AS Trencin’s recent slump, ending with a 0-4 loss to Spartak Trnava, sets the stage for a cautious home outing, while Ružomberok, after a 0-1 defeat to Dukla Banská Bystrica, will look to rebound. The model’s most confident pick is a home win, with a 51 % chance, followed by a 26 % draw and a 23 % away win. The expected goal total hovers at 2.8, but the most likely total is 2 goals, a 25 % probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.3 % chance. Trencin averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.36 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas Ružomberok, on the road, averages 0.64 scored and 2.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.1 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6 % with an 8 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5 % with a 7 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.4 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.4 % with a 4 % edge), and Under 5.5 (93.1 % with a 5 % edge).
Results analysis
The model’s forecast proved spot on, with AS Trencin clinching a 2-1 victory over Ružomberok, extending their recent run with a win. The pre-match favourite was Home win at 51%, and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 2-1 matched the predicted outcome. Every suggested pick also hit: Under 7.5 (99.1%) was correct; Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7%) both landed; Away under 3.5 goals (97.4%) and Under 6.5 (97.4%) were successful; Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.5%) also hit; and Under 5.5 (93.1%) finished in the money. The match delivered on every probability the model set.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
AS Trencin win✓ Hit
51.0%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.25
Edge
+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Dafabet
2.29
10Bet
2.28
Unibet
2.28
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.55
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.80
Pinnacle
3.70
Dafabet
3.65
1xBet
3.62
Marathonbet
3.62
Ružomberok win✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied 33.4% · @ 2.75
Edge
-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.91
1xBet
2.82
Marathonbet
2.81
BetVictor
2.80
Superbet
2.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
AS Trencin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.57
1.07
1.43
1.75
1.69
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
0.00
3.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
1.43
1.61
1.09
1.36
1.75
1.83
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
1.40
1.50
1.00
1.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ružomberok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ružomberok
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.67
1.13
1.40
1.07
1.93
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
1.83
1.00
1.33
1.33
2.33
vs Similar (22)
0.91
1.77
1.17
1.42
0.60
2.20
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
@ 1.17-0.6%
Under 1.5
21.2%
@ 4.49+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
4.79
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.2%
@ 1.58-4.4%
Under 2.5
45.8%
@ 2.23+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.33
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.9%
@ 2.48-5.8%
Under 3.5
68.1%
@ 1.50+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
10Bet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Under
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.4%
@ 1.49-5.4%
No
43.6%
@ 2.41+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
William Hil
1.50
10Bet
1.50
No
Betfair
2.50
BetVictor
2.45
1xBet
2.44
William Hil
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 6.58+5.5%
2-1 ✓
9.7%@ 8.38+4.4%
1-0
9.0%@ 9.68+4.4%
2-0
8.8%@ 12.28+5.1%
0-0
6.9%@ 13.24+3.5%
1-2
6.2%@ 9.32+1.4%
3-1
5.6%@ 14.87+2.6%
2-2
5.4%@ 10.57+1.2%
AS Trencin goals ↓
Ružomberok goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
5.3%
3.6%
1.3%
0.4%
1
9.0%
12%
6.2%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.8%
9.7%
5.4%
2.0%
0.6%
3
5.1%
5.6%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
4
2.2%
2.5%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AS Trencin goals (down), columns = Ružomberok goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dunajska Streda
2.60
Slovan Bratislava
2.40
Žilina
2.17
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
FK Košice
1.20
Skalica
1.17
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
AS Trencin
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.67
Komárno
0.50
Ružomberok
0.17
AS Trencin is 0.83 points better than Ružomberok in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dunajska Streda
3.40
Slovan Bratislava
3.00
FK Košice
2.80
Žilina
2.50
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
Skalica
1.50
AS Trencin
1.40
Komárno
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.83
Ružomberok
0.67
AS Trencin is 0.73 goals better than Ružomberok in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dunajska Streda
0.40
Slovan Bratislava
0.60
Spartak Trnava
0.83
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
Komárno
1.83
Žilina
2.00
Podbrezová
2.00
AS Trencin
2.20
Ružomberok
2.50
Skalica
2.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.50
FK Košice
2.60
AS Trencin is 0.30 goals better than Ružomberok in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 2.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AS Trencin
For 4.7 · Against 7.4 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ružomberok
For 5.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 12.2 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AS Trencin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.8
10.1
13.2
1.8
2.1
1.6
24.1
24.6
23.8
vs Stronger (5)
14.5
12.0
17.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
19.5
22.0
17.0
vs Similar (35)
11.8
10.9
12.5
2.1
2.5
1.8
23.4
23.7
23.3
vs Weaker (10)
10.0
6.5
17.0
1.7
2.0
1.5
31.3
29.0
36.0
% over line
70%
40%
92%
22%
27%
18%
61%
70%
54%
% under line
30%
60%
8%
78%
73%
82%
39%
30%
46%
This opponent (Ružomberok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ružomberok
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.1
11.2
1.9
2.0
1.9
26.1
25.8
26.4
vs Stronger (8)
9.6
8.5
10.3
3.5
2.5
4.5
24.6
21.0
27.0
vs Similar (40)
11.0
10.5
11.4
1.7
1.8
1.6
26.6
27.0
26.2
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
61%
40%
77%
20%
22%
19%
78%
80%
77%
% under line
39%
60%
23%
80%
78%
81%
22%
20%
23%
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AS Trencin
11.2
Podbrezová
10.6
FK Košice
10.5
Ružomberok
10.2
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.2
Zemplín Michalovce
10.0
Dunajska Streda
10.0
Slovan Bratislava
9.9
Komárno
9.8
Skalica
9.7
Žilina
9.6
Spartak Trnava
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Trnava
5.1
Slovan Bratislava
5.0
Dunajska Streda
4.9
Skalica
4.8
Podbrezová
4.7
AS Trencin
4.7
Komárno
4.5
Zemplín Michalovce
4.4
Ružomberok
4.4
FK Košice
4.2
Žilina
3.9
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Trnava
28.1
Skalica
27.2
Komárno
27.0
Zemplín Michalovce
26.8
Podbrezová
26.5
Žilina
26.3
Dunajska Streda
26.3
Ružomberok
25.9
Slovan Bratislava
25.5
AS Trencin
25.5
FK Košice
24.0
Dukla Banská Bystrica
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.7%
@ 1.49-5.2%
Under 9.5
43.3%
@ 2.43+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.54
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.50
1xBet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
2.34
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.3%
Under 3.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.0%
Under 21.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AS Trencin or Draw✓ Hit
76.9%
Avg Implied 66.4% · @ 1.39
Edge
+10.5%
51%
26%
23%
covers AS Trencin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
AS Trencin or Ružomberok✓ Hit
74.1%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.24
Edge
-0.2%
51%
26%
23%
covers AS Trencin + Ružomberok
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Draw or Ružomberok✗ Miss
49.0%
Avg Implied 59.3% · @ 1.56
Edge
-10.3%
51%
26%
23%
covers Draw + Ružomberok
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AS Trencin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.4%
@ 1.18+3.7%
Under
17.6%
@ 4.36-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.55
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
AS Trencin over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
51.9%
@ 1.92+3.4%
Under
48.1%
@ 1.80-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Betfair
1.80
AS Trencin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.3%
@ 3.91+1.6%
Under
74.7%
@ 1.22-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.08
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.96
1xBet
3.96
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
AS Trencin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 8.75-0.8%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.05+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Ružomberok over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.0%
@ 1.24-8.2%
Under
33.0%
@ 3.74+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Under
Pinnacle
3.90
BetVictor
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.74
Ružomberok over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.4%
@ 2.17-12.4%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.62+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
BetVictor
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Under
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Superbet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Ružomberok over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 4.79-9.2%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.15+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Ružomberok over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 9.25-7.5%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.04+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to AS Trencin, so a minus line means AS Trencin give that many goals of a start and Ružomberok receive them. At -1, AS Trencin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AS Trencin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AS Trencin)Actual: Ružomberok
AS Trencin -2
12.7%
@ 8.80+2.5%
Draw -2
15.9%
@ 6.62+2.4%
Ružomberok +2
71.3%
@ 1.18-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
8.90
Bet365
8.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.85
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Away
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (AS Trencin)Actual: Draw
AS Trencin -1
28.7%
@ 4.01+6.8%
Draw -1
22.4%
@ 4.04+0.7%
Ružomberok +1
49.0%
@ 1.55-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.45
Away
Marathonbet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.45
Handicap +1 (AS Trencin)Actual: AS Trencin
AS Trencin +1
76.9%
@ 1.39+14.0%
Draw +1
13.8%
@ 4.42-6.0%
Ružomberok -1
9.2%
@ 5.09-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.36
Draw
Marathonbet
4.75
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
3.60
Away
Marathonbet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.10
Handicap +2 (AS Trencin)Actual: AS Trencin
AS Trencin +2
90.8%
@ 1.11+12.0%
Draw +2
6.5%
@ 6.95-6.1%
Ružomberok -2
2.8%
@ 10.10-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.30
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AS Trencin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.43
0.50
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.78
0.45
0.55
0.58
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.40
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ružomberok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ružomberok
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.73
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.91
0.75
0.83
0.30
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
-
-
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.8%
@ 1.28-4.9%
Under 0.5
32.2%
@ 3.39+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Under
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.8%
@ 2.31-9.3%
Under 1.5
69.2%
@ 1.55+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
Pinnacle
2.41
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Under
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
William Hil
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 5.14-7.9%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.13+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Superbet
5.10
Betano
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AS Trencin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
51.4%
@ 1.80-0.3%
Under
48.6%
@ 1.92+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.80
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
1xBet
1.95
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
AS Trencin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.4%
@ 5.19-2.5%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.13+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
AS Trencin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 12.88-4.6%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Ružomberok over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.2%
@ 1.97-11.0%
Under
63.8%
@ 1.75+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.05
Betano
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Ružomberok over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 5.96-7.2%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.09+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Ružomberok over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 15.38-4.7%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AS Trencin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
0.64
0.93
1.00
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.83
0.64
0.82
1.17
0.83
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ružomberok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ružomberok
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.87
0.47
0.67
0.53
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.17
0.67
1.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.36
0.86
0.42
0.58
0.30
1.20
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
-
-
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.8%
@ 1.17-2.2%
Under 0.5
22.2%
@ 4.68+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.75
1xBet
4.70
William Hil
4.60
Superbet
4.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.5%
@ 1.81-8.8%
Under 1.5
57.5%
@ 1.91+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
Betano
1.98
William Hil
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.6%
@ 3.42-8.6%
Under 2.5
81.4%
@ 1.28+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Betano
3.35
1xBet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AS Trencin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
56.5%
@ 1.57-2.7%
Under
43.5%
@ 2.27+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Under
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.28
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.25
AS Trencin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.0%
@ 3.71-4.0%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.24+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
10Bet
3.80
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
AS Trencin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 9.50-3.4%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Ružomberok over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.1%
@ 1.66-8.7%
Under
52.9%
@ 2.09+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
Ružomberok over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.0%
@ 4.28-5.8%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.19+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Ružomberok over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 10.75-6.4%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
1xBet
11.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.5%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.1%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.7%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.8%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
-
-
+12.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.9%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.13
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.13
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.6%
1.13
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.0%
1.19
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.0%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
82.4%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.4%
1.28
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.0%
1.24
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.8%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.8%
1.17
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
76.9%
1.39
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.9%
1.39
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.36
+14.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
74.7%
1.22
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.1%
1.24
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
71.3%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-4.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AS Trencin · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lukas Mikulaj50%
Johnson Nsumoh33%
Eynel Soares33%
Molik Khan25%
Korede Adedoyin22%
Franko Sabljić22%
Lukáš Skovajsa14%
Sani Suleiman14%
Nikolas Brandis8%
Tadeáš Hájovský6%
Loic Bessile0%
Richard Križan0%
Richie Musaba0%
Sean Goss0%
Markus Poom0%
Jakub Holúbek0%
Andrija Katić0%
Justen Kranthove0%
Pepijn Doesburg0%
Roshaun Mathurin0%
Dylann Kam0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Adam Yakubu0%
Adrian Fiala0%
Hugo Pavek0%
Antonio Baždarić0%
Sunday Jude0%
Shakhmurza Adyrbekov0%
Denis Adamkovic0%
Fedor Kasana0%
Viktor Šimić0%
Pape Diouf0%
Nentaka Bangs0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pape Diouf40%
Justen Kranthove33%
Samuel Bagín33%
Eynel Soares33%
Richard Križan29%
Molik Khan25%
Adam Yakubu25%
Roshaun Mathurin22%
Tadeáš Hájovský19%
Richie Musaba17%
Shakhmurza Adyrbekov17%
Hugo Pavek14%
Andrija Katić12%
Franko Sabljić11%
Loic Bessile8%
Nikolas Brandis8%
Antonio Baždarić8%
Pepijn Doesburg7%
Sean Goss0%
Markus Poom0%
Jakub Holúbek0%
Lukáš Skovajsa0%
Korede Adedoyin0%
Johnson Nsumoh0%
Dylann Kam0%
Adrian Fiala0%
Sani Suleiman0%
Lukas Mikulaj0%
Sunday Jude0%
Denis Adamkovic0%
Fedor Kasana0%
Viktor Šimić0%
Nentaka Bangs0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Markus Poom25%
Eynel Soares22%
Richie Musaba17%
Justen Kranthove17%
Sani Suleiman14%
Franko Sabljić11%
Roshaun Mathurin11%
Loic Bessile0%
Richard Križan0%
Sean Goss0%
Jakub Holúbek0%
Lukáš Skovajsa0%
Andrija Katić0%
Korede Adedoyin0%
Johnson Nsumoh0%
Pepijn Doesburg0%
Dylann Kam0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Molik Khan0%
Adam Yakubu0%
Tadeáš Hájovský0%
Adrian Fiala0%
Hugo Pavek0%
Nikolas Brandis0%
Lukas Mikulaj0%
Antonio Baždarić0%
Sunday Jude0%
Shakhmurza Adyrbekov0%
Denis Adamkovic0%
Fedor Kasana0%
Viktor Šimić0%
Pape Diouf0%
Nentaka Bangs0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Korede Adedoyin33%
Johnson Nsumoh33%
Franko Sabljić11%
Eynel Soares11%
Loic Bessile0%
Richard Križan0%
Richie Musaba0%
Sean Goss0%
Markus Poom0%
Jakub Holúbek0%
Lukáš Skovajsa0%
Andrija Katić0%
Justen Kranthove0%
Pepijn Doesburg0%
Roshaun Mathurin0%
Dylann Kam0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Molik Khan0%
Adam Yakubu0%
Tadeáš Hájovský0%
Adrian Fiala0%
Hugo Pavek0%
Nikolas Brandis0%
Sani Suleiman0%
Lukas Mikulaj0%
Antonio Baždarić0%
Sunday Jude0%
Shakhmurza Adyrbekov0%
Denis Adamkovic0%
Fedor Kasana0%
Viktor Šimić0%
Pape Diouf0%
Nentaka Bangs0%
Ružomberok · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lukáš Fila29%
Marko Kelemen20%
Ján Murgaš17%
Jan Hladík15%
Martin Chrien14%
Adam Tučný12%
Alexander Selecký12%
Lukáš Endl11%
Daniel Köstl10%
Marián Chobot0%
Adrián Slávik0%
Martin Šulek0%
Alexander Mojžiš0%
Ondřej Šašinka0%
Kristóf Domonkos0%
Timotej Múdry0%
Oliver Luterán0%
Martin Gomola0%
Dávid Jackuliak0%
Dominik Masek0%
Samuel Grygar0%
Dominik Ťapaj0%
David Huska0%
Tomas Kral0%
Patrik Jevos0%
Tomas Buchvaldek0%
Martin Bacik0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marko Kelemen40%
Kristóf Domonkos33%
Daniel Köstl30%
Oliver Luterán25%
Alexander Selecký25%
Jan Hladík23%
Patrik Jevos20%
Lukáš Fila14%
Martin Bacik13%
Lukáš Endl11%
Dominik Ťapaj11%
Alexander Mojžiš10%
David Huska10%
Ondřej Šašinka8%
Samuel Grygar8%
Adam Tučný6%
Timotej Múdry6%
Martin Chrien0%
Marián Chobot0%
Adrián Slávik0%
Martin Šulek0%
Martin Gomola0%
Dávid Jackuliak0%
Dominik Masek0%
Ján Murgaš0%
Tomas Kral0%
Tomas Buchvaldek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marián Chobot17%
Alexander Selecký12%
Ondřej Šašinka8%
Jan Hladík8%
Samuel Grygar8%
Lukáš Fila7%
Adam Tučný6%
Martin Chrien0%
Marko Kelemen0%
Adrián Slávik0%
Martin Šulek0%
Alexander Mojžiš0%
Daniel Köstl0%
Kristóf Domonkos0%
Timotej Múdry0%
Oliver Luterán0%
Lukáš Endl0%
Martin Gomola0%
Dávid Jackuliak0%
Dominik Masek0%
Dominik Ťapaj0%
Ján Murgaš0%
David Huska0%
Tomas Kral0%
Patrik Jevos0%
Tomas Buchvaldek0%
Martin Bacik0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jan Hladík31%
Lukáš Endl11%
Daniel Köstl10%
Martin Chrien7%
Lukáš Fila7%
Alexander Selecký6%
Marko Kelemen0%
Marián Chobot0%
Adrián Slávik0%
Martin Šulek0%
Alexander Mojžiš0%
Ondřej Šašinka0%
Kristóf Domonkos0%
Timotej Múdry0%
Oliver Luterán0%
Adam Tučný0%
Martin Gomola0%
Dávid Jackuliak0%
Dominik Masek0%
Samuel Grygar0%
Dominik Ťapaj0%
Ján Murgaš0%
David Huska0%
Tomas Kral0%
Patrik Jevos0%
Tomas Buchvaldek0%
Martin Bacik0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
AS Trencin's squad is €3m more valuable than Ružomberok's (€7m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
AS Trencin and Ružomberok have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
AS Trencin and Ružomberok have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
AS Trencin's defence is €2m more valuable than Ružomberok's (€4m vs €2m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Dunajska Streda
Spartak Trnava
Žilina
Slovan Bratislava
Podbrezová
Zemplín Michalovce
Skalica
FK Košice
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Komárno