.09+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.80
1xBet
6.60
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Under
Superbet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Arges Pitesti over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 16.67-3.8%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Bet365
19.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
50.8%
@ 1.59-7.6%
Under
49.2%
@ 2.24+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.30
BetVictor
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
15.9%
@ 3.91-7.9%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.22+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.09
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Under
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 10.61-5.4%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.04+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
9.40
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 31.17-2.5%
Under
99.4%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
40.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Superbet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Arges Pitesti, so a minus line means Arges Pitesti give that many goals of a start and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe receive them. At -1, Arges Pitesti must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arges Pitesti win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Arges Pitesti)Actual: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti -2
4.8%
@ 9.88-4.2%
Draw -2
11.5%
@ 5.78-3.8%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe +2
83.7%
@ 1.17+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.50
Draw
Superbet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
5.80
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Handicap -1 (Arges Pitesti)Actual: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti -1
16.3%
@ 4.52-3.6%
Draw -1
24.1%
@ 3.56-1.0%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe +1
59.6%
@ 1.62+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.45
Away
Superbet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Handicap +1 (Arges Pitesti)Actual: Draw
Arges Pitesti +1
76.2%
@ 1.27+5.5%
Draw +1
16.6%
@ 4.83-2.1%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe -1
7.2%
@ 8.46-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Draw
Superbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.60
Away
Bet365
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.50
Superbet
8.30
Unibet
8.00
Handicap +2 (Arges Pitesti)Actual: Arges Pitesti
Arges Pitesti +2
92.8%
@ 1.06+4.2%
Draw +2
5.7%
@ 12.00-2.1%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe -2
1.5%
@ 26.00-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
26.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arges Pitesti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.23
0.44
0.19
0.21
0.29
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.43
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.30
0.20
0.42
0.17
0.12
0.25
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.23
0.64
0.07
0.50
0.38
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.29
0.75
0.08
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
65.5%
@ 1.56+5.8%
Under 0.5
34.5%
@ 2.31-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Under
William Hil
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Pinnacle
2.38
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.2%
@ 3.66+2.9%
Under 1.5
71.8%
@ 1.24-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.90
Betfair
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.3%
@ 10.35-0.7%
Under 2.5
91.7%
@ 1.03+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
William Hil
11.00
Superbet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.05
William Hil
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arges Pitesti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.3%
@ 2.19+0.9%
Under
56.7%
@ 1.61-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.25
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Arges Pitesti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 7.34-2.3%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.06+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
Superbet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Arges Pitesti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 21.17-2.1%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.3%
@ 2.79+3.0%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.39-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.96
Betano
2.82
Superbet
2.82
1xBet
2.76
Marathonbet
2.76
Under
Unibet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 10.69-2.0%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.03+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
12.25
1xBet
12.20
10Bet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 45.00-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arges Pitesti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.44
0.56
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.29
0.00
0.33
0.25
0.25
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.12
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
1.14
0.57
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.50
1.25
0.58
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.6%
@ 1.38+4.9%
Under 0.5
27.4%
@ 2.89-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Betano
2.95
Marathonbet
2.90
1xBet
2.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.0%
@ 2.73+3.0%
Under 1.5
63.0%
@ 1.41-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.85
10Bet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
William Hil
2.75
Betano
2.70
Under
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.43
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 6.73+0.1%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.08-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.20
William Hil
7.00
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.55
Marathonbet
6.55
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.05
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arges Pitesti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
49.0%
@ 1.87-0.6%
Under
51.0%
@ 1.84+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Arges Pitesti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 5.39-1.5%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.12+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.55
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.35
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Arges Pitesti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 15.58-3.5%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
40.6%
@ 2.32+0.6%
Under
59.4%
@ 1.54-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.35
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Betano
2.30
Under
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 8.00-1.0%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.05+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Marathonbet
8.70
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 20.50-2.3%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
100.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
99.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
96.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
BetVictor
1.01
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
91.8%
1.09
Superbet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
William Hil
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
90.4%
1.13
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.4%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.3%
1.14
Superbet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
86.1%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.05
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.3%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
84.1%
1.22
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.7%
1.17
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.7%
1.16
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.09
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
76.2%
1.27
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+2.9%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
76.2%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
+5.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5
75.3%
1.47
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Betfair
1.47
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
73.3%
1.43
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.2%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
-
-
-
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
72.6%
1.38
Superbet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arges Pitesti
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Robert Moldoveanu43%
Y. Pîrvu14%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
V. Raţă0%
Florin Borța0%
I. Rădescu0%
Silviu Balaure0%
C. Căbuz0%
Dorinel Oancea0%
Costinel Tofan0%
L. Sadriu0%
Ricardo Matos0%
C. Micovschi0%
T. Luvambo0%
Rober Sierra0%
Guilherme Garutti0%
Mario Tudose0%
P. Dulcea0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
T. Luvambo50%
L. Sadriu40%
Costinel Tofan33%
V. Raţă29%
Silviu Balaure20%
Dorinel Oancea20%
I. Rădescu17%
Rober Sierra17%
Mario Tudose17%
Florin Borța14%
Robert Moldoveanu14%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
C. Căbuz0%
Ricardo Matos0%
C. Micovschi0%
Guilherme Garutti0%
Y. Pîrvu0%
P. Dulcea0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dorinel Oancea20%
T. Luvambo17%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
V. Raţă0%
Florin Borța0%
Robert Moldoveanu0%
I. Rădescu0%
Silviu Balaure0%
C. Căbuz0%
Costinel Tofan0%
L. Sadriu0%
Ricardo Matos0%
C. Micovschi0%
Rober Sierra0%
Guilherme Garutti0%
Mario Tudose0%
Y. Pîrvu0%
P. Dulcea0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
T. Luvambo33%
I. Rădescu17%
Florin Borța14%
Robert Moldoveanu14%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
V. Raţă0%
Silviu Balaure0%
C. Căbuz0%
Dorinel Oancea0%
Costinel Tofan0%
L. Sadriu0%
Ricardo Matos0%
C. Micovschi0%
Rober Sierra0%
Guilherme Garutti0%
Mario Tudose0%
Y. Pîrvu0%
P. Dulcea0%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cosmin Matei33%
B. Oteliță25%
Doru Andrei20%
Hunor Batzula17%
B. Vătăjelu0%
Funsho Bamgboye0%
C. Davordzie0%
D. Oberlin0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
S. Karamoko0%
Victor Daguin0%
Nacho Heras0%
Fábio Vianna0%
N. Păun0%
R. Silaghi0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cosmin Matei33%
S. Karamoko33%
Funsho Bamgboye25%
Nacho Heras17%
Fábio Vianna17%
R. Silaghi17%
Hunor Batzula17%
B. Vătăjelu0%
C. Davordzie0%
D. Oberlin0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
Victor Daguin0%
B. Oteliță0%
Doru Andrei0%
N. Păun0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
C. Davordzie33%
Funsho Bamgboye25%
Gustavo Cascardo17%
Nacho Heras17%
B. Vătăjelu0%
D. Oberlin0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
Cosmin Matei0%
S. Karamoko0%
Victor Daguin0%
Fábio Vianna0%
B. Oteliță0%
Doru Andrei0%
N. Păun0%
R. Silaghi0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Hunor Batzula0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cosmin Matei33%
Hunor Batzula33%
B. Vătăjelu0%
Funsho Bamgboye0%
C. Davordzie0%
D. Oberlin0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
S. Karamoko0%
Victor Daguin0%
Nacho Heras0%
Fábio Vianna0%
B. Oteliță0%
Doru Andrei0%
N. Păun0%
R. Silaghi0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Arges Pitesti's squad is €7m more valuable than Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's (€13m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Arges Pitesti's attack is €2m more valuable than Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Arges Pitesti's midfield is €1m more valuable than Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Arges Pitesti's defence is €4m more valuable than Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's (€6m vs €2m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Craiova
FCSB
Corvinul Hunedoara
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda