This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.50
1.47
1.47
1.40
1.53
vs Stronger (8)
1.62
2.00
1.25
1.75
2.00
2.25
vs Similar (17)
1.41
1.47
1.67
1.56
1.12
1.38
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.80
1.00
0.50
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.0%
Under 1.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.9%
Under 2.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.2%
Under 3.5
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.6%
No
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
13.8%
0-0
12.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.7%
Arminia Bielefeld goals ↓
SpVgg Greuther Fürth goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
14%
10%
4.7%
1.6%
1
8.0%
14%
8.6%
3.9%
1.3%
2
3.9%
5.3%
3.6%
1.7%
0.6%
3
1.1%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arminia Bielefeld goals (down), columns = SpVgg Greuther Fürth goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SC Freiburg
2.12
RB Leipzig
1.97
1. FC Nürnberg
1.91
FC St. Pauli
1.56
VfL Bochum
1.50
Union Berlin
1.44
Karlsruher SC
1.38
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.35
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.32
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.32
SV Sandhausen
1.26
Arminia Bielefeld
1.24
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.03
Munich 1860
1.00
Eintracht Frankfurt
0.94
Duisburg
0.94
SC Paderborn 07
0.82
Arminia Bielefeld is 0.12 points worse than SpVgg Greuther Fürth in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.35).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SC Freiburg
2.21
1. FC Nürnberg
2.00
Union Berlin
1.65
VfL Bochum
1.65
RB Leipzig
1.59
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.44
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.44
FC St. Pauli
1.32
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.29
1. FC Heidenheim
1.24
SV Sandhausen
1.18
Arminia Bielefeld
1.12
Karlsruher SC
1.03
Eintracht Frankfurt
0.97
Munich 1860
0.94
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.94
Duisburg
0.94
SC Paderborn 07
0.82
Arminia Bielefeld is 0.32 goals worse than SpVgg Greuther Fürth in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RB Leipzig
0.94
Karlsruher SC
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.12
FC St. Pauli
1.15
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
SC Freiburg
1.15
VfL Bochum
1.18
1. FC Heidenheim
1.18
1. FC Nürnberg
1.21
Munich 1860
1.35
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Union Berlin
1.47
SV Sandhausen
1.47
Duisburg
1.59
SC Paderborn 07
1.62
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.62
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.74
Arminia Bielefeld is 0.47 goals better than SpVgg Greuther Fürth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arminia Bielefeld
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Arminia Bielefeld
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (12)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Eintracht Frankfurt
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Eintracht Frankfurt
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Eintracht Frankfurt
30.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arminia Bielefeld
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.57
0.27
0.60
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
0.50
0.17
0.67
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.61
0.33
0.56
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.67
0.60
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.65
0.89
0.67
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arminia Bielefeld
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.27
0.53
1.13
0.67
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
1.00
0.00
0.83
1.17
1.17
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.33
0.44
0.33
1.11
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.90
0.80
0.87
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.25
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.82
0.78
0.89
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arminia Bielefeld · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joel Grodowski50%
Marvin Mehlem25%
Stefano Russo25%
Marius Wörl25%
Sam Schreck0%
Arne Sicker0%
Maximilian Bauer0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Isaiah Young0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Benjamin Boakye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Arne Sicker33%
Sam Schreck25%
Tim Handwerker25%
Joel Grodowski25%
Benjamin Boakye25%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Maximilian Bauer0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Stefano Russo0%
Isaiah Young0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Marius Wörl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maximilian Bauer25%
Isaiah Young25%
Henri Koudossou25%
Sam Schreck0%
Arne Sicker0%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Stefano Russo0%
Joel Grodowski0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Benjamin Boakye0%
Marius Wörl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joel Grodowski50%
Sam Schreck0%
Arne Sicker0%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Maximilian Bauer0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Stefano Russo0%
Isaiah Young0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Benjamin Boakye0%
Marius Wörl0%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Felix Klaus75%
Ole Pohlmann25%
Paul Will0%
Dennis Srbeny0%
Jannik Dehm0%
Luca Itter0%
Krisztián Keresztes0%
Shinta Appelkamp0%
Jannis Heuer0%
Aaron Keller0%
Omar Sillah0%
Sacha Banse0%
Florian Hellstern0%
Lukas Reich0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paul Will25%
Krisztián Keresztes25%
Jannis Heuer25%
Aaron Keller25%
Dennis Srbeny0%
Jannik Dehm0%
Luca Itter0%
Felix Klaus0%
Shinta Appelkamp0%
Ole Pohlmann0%
Omar Sillah0%
Sacha Banse0%
Florian Hellstern0%
Lukas Reich0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omar Sillah33%
Dennis Srbeny25%
Jannik Dehm25%
Luca Itter25%
Paul Will0%
Felix Klaus0%
Krisztián Keresztes0%
Shinta Appelkamp0%
Jannis Heuer0%
Ole Pohlmann0%
Aaron Keller0%
Sacha Banse0%
Florian Hellstern0%
Lukas Reich0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Felix Klaus50%
Ole Pohlmann25%
Sacha Banse25%
Paul Will0%
Dennis Srbeny0%
Jannik Dehm0%
Luca Itter0%
Krisztián Keresztes0%
Shinta Appelkamp0%
Jannis Heuer0%
Aaron Keller0%
Omar Sillah0%
Florian Hellstern0%
Lukas Reich0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RL (31)
€506m
EF (26)
€323m
SF (30)
€243m
UB (29)
€123m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FN (28)
€40m
1FH (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
1FK (26)
€28m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
FD (26)
€10m
DUI (26)
€9m
M1 (13)
€2m
Arminia Bielefeld's squad is €1m less valuable than SpVgg Greuther Fürth's (€18m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RL (12)
€212m
EF (11)
€174m
SF (10)
€96m
UB (10)
€46m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
SP0 (11)
€14m
1FK (9)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
EB (8)
€7m
AB (8)
€7m
VB (9)
€6m
SGF (6)
€4m
DUI (12)
€4m
FD (8)
€3m
M1 (3)
€0m
Arminia Bielefeld's attack is €3m more valuable than SpVgg Greuther Fürth's (€7m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RL (6)
€109m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
UB (6)
€26m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
1FH (4)
€7m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
1FK (6)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
KS (6)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
FD (5)
€2m
DUI (4)
€2m
M1 (4)
€1m
Arminia Bielefeld's midfield is €2m less valuable than SpVgg Greuther Fürth's (€4m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RL (13)
€185m
SF (15)
€110m
EF (11)
€72m
UB (13)
€50m
FSP (12)
€21m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
1FK (11)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
FD (13)
€5m
DUI (10)
€3m
M1 (6)
€1m
Arminia Bielefeld's defence is €2m less valuable than SpVgg Greuther Fürth's (€7m vs €9m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →