This highly anticipated match between AS Trencin and Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia: Super Liga on August 23rd is finely balanced, with recent form playing a significant role in the narrative. AS Trencin's recent defeat to Podbrezova, where they conceded two goals, raises concerns about their defensive solidity. On the other hand, Spartak Trnava's 3-0 win over Dukla Banská Bystrica has them riding a two-game winning streak.
The model predicts a 38% chance of an away win, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1, occurring with a 13.4% probability. The expected total goals are 2.7, with the most likely total being 2 goals. At home, AS Trencin have scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded 1.5, while their opponents average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded away from home.
The model's selection for the match result is an away win. The suggested picks include Over 21.5 fouls (83.8%), Over 3.5 cards (77.9%), Over 1.5 (76.6%), and Under 3.5 (71.1%). The probabilities for the match outcome are 34% for a home win, 28% for a draw, and 38% for an away win.
Results analysis
The match saw Spartak Trnava extend their five-game winning run, beating AS Trencin 4-0. The model’s favourite, an away win with a 38 % probability, proved correct. The final score of 0-4 matched the predicted outcome. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.3 % was a hit; Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4 % hit; Under 6.5 at 97.9 % hit; Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.0 % hit; Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.9 % hit; Home under 3.5 goals at 95.6 % hit. The only misses were Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.3 % and Away under 3.5 goals at 94.6 %. The model’s prediction was largely accurate, confirming the favoured result and most of its selections.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
AS Trencin win✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 3.91
Edge
+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.20
Bet365
4.20
Betfair
4.00
Betano
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.76
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.06
Marathonbet
3.88
1xBet
3.88
Dafabet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Spartak Trnava win✓ Hit
38.1%
Avg Implied 52.1% · @ 1.76
Edge
-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.81
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
AS Trencin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.50
1.15
1.23
1.65
1.71
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
0.00
3.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
1.43
1.52
1.20
1.10
1.62
1.85
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
1.40
1.50
1.00
1.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.17
1.94
0.69
1.29
1.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (19)
1.79
1.26
2.11
0.89
1.50
1.60
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
0.43
2.20
0.20
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.6%
@ 1.19-1.4%
Under 1.5
23.4%
@ 4.22+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
888Sport
4.40
Pinnacle
4.39
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.9%
@ 1.64-6.1%
Under 2.5
49.1%
@ 2.17+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
SBO
1.65
Betano
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.21
Betano
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.9%
@ 2.56-7.3%
Under 3.5
71.1%
@ 1.45+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.69
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.3%
@ 1.59-1.6%
No
43.7%
@ 2.19+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Betfair
1.60
BetVictor
1.60
No
Betfair
2.25
888Sport
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Superbet
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.89+6.9%
1-2
8.6%@ 7.43+2.5%
0-1
8.1%@ 7.86+2.4%
2-1
8.0%@ 12.08+4.3%
0-0
7.9%@ 12.17+4.2%
1-0
7.5%@ 12.80+4.0%
0-2
6.5%@ 8.88+1.5%
2-0
5.7%@ 22.20+3.7%
AS Trencin goals ↓
Spartak Trnava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
8.1%
6.5%
3.1%
1.1%
1
7.5%
13%
8.6%
4.0%
1.4%
2
5.7%
8.0%
5.6%
2.6%
0.9%
3
2.5%
3.5%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AS Trencin goals (down), columns = Spartak Trnava goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dunajska Streda
2.60
Slovan Bratislava
2.40
Žilina
2.17
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
FK Košice
1.20
Skalica
1.17
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
AS Trencin
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.67
Komárno
0.50
Ružomberok
0.17
AS Trencin is 1.17 points worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dunajska Streda
3.40
Slovan Bratislava
3.00
FK Košice
2.80
Žilina
2.50
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
Skalica
1.50
AS Trencin
1.40
Komárno
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.83
Ružomberok
0.67
AS Trencin is 0.77 goals worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 2.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dunajska Streda
0.40
Slovan Bratislava
0.60
Spartak Trnava
0.83
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
Komárno
1.83
Žilina
2.00
Podbrezová
2.00
AS Trencin
2.20
Ružomberok
2.50
Skalica
2.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.50
FK Košice
2.60
AS Trencin is 1.37 goals worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AS Trencin
For 4.7 · Against 7.4 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartak Trnava
For 5.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 12.3 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AS Trencin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.8
10.3
13.2
2.0
2.4
1.6
24.6
25.6
23.8
vs Stronger (5)
14.5
12.0
17.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
19.5
22.0
17.0
vs Similar (35)
11.8
11.0
12.5
2.3
3.0
1.8
24.1
25.2
23.3
vs Weaker (10)
10.0
6.5
17.0
1.7
2.0
1.5
31.3
29.0
36.0
% over line
71%
45%
92%
24%
32%
18%
62%
73%
54%
% under line
29%
55%
8%
76%
68%
82%
38%
27%
46%
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.0
8.8
2.6
2.0
3.2
28.9
29.8
28.0
vs Stronger (5)
8.5
7.0
10.0
3.2
3.3
3.0
24.5
24.0
25.0
vs Similar (35)
9.2
9.7
8.6
2.8
2.2
3.3
29.1
30.3
27.8
vs Weaker (10)
8.0
7.0
9.0
1.5
0.8
2.5
30.2
30.0
30.5
% over line
39%
33%
45%
30%
20%
40%
96%
100%
91%
% under line
61%
67%
55%
70%
80%
60%
4%
0%
9%
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AS Trencin
11.2
Podbrezová
10.6
FK Košice
10.5
Ružomberok
10.2
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.2
Zemplín Michalovce
10.0
Dunajska Streda
10.0
Slovan Bratislava
9.9
Komárno
9.8
Skalica
9.7
Žilina
9.6
Spartak Trnava
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Trnava
5.1
Slovan Bratislava
4.9
Dunajska Streda
4.9
Skalica
4.8
Podbrezová
4.7
AS Trencin
4.7
Komárno
4.5
Zemplín Michalovce
4.4
Ružomberok
4.4
FK Košice
4.2
Žilina
3.9
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Trnava
28.1
Skalica
27.2
Komárno
27.0
Zemplín Michalovce
26.8
Podbrezová
26.5
Žilina
26.3
Dunajska Streda
26.3
Ružomberok
25.9
AS Trencin
25.5
Slovan Bratislava
25.3
FK Košice
24.0
Dukla Banská Bystrica
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.2%
@ 1.61-8.5%
Under 9.5
50.8%
@ 2.20+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.59
Betano
1.55
Under
1xBet
2.46
Marathonbet
2.41
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.26
Superbet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
77.9%
Under 3.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.8%
Under 21.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AS Trencin or Draw✗ Miss
61.9%
Avg Implied 47.2% · @ 1.96
Edge
+14.7%
34%
28%
38%
covers AS Trencin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.06
Betano
2.05
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
2.00
888Sport
1.95
AS Trencin or Spartak Trnava✓ Hit
71.8%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.22
Edge
-4.2%
34%
28%
38%
covers AS Trencin + Spartak Trnava
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Draw or Spartak Trnava✓ Hit
66.2%
Avg Implied 76.8% · @ 1.21
Edge
-10.5%
34%
28%
38%
covers Draw + Spartak Trnava
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AS Trencin over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.0%
@ 1.38+5.8%
Under
27.0%
@ 2.82-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.99
888Sport
2.90
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.82
AS Trencin over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.6%
@ 2.81+4.7%
Under
62.4%
@ 1.39-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.93
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.81
Marathonbet
2.81
Under
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
888Sport
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
AS Trencin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 6.87+1.0%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.07-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
888Sport
7.00
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
AS Trencin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 15.42-1.8%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.01+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
12.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.4%
@ 1.13-6.6%
Under
24.6%
@ 5.16+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
5.20
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.9%
@ 1.69-13.9%
Under
59.1%
@ 2.05+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.70
BetVictor
1.70
Under
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Superbet
2.07
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
16.7%
@ 3.15-12.7%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.32+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.37
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Under
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Spartak Trnava over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
5.4%
@ 6.30-9.4%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.09+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
888Sport
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.10
1xBet
5.90
Under
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to AS Trencin, so a minus line means AS Trencin give that many goals of a start and Spartak Trnava receive them. At -1, AS Trencin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AS Trencin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AS Trencin)Actual: Spartak Trnava
AS Trencin -2
5.4%
@ 23.50+1.4%
Draw -2
10.1%
@ 13.00+2.9%
Spartak Trnava +2
84.5%
@ 1.05-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Handicap -1 (AS Trencin)Actual: Spartak Trnava
AS Trencin -1
15.5%
@ 8.57+5.0%
Draw -1
18.3%
@ 5.80+2.9%
Spartak Trnava +1
66.2%
@ 1.20-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
7.70
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.40
Away
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.17
Handicap +1 (AS Trencin)Actual: Spartak Trnava
AS Trencin +1
61.9%
@ 1.94+16.9%
Draw +1
19.7%
@ 3.56-4.7%
Spartak Trnava -1
18.4%
@ 2.85-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.94
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.83
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.10
Away
10Bet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.94
Bet365
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.60
Handicap +2 (AS Trencin)Actual: Spartak Trnava
AS Trencin +2
81.6%
@ 1.34+15.1%
Draw +2
11.6%
@ 4.96-6.4%
Spartak Trnava -2
6.8%
@ 5.74-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Draw
Marathonbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Away
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AS Trencin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.46
0.46
0.71
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.83
0.50
0.50
0.54
1.08
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.40
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.88
0.44
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.74
0.56
0.56
0.70
0.90
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.29
1.80
0.20
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.3%
@ 1.29-2.6%
Under 0.5
30.7%
@ 3.31+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Under
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.35
1xBet
3.35
10Bet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.1%
@ 2.37-5.0%
Under 1.5
65.9%
@ 1.52+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.55
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.47
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Under
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.54
William Hil
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.4%
@ 5.41-4.8%
Under 2.5
87.6%
@ 1.12+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
William Hil
5.50
Betano
5.30
1xBet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AS Trencin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.0%
@ 2.29+1.5%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.56-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
Under
1xBet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.55
AS Trencin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 7.60-0.8%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.06+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.90
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
AS Trencin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.4%
@ 1.67-6.3%
Under
50.6%
@ 2.10+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Under
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Betano
2.05
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 4.26-8.3%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.19+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.25
10Bet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 9.88-6.4%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.03+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AS Trencin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.69
0.77
0.94
0.76
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.70
0.70
0.60
1.08
0.77
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
1.06
0.25
0.64
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (19)
1.16
0.53
1.56
0.33
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
0.14
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.3%
@ 1.18-0.7%
Under 0.5
21.7%
@ 4.43+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Under
Betano
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.45
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.6%
@ 1.86-6.3%
Under 1.5
56.4%
@ 1.85+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.83
Under
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.0%
@ 3.63-7.7%
Under 2.5
82.0%
@ 1.25+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AS Trencin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.4%
@ 1.92-0.9%
Under
52.6%
@ 1.79+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
AS Trencin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 5.62-2.0%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.12+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.70
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
AS Trencin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 11.00-5.5%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
58.5%
@ 1.46-5.1%
Under
41.5%
@ 2.55+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Under
Betano
2.60
Superbet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
19.8%
@ 3.18-9.4%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.31+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.30
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
4.7%
@ 7.80-7.3%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.06+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.06
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+7.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
94.6%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+9.4%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
94.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.19
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.17
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.5%
1.07
Betano
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.4%
1.12
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-
-4.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
83.3%
1.32
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
+12.7%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.0%
1.25
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
+7.7%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
81.6%
1.34
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
-
+15.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.31
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+9.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.3%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.6%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
75.4%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Betfair
1.13
-6.6%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.1%
1.52
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.47
+13.2%
-
Home over 0.5 goals
73.0%
1.38
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
+5.8%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
71.8%
1.22
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
71.1%
1.45
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
+7.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AS Trencin · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lukas Mikulaj50%
Johnson Nsumoh33%
Eynel Soares33%
Molik Khan25%
Korede Adedoyin22%
Franko Sabljić22%
Lukáš Skovajsa14%
Sani Suleiman14%
Nikolas Brandis8%
Tadeáš Hájovský6%
Loic Bessile0%
Richard Križan0%
Richie Musaba0%
Sean Goss0%
Markus Poom0%
Jakub Holúbek0%
Andrija Katić0%
Justen Kranthove0%
Pepijn Doesburg0%
Roshaun Mathurin0%
Dylann Kam0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Adam Yakubu0%
Adrian Fiala0%
Hugo Pavek0%
Antonio Baždarić0%
Sunday Jude0%
Shakhmurza Adyrbekov0%
Denis Adamkovic0%
Fedor Kasana0%
Viktor Šimić0%
Pape Diouf0%
Nentaka Bangs0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pape Diouf40%
Justen Kranthove33%
Samuel Bagín33%
Eynel Soares33%
Richard Križan29%
Molik Khan25%
Adam Yakubu25%
Roshaun Mathurin22%
Tadeáš Hájovský19%
Richie Musaba17%
Shakhmurza Adyrbekov17%
Hugo Pavek14%
Andrija Katić12%
Franko Sabljić11%
Loic Bessile8%
Nikolas Brandis8%
Antonio Baždarić8%
Pepijn Doesburg7%
Sean Goss0%
Markus Poom0%
Jakub Holúbek0%
Lukáš Skovajsa0%
Korede Adedoyin0%
Johnson Nsumoh0%
Dylann Kam0%
Adrian Fiala0%
Sani Suleiman0%
Lukas Mikulaj0%
Sunday Jude0%
Denis Adamkovic0%
Fedor Kasana0%
Viktor Šimić0%
Nentaka Bangs0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Markus Poom25%
Eynel Soares22%
Richie Musaba17%
Justen Kranthove17%
Sani Suleiman14%
Franko Sabljić11%
Roshaun Mathurin11%
Loic Bessile0%
Richard Križan0%
Sean Goss0%
Jakub Holúbek0%
Lukáš Skovajsa0%
Andrija Katić0%
Korede Adedoyin0%
Johnson Nsumoh0%
Pepijn Doesburg0%
Dylann Kam0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Molik Khan0%
Adam Yakubu0%
Tadeáš Hájovský0%
Adrian Fiala0%
Hugo Pavek0%
Nikolas Brandis0%
Lukas Mikulaj0%
Antonio Baždarić0%
Sunday Jude0%
Shakhmurza Adyrbekov0%
Denis Adamkovic0%
Fedor Kasana0%
Viktor Šimić0%
Pape Diouf0%
Nentaka Bangs0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Korede Adedoyin33%
Johnson Nsumoh33%
Franko Sabljić11%
Eynel Soares11%
Loic Bessile0%
Richard Križan0%
Richie Musaba0%
Sean Goss0%
Markus Poom0%
Jakub Holúbek0%
Lukáš Skovajsa0%
Andrija Katić0%
Justen Kranthove0%
Pepijn Doesburg0%
Roshaun Mathurin0%
Dylann Kam0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Molik Khan0%
Adam Yakubu0%
Tadeáš Hájovský0%
Adrian Fiala0%
Hugo Pavek0%
Nikolas Brandis0%
Sani Suleiman0%
Lukas Mikulaj0%
Antonio Baždarić0%
Sunday Jude0%
Shakhmurza Adyrbekov0%
Denis Adamkovic0%
Fedor Kasana0%
Viktor Šimić0%
Pape Diouf0%
Nentaka Bangs0%
Spartak Trnava · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hilary Gong33%
Idjessi Metsoko31%
Patrick Nwadike25%
Erik Daniel20%
Timotej Kudlicka20%
Luka Khorkheli20%
Philip Azango13%
Jakub Paur12%
Roman Procházka11%
Miloš Kratochvíl11%
Abdulrahman Taiwo11%
Erik Sabo11%
Martin Mikovič6%
Michal Ďuriš0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Filip Twardzik0%
Michal Tomič0%
Martin Vantruba0%
Marin Laušić0%
Libor Holík0%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Žiga Frelih0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Roko Jureškin0%
Stefan Skrbo0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Paur35%
Timotej Kudlicka30%
Martin Mikovič25%
Kristián Koštrna25%
Miloš Kratochvíl22%
Lazar Stojsavljević18%
Martin Vantruba17%
Erik Sabo17%
Filip Twardzik13%
Žiga Frelih13%
Roko Jureškin12%
Roman Procházka11%
Abdulrahman Taiwo11%
Libor Holík8%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili8%
Idjessi Metsoko8%
Luka Khorkheli7%
Michal Ďuriš6%
Stefan Skrbo6%
Philip Azango0%
Hilary Gong0%
Erik Daniel0%
Michal Tomič0%
Marin Laušić0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Patrick Nwadike0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marin Laušić25%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili23%
Erik Daniel20%
Martin Mikovič19%
Michal Tomič14%
Luka Khorkheli13%
Miloš Kratochvíl11%
Hilary Gong11%
Abdulrahman Taiwo11%
Erik Sabo11%
Stefan Skrbo11%
Libor Holík8%
Roko Jureškin6%
Jakub Paur6%
Roman Procházka0%
Philip Azango0%
Michal Ďuriš0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Filip Twardzik0%
Martin Vantruba0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Žiga Frelih0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Patrick Nwadike0%
Timotej Kudlicka0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Nwadike25%
Timotej Kudlicka15%
Hilary Gong11%
Abdulrahman Taiwo11%
Stefan Skrbo11%
Idjessi Metsoko8%
Jakub Paur6%
Miloš Kratochvíl6%
Roman Procházka0%
Philip Azango0%
Michal Ďuriš0%
Martin Mikovič0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Erik Daniel0%
Filip Twardzik0%
Michal Tomič0%
Martin Vantruba0%
Marin Laušić0%
Libor Holík0%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Erik Sabo0%
Žiga Frelih0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Roko Jureškin0%
Luka Khorkheli0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
AS Trencin and Spartak Trnava have a similar squad value (both €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
AS Trencin and Spartak Trnava have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
AS Trencin and Spartak Trnava have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
AS Trencin's defence is €1m more valuable than Spartak Trnava's (€4m vs €3m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Dunajska Streda
Žilina
Slovan Bratislava
Podbrezová
Zemplín Michalovce
Skalica
FK Košice
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Komárno
Ružomberok