This opponent (Ružomberok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ružomberok
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.07
1.67
0.93
1.13
1.20
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.88
0.33
1.33
0.40
2.20
vs Similar (16)
1.88
0.69
2.00
0.88
1.75
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.75
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
AS Trencin goals ↓
Ružomberok goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
6.7%
5.3%
2.4%
0.8%
1
7.5%
13%
7.9%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.5%
8.7%
5.9%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.2%
4.3%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AS Trencin goals (down), columns = Ružomberok goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.28
Dunajska Streda
1.81
Spartak Trnava
1.78
Žilina
1.72
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.59
AS Trencin
1.53
Petržalka
1.50
Ružomberok
1.47
Skalica
1.25
Podbrezová
1.16
Zemplín Michalovce
0.88
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.38
AS Trencin is 0.06 points better than Ružomberok in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.38
Žilina
1.69
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.56
Podbrezová
1.53
Dunajska Streda
1.53
AS Trencin
1.50
Spartak Trnava
1.47
Ružomberok
1.19
Skalica
1.09
Petržalka
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.94
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.66
AS Trencin is 0.31 goals better than Ružomberok in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Trnava
0.91
Slovan Bratislava
0.97
Dunajska Streda
1.00
AS Trencin
1.06
Skalica
1.19
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.28
Ružomberok
1.34
Žilina
1.41
Zemplín Michalovce
1.47
Petržalka
1.50
FK Košice
1.75
Podbrezová
1.88
Zlaté Moravce
2.06
AS Trencin is 0.28 goals better than Ružomberok in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.34).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AS Trencin
64%
Slovan Bratislava
57%
Žilina
56%
Podbrezová
55%
Dukla Banská Bystrica
49%
Dunajska Streda
48%
Zlaté Moravce
47%
Spartak Trnava
47%
Skalica
45%
Zemplín Michalovce
45%
Ružomberok
44%
FK Košice
42%
AS Trencin is 19.9 percentage points better than Ružomberok in terms of average possession (64% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AS Trencin
For 5.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 8.8 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ružomberok
For 4.9 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AS Trencin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (35)
10.6
11.6
9.8
3.5
3.8
3.3
23.5
23.0
24.0
vs Stronger (4)
10.0
8.0
12.0
4.0
7.5
0.5
22.0
25.0
19.0
vs Similar (19)
10.0
13.3
7.1
3.4
3.2
3.5
22.2
20.2
24.0
vs Weaker (12)
11.7
10.0
13.0
3.7
3.5
3.8
25.8
26.8
25.0
% over line
67%
73%
62%
49%
59%
39%
58%
55%
62%
% under line
33%
27%
38%
51%
41%
61%
42%
45%
38%
This opponent (Ružomberok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ružomberok
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (41)
10.1
9.6
10.5
2.8
2.7
2.9
28.5
29.5
27.6
vs Stronger (13)
10.4
11.0
10.0
2.7
1.7
3.6
29.3
32.5
28.0
vs Similar (20)
9.8
8.0
11.8
2.8
3.3
2.2
29.5
30.9
28.0
vs Weaker (8)
10.3
11.7
9.0
3.0
2.8
3.2
25.3
24.3
26.3
% over line
57%
43%
69%
41%
40%
43%
85%
92%
79%
% under line
43%
57%
31%
59%
60%
57%
15%
8%
21%
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Zemplín Michalovce
11.6
Podbrezová
11.1
Zlaté Moravce
10.8
AS Trencin
10.6
Dunajska Streda
10.5
Žilina
10.4
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.4
Ružomberok
10.1
FK Košice
10.0
Skalica
9.6
Slovan Bratislava
9.5
Spartak Trnava
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AS Trencin
5.2
Zlaté Moravce
5.1
FK Košice
5.0
Spartak Trnava
4.8
Dunajska Streda
4.6
Podbrezová
4.5
Skalica
4.3
Slovan Bratislava
4.2
Dukla Banská Bystrica
4.2
Ružomberok
4.1
Žilina
3.8
Zemplín Michalovce
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ružomberok
28.5
Zlaté Moravce
27.5
FK Košice
27.0
Dunajska Streda
26.9
Slovan Bratislava
26.7
Skalica
25.7
Podbrezová
25.7
Dukla Banská Bystrica
24.5
Zemplín Michalovce
24.4
Spartak Trnava
24.0
AS Trencin
23.5
Žilina
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
65.1%
Under 9.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.6%
Under 3.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
71.9%
Under 21.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AS Trencin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.53
0.47
0.27
1.13
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.38
1.00
0.43
0.57
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (11)
0.36
0.64
0.50
0.50
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ružomberok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ružomberok
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.67
0.40
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.75
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.80
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.19
0.88
0.38
0.75
0.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.33
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AS Trencin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Trencin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Trencin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ružomberok over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ružomberok over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ružomberok over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AS Trencin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.90
0.87
1.13
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
1.00
0.43
1.00
0.78
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.64
1.33
1.00
0.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ružomberok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ružomberok
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
1.00
0.53
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.12
0.00
0.67
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (16)
1.06
0.50
1.12
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AS Trencin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Trencin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Trencin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ružomberok over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ružomberok over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ružomberok over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AS Trencin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominik Hollý33%
Artur Gajdoš31%
Chinonso Emeka31%
Njegoš Kupusović25%
Hilary Gong18%
Bright Donkor17%
Eynel Soares12%
Samuel Kozlovský12%
Lukáš Skovajsa9%
Rahim Ibrahim6%
Vozinha0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Armin Đerlek0%
Matúš Kmeť0%
Damián Bariš0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Samir Ben Sallam0%
Michal Kukučka0%
Akila Jesse0%
Emma Uchegbu0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Tadeas Hajovsky0%
Sunday Jude0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chinonso Emeka31%
Lazar Stojsavljević25%
Rahim Ibrahim25%
Artur Gajdoš25%
Eynel Soares25%
Taras Bondarenko17%
Akila Jesse17%
Bright Donkor17%
Matúš Kmeť11%
Damián Bariš11%
Vozinha8%
Hilary Gong6%
Samuel Kozlovský6%
Armin Đerlek0%
Lukáš Skovajsa0%
Samir Ben Sallam0%
Njegoš Kupusović0%
Michal Kukučka0%
Emma Uchegbu0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Tadeas Hajovsky0%
Sunday Jude0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sunday Jude31%
Rahim Ibrahim12%
Artur Gajdoš12%
Hilary Gong12%
Emma Uchegbu10%
Armin Đerlek8%
Samuel Kozlovský6%
Matúš Kmeť6%
Damián Bariš6%
Vozinha0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Lukáš Skovajsa0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Samir Ben Sallam0%
Njegoš Kupusović0%
Michal Kukučka0%
Chinonso Emeka0%
Akila Jesse0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Tadeas Hajovsky0%
Eynel Soares0%
Bright Donkor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominik Hollý67%
Chinonso Emeka38%
Rahim Ibrahim38%
Eynel Soares25%
Njegoš Kupusović19%
Hilary Gong18%
Bright Donkor17%
Matúš Kmeť11%
Artur Gajdoš6%
Taras Bondarenko6%
Damián Bariš6%
Vozinha0%
Armin Đerlek0%
Lukáš Skovajsa0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Samir Ben Sallam0%
Samuel Kozlovský0%
Michal Kukučka0%
Akila Jesse0%
Emma Uchegbu0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Tadeas Hajovsky0%
Sunday Jude0%
Ružomberok
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Martin Boďa27%
Martin Chrien23%
Alexander Selecký19%
Jan Hladík14%
Samuel Lavrinčík12%
Matúš Malý12%
Kristóf Domonkos11%
Samuel Šefčík10%
Adam Tučný8%
Oliver Luterán7%
Timotej Múdry7%
Ján Maslo0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Štefan Gerec0%
Marián Chobot0%
Alexander Mojžiš0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Šimon Gabriel0%
Tomáš Frühwald0%
Dávid Jackuliak0%
Viktor Úradník0%
Dominik Ťapaj0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexander Mojžiš50%
Martin Chrien38%
Viktor Úradník33%
Marek Zsigmund27%
Tomáš Frühwald23%
Marián Chobot22%
Kristóf Domonkos22%
Samuel Lavrinčík19%
Alexander Selecký19%
Adam Tučný17%
Jan Hladík14%
Timotej Múdry13%
Matúš Malý12%
Ján Maslo10%
Štefan Gerec8%
Oliver Luterán7%
Martin Boďa7%
Šimon Gabriel6%
Samuel Šefčík0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Dávid Jackuliak0%
Dominik Ťapaj0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adam Tučný17%
Jan Hladík14%
Alexander Selecký12%
Samuel Šefčík10%
Oliver Luterán7%
Marek Zsigmund7%
Timotej Múdry7%
Samuel Lavrinčík6%
Matúš Malý6%
Martin Chrien0%
Ján Maslo0%
Štefan Gerec0%
Marián Chobot0%
Alexander Mojžiš0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Kristóf Domonkos0%
Šimon Gabriel0%
Martin Boďa0%
Tomáš Frühwald0%
Dávid Jackuliak0%
Viktor Úradník0%
Dominik Ťapaj0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jan Hladík14%
Martin Chrien8%
Martin Boďa7%
Matúš Malý0%
Ján Maslo0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Štefan Gerec0%
Marián Chobot0%
Alexander Mojžiš0%
Samuel Šefčík0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Kristóf Domonkos0%
Timotej Múdry0%
Samuel Lavrinčík0%
Šimon Gabriel0%
Oliver Luterán0%
Adam Tučný0%
Tomáš Frühwald0%
Dávid Jackuliak0%
Alexander Selecký0%
Viktor Úradník0%
Dominik Ťapaj0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ZM (14)
€1m
AS Trencin's squad is €3m more valuable than Ružomberok's (€7m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
AS Trencin and Ružomberok have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
AS Trencin and Ružomberok have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
AS Trencin's defence is €2m more valuable than Ružomberok's (€4m vs €2m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →