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Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2024
Time: 14:45
Final 1-1
Arsenal Tivat
Arsenal Tivat
Vs
43%
29%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bokelj
Bokelj
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

Arsenal Tivat wināœ— Miss
42.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawāœ“ Hit
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bokelj wināœ— Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

āš½ 2. Goal Analysis

Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D04L22D31W13L21W02L21W11DH·MOR21/04A·JED27/04H·BUD04/05A·PET12/05H·MLA18/05A·DEČ25/05H·JED04/08H·BUD17/08A·SUT21/08H·PET25/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.671.311.501.001.86
vs Stronger (8)0.752.000.601.601.002.67
vs Similar (20)1.251.501.401.401.101.60
vs Weaker (2)2.002.004.002.000.002.00
Clean sheet %10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BokeljBokelj

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-701L21W21W73W30W20W10W01L04L03LA·IGA28/04A·BER05/05H·OTR12/05A·MLA18/05H·INT25/05H·JEZ04/08A·JED11/08H·DEČ18/08A·BUD21/08H·SUT25/08← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.831.800.731.800.93
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (19)1.840.841.800.801.890.89
vs Weaker (10)1.900.501.800.602.000.40
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tivat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 āœ“
13.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
Arsenal Tivat goals ↓
Bokelj goals →
01234
08.8%7.4%4.9%1.9%0.5%
19.6%14%7.1%2.7%0.8%
27.8%9.0%5.1%1.9%0.6%
33.8%4.3%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.4%1.5%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal Tivat goals (down), columns = Bokelj goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.36
Petrovac
1.67
Sutjeska
1.42
Dečić
1.33
Bokelj
1.22
Mornar
1.22
Arsenal Tivat
1.21
Jedinstvo
1.19
Jezero
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
0.97
Lovćen
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Arsenal Tivat is 0.01 points worse than Bokelj in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.22).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.50
Petrovac
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.25
Otrant-Olympic
1.19
Sutjeska
1.11
Mornar
1.11
Jezero
0.97
Arsenal Tivat
0.95
Dečić
0.94
Bokelj
0.86
Lovćen
0.00
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Arsenal Tivat is 0.09 goals better than Bokelj in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 0.86).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Buducnost Podgorica
0.81
Dečić
0.86
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.00
Petrovac
1.03
Sutjeska
1.06
Jezero
1.16
Arsenal Tivat
1.24
Bokelj
1.39
Otrant-Olympic
1.47
Mornar
1.47
Jedinstvo
1.61
Lovćen
2.00
Arsenal Tivat is 0.15 goals better than Bokelj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.39).

ā±ļø Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

šŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

āš–ļø 7. Handicap

ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L11D10W02L00D00D11D11DH·MOR21/04A·JED27/04H·BUD04/05A·PET12/05H·MLA18/05A·DEČ25/05H·JED04/08H·BUD17/08A·SUT21/08H·PET25/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.930.810.690.571.21
vs Stronger (8)0.250.880.200.600.331.33
vs Similar (20)0.800.900.900.700.701.10
vs Weaker (2)1.501.503.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BokeljBokelj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L10W11D50W10W10W00D00D01L00DA·IGA28/04A·BER05/05H·OTR12/05A·MLA18/05H·INT25/05H·JEZ04/08A·JED11/08H·DEČ18/08A·BUD21/08H·SUT25/08← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.270.670.270.870.27
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.840.260.700.201.000.33
vs Weaker (10)0.700.200.600.400.800.00
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tivat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal Tivat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tivat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tivat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L03L11D21W11D21W02L10W00DH·MOR21/04A·JED27/04H·BUD04/05A·PET12/05H·MLA18/05A·DEČ25/05H·JED04/08H·BUD17/08A·SUT21/08H·PET25/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.500.810.430.64
vs Stronger (8)0.501.120.401.000.671.33
vs Similar (20)0.450.600.500.700.400.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BokeljBokelj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D10W23L20W10W10W01L03L03LA·IGA28/04A·BER05/05H·OTR12/05A·MLA18/05H·INT25/05H·JEZ04/08A·JED11/08H·DEČ18/08A·BUD21/08H·SUT25/08← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.571.130.470.930.67
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (19)1.000.581.100.600.890.56
vs Weaker (10)1.200.301.200.201.200.40
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tivat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal Tivat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tivat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tivat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.2%-------āœ“ Hit
Under 3.574.0%-------āœ“ Hit

šŸ’° 14. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
Arsenal Tivat and Bokelj have a similar squad value (both €1m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Arsenal Tivat and Bokelj have a similar attack value (both €1m).

šŸ§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Arsenal Tivat and Bokelj have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Arsenal Tivat and Bokelj have a similar defence value (both €0m).

šŸ¤ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AT wins
0
Draws
0
BOK wins

Head-to-head

Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj · H/A from AT
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/24HAT Vs Petrovac1-1
21/08/24ASutjeska Vs AT1-2
17/08/24HAT Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-2
04/08/24HAT Vs Jedinstvo2-1
25/05/24ADečić Vs AT3-1
18/05/24HAT Vs Mladost DG3-1
12/05/24APetrovac Vs AT2-2
04/05/24HAT Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-4
27/04/24AJedinstvo Vs AT1-1
21/04/24HAT Vs Mornar1-2

BokeljBokelj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/24HBOK Vs Sutjeska0-3
21/08/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs BOK4-0
18/08/24HBOK Vs Dečić0-1
11/08/24AJedinstvo Vs BOK0-1
04/08/24HBOK Vs Jezero2-0
25/05/24HBOK Vs Internacional Podgorica3-0
18/05/24AMladost LjeŔkopolje Vs BOK3-7
12/05/24HBOK Vs Otrant-Olympic2-1
05/05/24ABerane Vs BOK1-2
28/04/24AIgalo Vs BOK1-0

šŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Arsenal Tivat
Arsenal Tivat
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.22
HomeLWWLD1.19
AwayLDDLW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%27%29%
AVG goals2.642.852.42
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %44%46%42%
Over 3.5 %32%38%25%
Scored1.121.270.96
Conceded1.521.581.46
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet20%15%25%
Corners12.509.0016.00
Cards3.503.004.00
Bokelj
Bokelj
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.96
HomeWWWLL2.08
AwayLWWWL1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%62%54%
AVG goals2.582.652.50
Over 1.5 %76%85%67%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %20%23%17%
Scored1.661.771.54
Conceded0.920.880.96
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet36%35%38%
Corners---
Cards---

šŸ† 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ā‚¬mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3685
72%
2.4
9029+61
3.3
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.50.8
-
2PetrovacPetrovac3660
47%
1.7
5037+13
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.0
-
3SutjeskaSutjeska3651
39%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
4DečićDečić3648
28%
1.3
3431+3
1.8
58%
22%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.90.9
-
5Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3846
29%
1.2
3647-11
2.2
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.2
-
6JezeroJezero3845
29%
1.2
3744-7
2.1
63%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.2
-
7MornarMornar3644
33%
1.2
4053-13
2.6
83%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.5
-
8BokeljBokelj3644
36%
1.2
3150-19
2.2
64%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.4
-
9JedinstvoJedinstvo3643
31%
1.2
4558-13
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
10Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3635
25%
1.0
4353-10
2.7
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11LovćenLovćen21
0%
0.5
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
12Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
02-2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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