Arsenal Česká Lípa’s recent 2-game winning run fuels a cautious attack, yet their home form against stronger opponents shows 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, hinting at defensive fragility. Viktoria Žižkov, on the other hand, has struggled away, scoring none in their last five matches and conceding three on average against weaker teams, suggesting a high chance of conceding. The model projects a 50% probability of an away win, 26% for a home win and 24% for a draw, making the away victory the clear favourite. With an expected total of 3.3 goals, the most likely total is three, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (97.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.0%), Under 6.5 (94.7%), Away +2 handicap (88.4%), Under 5.5 (87.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (86.4%), Away over 0.5 goals (85.9%) and Over 1.5 (85.4%).
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arsenal Česká Lípa win
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov win
50.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.55
1.82
1.60
1.80
1.50
1.83
vs Stronger (11)
1.55
1.82
1.60
1.80
1.50
1.83
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viktoria Žižkov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
2.07
1.31
1.85
1.06
2.24
vs Stronger (8)
1.50
2.25
1.33
3.33
1.60
1.60
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.95
1.30
1.40
0.91
2.45
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.6%
Under 2.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
42.6%
Under 3.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
65.0%
No
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
4.5%
Arsenal Česká Lípa goals ↓
Viktoria Žižkov goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
6.1%
6.9%
4.5%
2.2%
1
3.9%
11%
9.4%
6.2%
3.0%
2
3.4%
6.6%
6.4%
4.2%
2.1%
3
1.5%
3.0%
2.9%
1.9%
0.9%
4
0.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal Česká Lípa goals (down), columns = Viktoria Žižkov goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa is 0.83 points better than Viktoria Žižkov in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa is 1.00 goals better than Viktoria Žižkov in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa is 0.50 goals better than Viktoria Žižkov in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arsenal Česká Lípa or Draw
49.7%
Avg Implied -
26%
24%
50%
covers Arsenal Česká Lípa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa or Viktoria Žižkov
76.2%
Avg Implied -
26%
24%
50%
covers Arsenal Česká Lípa + Viktoria Žižkov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Viktoria Žižkov
74.2%
Avg Implied -
26%
24%
50%
covers Draw + Viktoria Žižkov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5
Over
74.5%
Under
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5
Over
39.7%
Under
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5
Over
15.9%
Under
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 3.5
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5
Over
85.9%
Under
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5
Over
58.3%
Under
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5
Over
31.3%
Under
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 3.5
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Arsenal Česká Lípa, so a minus line means Arsenal Česká Lípa give that many goals of a start and Viktoria Žižkov receive them. At -1, Arsenal Česká Lípa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arsenal Česká Lípa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Arsenal Česká Lípa)
Arsenal Česká Lípa -2
4.0%
Draw -2
7.6%
Viktoria Žižkov +2
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Arsenal Česká Lípa)
Arsenal Česká Lípa -1
11.6%
Draw -1
14.2%
Viktoria Žižkov +1
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Arsenal Česká Lípa)
Arsenal Česká Lípa +1
49.7%
Draw +1
20.8%
Viktoria Žižkov -1
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Arsenal Česká Lípa)
Arsenal Česká Lípa +2
70.4%
Draw +2
15.5%
Viktoria Žižkov -2
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.91
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.91
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viktoria Žižkov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.97
0.46
1.15
0.59
0.82
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.12
0.33
2.33
0.80
0.40
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.86
0.50
0.80
0.55
0.91
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.82
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.83
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.82
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viktoria Žižkov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.10
0.85
0.69
0.47
1.41
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.12
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (21)
0.57
1.10
0.80
0.60
0.36
1.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Arsenal Česká Lípa's squad is €2m less valuable than Viktoria Žižkov's (€1m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov have a similar defence value (both €0m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
AČL wins
0
Draws
0
VŽ wins
Head-to-head
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov · H/A from AČL
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →