Arsenal Česká Lípa face Vlašim on the latter’s home turf, and the model sees the away side as the clear favourite, rating a 75 % chance of victory. The probability spread - 9 % home win, 17 % draw, 75 % away win - confirms that the match is expected to finish in favour of Vlašim. The expected total of 3.4 goals points to a busy game, with the most likely scoreline 0-2 for the visitors, a 11.4 % chance. Arsenal’s home form shows they average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded against stronger opponents, while Vlašim, playing away against a weaker side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (99.1 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 %), Under 7.5 (97.9 %), Away +2 handicap (97.3 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.2 %), Home under 2.5 goals (95.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.2 %) and Under 6.5 (94.5 %). The recent form notes that Arsenal come off a win while Vlašim come off a draw, but the venue advantage and the model’s high away win probability make Vlašim the expected winner.
Results analysis
The win for Arsenal Česká Lipa, 2-1, was a surprise that overturned the model’s favourite, an away win with a 75% probability. The pre-match pick was therefore wrong. The final score also matched the most likely 0-2 score, but the actual result was a home victory. Every suggested pick was a hit: Home under 3.5 goals at 99.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2%, Under 7.5 at 97.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.5%, Home under 2.5 goals at 95.3%, Under 6.5 at 94.5%, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.9%. The home side, on a two-game winning run, edged the weaker away side, who had come off a defeat.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arsenal Česká Lípa win✓ Hit
8.7%
Avg Implied 35.8% · @ 2.53
Edge
-27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.65
Betano
2.62
Superbet
2.60
Bet365
2.55
Pinnacle
2.51
Draw✗ Miss
16.6%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.47
Edge
-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Betano
3.55
Pinnacle
3.52
Vlašim win✗ Miss
74.7%
Avg Implied 38.1% · @ 2.38
Edge
+36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.45
Dafabet
2.42
BetVictor
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Superbet
2.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.90
1.50
2.00
1.50
1.83
vs Stronger (10)
1.50
1.90
1.50
2.00
1.50
1.83
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vlašim
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.00
1.86
1.00
1.38
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.58
0.88
1.86
1.00
1.25
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.5%
@ 1.15+5.4%
Under 1.5
14.5%
@ 4.62-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.14
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Under
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Superbet
4.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.1%
@ 1.54+5.3%
Under 2.5
34.9%
@ 2.30-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
Under
BetVictor
2.38
Bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
2.34
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.27
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.2%
@ 2.36+3.9%
Under 3.5
56.8%
@ 1.53-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.34
Under
BetVictor
1.53
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.4%
@ 1.45-11.9%
No
48.6%
@ 2.51+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
William Hil
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
No
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.53
William Hil
2.50
Marathonbet
2.47
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.4%@ 13.37+8.1%
0-3
9.7%@ 23.99+7.9%
1-2
9.1%@ 8.65+3.9%
0-1
8.2%@ 10.79+4.1%
1-1
7.8%@ 6.74+1.2%
1-3
7.8%@ 15.39+4.9%
0-4
6.2%@ 53.51+5.4%
1-4
5.0%@ 34.91+3.7%
Arsenal Česká Lípa goals ↓
Vlašim goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
8.2%
11%
9.7%
6.2%
1
2.1%
7.8%
9.1%
7.8%
5.0%
2
1.1%
2.8%
3.6%
3.1%
2.0%
3
0.3%
0.8%
1.0%
0.8%
0.5%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal Česká Lípa goals (down), columns = Vlašim goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa is 0.33 points better than Vlašim in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa is 0.17 goals worse than Vlašim in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa is 0.50 goals worse than Vlašim in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arsenal Česká Lípa or Draw✓ Hit
25.3%
Avg Implied 61.5% · @ 1.50
Edge
-36.2%
9%
17%
75%
covers Arsenal Česká Lípa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
William Hil
1.53
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa or Vlašim✓ Hit
83.4%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.24
Edge
+9.4%
9%
17%
75%
covers Arsenal Česká Lípa + Vlašim
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Draw or Vlašim✗ Miss
91.3%
Avg Implied 64.5% · @ 1.43
Edge
+26.8%
9%
17%
75%
covers Draw + Vlašim
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
55.0%
@ 1.20-21.5%
Under
45.0%
@ 3.90+21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.10
Betano
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.58
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
19.0%
@ 2.01-27.0%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.72+27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.03
Superbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.70
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 4.15-17.4%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.18+17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.20
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 9.62-8.9%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.05+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Vlašim over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.2%
@ 1.18+14.5%
Under
7.8%
@ 4.14-14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.25
Betano
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.80
Vlašim over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
72.4%
@ 1.94+24.6%
Under
27.6%
@ 1.77-24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.05
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Vlašim over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
47.1%
@ 3.91+23.6%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.20-23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.94
Superbet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Vlašim over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
25.5%
@ 8.95+14.9%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.06-14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Arsenal Česká Lípa, so a minus line means Arsenal Česká Lípa give that many goals of a start and Vlašim receive them. At -1, Arsenal Česká Lípa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arsenal Česká Lípa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Arsenal Česká Lípa)Actual: Vlašim
Arsenal Česká Lípa -2
0.6%
@ 8.60-9.4%
Draw -2
2.1%
@ 6.12-11.9%
Vlašim +2
97.3%
@ 1.13+21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.20
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Arsenal Česká Lípa)Actual: Draw
Arsenal Česká Lípa -1
2.7%
@ 4.88-15.6%
Draw -1
6.1%
@ 4.58-13.4%
Vlašim +1
91.3%
@ 1.43+28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Handicap +1 (Arsenal Česká Lípa)Actual: Arsenal Česká Lípa
Arsenal Česká Lípa +1
25.3%
@ 1.49-34.5%
Draw +1
21.0%
@ 4.43+0.9%
Vlašim -1
53.6%
@ 4.44+33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Handicap +2 (Arsenal Česká Lípa)Actual: Arsenal Česká Lípa
Arsenal Česká Lípa +2
46.4%
@ 1.17-31.0%
Draw +2
21.5%
@ 6.97+8.5%
Vlašim -2
32.2%
@ 9.30+22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.95
Away
Bet365
9.50
Marathonbet
9.10
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vlašim
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.40
0.50
0.64
0.56
0.19
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
-
-
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (26)
0.46
0.38
0.50
0.64
0.42
0.08
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.2%
@ 1.24+0.0%
Under 0.5
25.8%
@ 3.56-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.76
Marathonbet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
36.4%
@ 2.19-6.0%
Under 1.5
63.6%
@ 1.61+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.28
Betfair
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
BetVictor
1.60
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.7%
@ 4.76-5.7%
Under 2.5
86.3%
@ 1.15+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Betano
4.85
Under
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.1%
@ 1.83-6.4%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.86+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Under
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 4.87-7.5%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.13+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
5.10
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 10.25-7.3%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Vlašim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.9%
@ 1.78-1.7%
Under
50.1%
@ 1.91+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Under
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.96
Superbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.83
Vlašim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.9%
@ 4.75-3.4%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.13+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
5.00
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.60
Under
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Vlašim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 10.00-5.7%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.90
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.83
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.90
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vlašim
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.60
1.36
0.36
0.81
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
-
-
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (26)
1.12
0.50
1.36
0.36
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.8%
@ 1.15+1.8%
Under 0.5
18.2%
@ 4.60-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
4.80
Betano
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
53.9%
@ 1.79+2.4%
Under 1.5
46.1%
@ 1.91-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Superbet
1.77
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.73
Under
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.79
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.4%
@ 3.45-4.3%
Under 2.5
77.6%
@ 1.26+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.0%
@ 1.62-8.7%
Under
52.0%
@ 2.13+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.01
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 3.98-6.8%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.20+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.15
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 8.25-8.3%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.04+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Vlašim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
63.8%
@ 1.57+5.3%
Under
36.2%
@ 2.22-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.63
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.06
Vlašim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
26.0%
@ 3.78+1.6%
Under
74.0%
@ 1.22-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.16
Vlašim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 8.90-4.2%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.03+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
-
-
-
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.9%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
95.3%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+17.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
92.2%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
+14.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.13
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
87.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.5%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.14
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.1%
1.13
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.7%
1.20
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
83.4%
1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.8%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.6%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.19
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
75.3%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Superbet
1.18
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
74.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
-
-
-
-14.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.2%
1.24
Betano
1.32
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
74.0%
1.22
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Arsenal Česká Lípa's squad is €3m less valuable than Vlašim's (€1m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Arsenal Česká Lípa's attack is €1m less valuable than Vlašim's (€0m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Vlašim have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Vlašim have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →