Atert Bissen's five-game winning streak has them looking strong ahead of their matchup against AS Jeunesse Esch. However, the model disagrees with the market on this one, favoring an away win with a 52% probability, making it the most likely match result. The model's selection is an away win, which is the favored outcome, with AS Jeunesse Esch having a 24% chance of winning and a 25% chance of drawing.
The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, occurring with a 11.6% probability. AS Jeunesse Esch tends to score 1.33 goals at home, but concedes 1.0. Meanwhile, Atert Bissen scores 2.5 goals away from home, but concedes 1.21.
The model's suggested selections include Over 3.5 cards (89.9% probability), Over 1.5 goals (81.8% probability with a 6% edge), and Under 9.5 corners (76.3% probability with a 27% edge). The home win percentage is 24%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 52%.
The win extends AS Jeunesse Esch's recent struggles, as they fell to Atert Bissen's fifth consecutive victory. The final score was 0-2, in line with the actual result of an away win. The model correctly predicted the outcome, backing Atert Bissen to win. The model's selection was the favourite, holding a 52% chance of success. The predicted most likely score was a 1-1 draw, but the actual result was a 0-2 away win. The model's pick of Atert Bissen to win was correct. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals hit, with 81.8% of the model's probability assigned to this outcome.
AS Jeunesse Esch| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.31 | 1.08 | 1.12 | 1.29 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.78 | 1.33 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| vs Similar (21) | 1.38 | 1.14 | 1.56 | 1.11 | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-3pp vs league) | |||||
Atert Bissen| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.70 | 0.77 | 2.50 | 0.62 | 2.93 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 2.06 | 0.88 | 1.90 | 0.50 | 2.33 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (14) | 3.43 | 0.64 | 3.50 | 0.83 | 3.38 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
| Atert Bissen goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 12% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
AS Jeunesse Esch
Atert Bissen
AS Jeunesse Esch| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.8 | 10.0 | 7.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 29.0 | 29.0 | 29.0 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 6.0 | - | 6.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 32.0 | - | 32.0 |
| vs Similar (36) | 9.7 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 28.0 | 29.0 | 26.0 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 25% | 50% | 0% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| % under line | 75% | 50% | 100% | 90% | 88% | 92% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Atert Bissen| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (37) | 8.6 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 26.0 | 29.0 | 24.0 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 9.2 | 12.0 | 8.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 24.5 | 26.0 | 24.0 |
| vs Weaker (16) | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 32.0 | - |
| % over line | 40% | 50% | 33% | 14% | 11% | 16% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| % under line | 60% | 50% | 67% | 86% | 89% | 84% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
AS Jeunesse Esch| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.65 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.62 | 0.48 | 0.56 | 0.44 | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
Atert Bissen| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.23 | 0.23 | 0.88 | 0.06 | 1.64 | 0.43 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 0.88 | 0.31 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (14) | 1.64 | 0.14 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 1.88 | 0.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 80% (+54pp vs league) | |||||
AS Jeunesse Esch| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.73 | 0.85 | 0.62 | 0.47 | 0.82 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.33 | 0.89 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.76 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
Atert Bissen| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.47 | 0.53 | 1.62 | 0.56 | 1.29 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 1.19 | 0.56 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| vs Weaker (14) | 1.79 | 0.50 | 2.17 | 0.83 | 1.50 | 0.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+34pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 96.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 93.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 3.5 cards | 91.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 86.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 83.9% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +12.6% | - |
| Over 1.5 | 81.8% | 1.21 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.18 | +6.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 4.5 cards | 81.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 76.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 10.5 corners | 75.1% | 1.51 | 1.51 | - | - | - | - | +14.3% | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 10/08/25 | A | 0-0 |
AS Jeunesse Esch| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 22/03/26 | H | 2-3 |
Atert Bissen| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 23/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 0-5 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 0-5 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 22/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 2-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 5 | 15 | 100% | 3.0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.2 | - |
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 5 | 15 | 100% | 3.0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 3.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 3.8 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Résidence Walferdange | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 3.4 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 6 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 4.4 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 7 | Progres Niederkorn | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 2.4 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | Atert Bissen | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 9 | US Hostert | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 4.2 | 100% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 10 | F91 Dudelange | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2.6 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 11 | US Rumelange | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4.0 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 2.4 | - |
| 12 | Wiltz | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4.2 | 100% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 13 | Victoria Rosport | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 4.4 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 2.4 | - |
| 14 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 15 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3.0 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 2.6 | - |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 2 | 21 | -19 | 4.6 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 4.2 | - |