This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enisey
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.97
1.13
0.67
0.93
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.92
0.96
1.08
0.62
0.73
1.36
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.67
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.6%
Under 1.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.5%
Under 2.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.7%
Under 3.5
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.3%
No
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
2-0 ✓
5.7%
Arsenal Tula goals ↓
Enisey goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
12%
7.7%
3.1%
0.9%
1
9.7%
15%
8.0%
3.2%
1.0%
2
5.7%
6.8%
4.1%
1.6%
0.5%
3
2.0%
2.4%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal Tula goals (down), columns = Enisey goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Khimki
1.94
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.79
Akron
1.74
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Rodina Moskva
1.62
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.44
Tyumen
1.41
Torpedo Moskva
1.38
FK Neftekhimik
1.24
Ska-khabarovsk
1.21
KAMAZ
1.21
FK Sokol Saratov
1.12
Chernomorets
1.03
Leningradets
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Urozhay
0.68
Arsenal Tula is 0.12 points better than Enisey in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Khimki
1.65
Enisey
1.62
Rodina Moskva
1.56
Akron
1.41
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.24
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.15
Arsenal Tula
1.15
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.09
Tyumen
1.06
Ska-khabarovsk
0.97
Torpedo Moskva
0.97
FK Sokol Saratov
0.94
FK Neftekhimik
0.91
KAMAZ
0.88
Chernomorets
0.88
Volgar Astrakhan
0.85
Leningradets
0.79
Urozhay
0.59
Arsenal Tula is 0.47 goals worse than Enisey in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.56
Arsenal Tula
0.74
Akron
0.76
Rodina Moskva
0.91
Torpedo Moskva
0.97
Tyumen
1.03
FK Neftekhimik
1.03
Ska-khabarovsk
1.06
KAMAZ
1.06
Chernomorets
1.12
Khimki
1.15
Enisey
1.18
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.21
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.24
Leningradets
1.29
Volgar Astrakhan
1.29
FK Sokol Saratov
1.56
Urozhay
1.56
Arsenal Tula is 0.44 goals better than Enisey in terms of goals conceded per game (0.74 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arsenal Tula
For 5.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Enisey
For 4.6 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 18.5 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal Tula
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
10.4
11.0
9.6
1.0
0.9
1.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
10.5
12.0
9.0
0.8
0.0
1.5
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
10.3
10.8
9.8
1.0
1.1
0.9
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
50%
40%
16%
16%
17%
-
-
-
% under line
55%
50%
60%
84%
84%
83%
-
-
-
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enisey
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
9.7
8.8
10.5
2.4
2.5
2.4
28.5
25.0
32.0
vs Stronger (4)
7.3
7.5
7.0
4.0
4.5
3.5
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
10.1
9.1
11.0
2.2
2.2
2.2
28.5
25.0
32.0
vs Weaker (3)
9.5
9.0
10.0
2.7
3.0
2.5
-
-
-
% over line
43%
25%
64%
36%
37%
35%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
57%
75%
36%
64%
63%
65%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tyumen
12.3
FK Neftekhimik
10.7
FK Sokol Saratov
10.7
Arsenal Tula
10.4
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.2
Volgar Astrakhan
10.1
Akron
9.9
Enisey
9.7
Urozhay
9.6
Torpedo Moskva
9.2
Khimki
8.9
Leningradets
8.7
Chernomorets
8.5
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.4
KAMAZ
8.2
Rodina Moskva
8.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
6.7
Tyumen
6.0
Ska-khabarovsk
5.8
Urozhay
5.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
5.4
Enisey
5.2
Akron
5.2
Rodina Moskva
5.0
Leningradets
5.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
5.0
FK Neftekhimik
4.9
Volgar Astrakhan
4.9
Khimki
4.9
Torpedo Moskva
4.6
Arsenal Tula
4.5
Chernomorets
4.0
FK Sokol Saratov
4.0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Khimki
25.3
Torpedo Moskva
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
65.2%
Under 9.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.6%
Under 3.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arsenal Tula
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.73
0.47
0.60
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.50
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.33
0.70
0.54
0.46
0.14
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enisey
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.40
0.53
0.27
0.27
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.38
0.54
0.23
0.27
0.55
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal Tula over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tula over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tula over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enisey over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enisey over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enisey over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal Tula
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.60
0.80
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.63
0.69
0.69
0.50
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enisey
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.58
0.54
0.38
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
2.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal Tula over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tula over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tula over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enisey over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enisey over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enisey over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
RM (26)
€17m
TM (23)
€11m
AT (26)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Arsenal Tula's squad is €3m more valuable than Enisey's (€8m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKR (9)
€11m
DM (13)
€9m
RM (11)
€7m
TM (10)
€5m
AT (8)
€3m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Arsenal Tula and Enisey have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKR (6)
€6m
RM (4)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Arsenal Tula and Enisey have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
TM (9)
€4m
AT (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
Arsenal Tula's defence is €1m more valuable than Enisey's (€3m vs €2m).
Russia: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Khimki
Dinamo Makhachkala
Akron
Rodina Moskva
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Tyumen
Torpedo Moskva
FK Neftekhimik
Ska-khabarovsk
KAMAZ
FK Sokol Saratov
Chernomorets
Volgar Astrakhan
Leningradets
Urozhay