Arsenal Česká Lípá’s recent 1-0 win over Baník Ostrava II leaves them eager to rebound, yet the model still favors a Prostějov victory. The away side’s 3-1 triumph against Kladno shows they can score, and the model rates the away win at 64 % versus Arsenal’s 15 % home-side win chance and 22 % draw probability. The expected total goals is 3.0, but the most likely total is 2, with the single most probable scoreline 0-2 for Prostějov at 10.7 %. Arsenal’s home form against stronger opponents shows an average of 1.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded, while Prostějov’s away scoring and conceding figures are not listed but the model’s selections reflect a strong advantage for the visitors. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 98.7 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.5 %, Under 6.5 at 96.4 %, Away +2 handicap at 95.0 %, Home under 2.5 goals at 93.2 %, Under 5.5 at 91.1 %, Away over 0.5 goals at 88.0 %, and Draw or Away at 85.5 %. These selections highlight the model’s confidence that Prostějov will win comfortably while keeping the total goals low.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arsenal Česká Lípa win
18.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Prostějov win
57.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.55
1.82
1.60
1.80
1.50
1.83
vs Stronger (11)
1.55
1.82
1.60
1.80
1.50
1.83
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Prostějov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prostějov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.37
1.43
1.36
1.44
1.38
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.39
1.35
1.44
1.11
1.36
1.50
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.67
2.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.8%
Under 2.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.4%
Under 3.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.3%
0-1
8.4%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
Arsenal Česká Lípa goals ↓
Prostějov goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
8.4%
9.3%
6.2%
3.1%
1
4.0%
11%
9.9%
6.6%
3.3%
2
2.7%
5.3%
5.3%
3.5%
1.7%
3
1.0%
1.9%
1.9%
1.2%
0.6%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal Česká Lípa goals (down), columns = Prostějov goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa is 0.50 points better than Prostějov in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa is 0.17 goals better than Prostějov in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa is 0.50 goals worse than Prostějov in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arsenal Česká Lípa or Draw
42.3%
Avg Implied -
19%
23%
58%
covers Arsenal Česká Lípa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa or Prostějov
76.5%
Avg Implied -
19%
23%
58%
covers Arsenal Česká Lípa + Prostějov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Prostějov
81.2%
Avg Implied -
19%
23%
58%
covers Draw + Prostějov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5
Over
65.5%
Under
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5
Over
28.8%
Under
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 3.5
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 0.5
Over
86.2%
Under
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 1.5
Over
59.0%
Under
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 2.5
Over
31.9%
Under
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 3.5
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Arsenal Česká Lípa, so a minus line means Arsenal Česká Lípa give that many goals of a start and Prostějov receive them. At -1, Arsenal Česká Lípa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arsenal Česká Lípa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Arsenal Česká Lípa)
Arsenal Česká Lípa -2
2.0%
Draw -2
5.2%
Prostějov +2
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Arsenal Česká Lípa)
Arsenal Česká Lípa -1
7.2%
Draw -1
11.6%
Prostějov +1
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Arsenal Česká Lípa)
Arsenal Česká Lípa +1
42.3%
Draw +1
22.5%
Prostějov -1
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Arsenal Česká Lípa)
Arsenal Česká Lípa +2
64.8%
Draw +2
17.9%
Prostějov -2
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.91
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.91
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Prostějov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prostějov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.29
0.64
0.75
0.56
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.61
0.22
0.56
0.71
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.4%
Under 0.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.7%
Under 1.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.3%
Under 2.5
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.8%
Under
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.9%
Under
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.82
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.83
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.82
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Prostějov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prostějov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
1.14
0.71
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
1.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.74
1.22
0.56
0.64
0.86
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.3%
Under 0.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.9%
Under 1.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.4%
Under 2.5
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.7%
Under
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.5%
Under
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.2%
Under
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.1%
Under
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Arsenal Česká Lípa's squad is €2m less valuable than Prostějov's (€1m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Prostějov have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Prostějov have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Prostějov have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
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Ústí nad Labem
Slavia Praha II
Karviná
Příbram
Táborsko
Dukla Praha
Kladno
Baník Ostrava II
Vysočina Jihlava
Vlašim
Opava
Třinec
Hanácká
Viktoria Žižkov