This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.80
2.67
2.13
1.47
1.47
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
3.20
2.00
4.50
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (10)
2.20
1.20
2.60
1.20
1.80
1.20
vs Weaker (15)
2.27
1.73
2.88
2.12
1.57
1.29
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.2%
Under 2.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
0-0 ✓
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
AS Trencin goals ↓
Žilina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
7.3%
5.7%
2.6%
0.9%
1
7.7%
13%
8.1%
3.7%
1.2%
2
6.3%
8.5%
5.7%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.0%
4.0%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.1%
1.4%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AS Trencin goals (down), columns = Žilina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.28
Dunajska Streda
1.81
Spartak Trnava
1.78
Žilina
1.72
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.59
AS Trencin
1.53
Petržalka
1.50
Ružomberok
1.47
Skalica
1.25
Podbrezová
1.16
Zemplín Michalovce
0.88
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.38
AS Trencin is 0.19 points worse than Žilina in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.38
Žilina
1.69
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.56
Podbrezová
1.53
Dunajska Streda
1.53
AS Trencin
1.50
Spartak Trnava
1.47
Ružomberok
1.19
Skalica
1.09
Petržalka
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.94
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.66
AS Trencin is 0.19 goals worse than Žilina in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.69).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Trnava
0.91
Slovan Bratislava
0.97
Dunajska Streda
1.00
AS Trencin
1.06
Skalica
1.19
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.28
Ružomberok
1.34
Žilina
1.41
Zemplín Michalovce
1.47
Petržalka
1.50
FK Košice
1.75
Podbrezová
1.88
Zlaté Moravce
2.06
AS Trencin is 0.34 goals better than Žilina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AS Trencin
64%
Slovan Bratislava
57%
Žilina
56%
Podbrezová
55%
Dukla Banská Bystrica
49%
Dunajska Streda
48%
Zlaté Moravce
47%
Spartak Trnava
47%
Skalica
45%
Zemplín Michalovce
45%
Ružomberok
44%
FK Košice
42%
AS Trencin is 8.5 percentage points better than Žilina in terms of average possession (64% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AS Trencin
For 7.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Žilina
For 4.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 11.2 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AS Trencin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
10.4
11.2
9.7
4.0
4.4
3.5
23.9
23.3
24.4
vs Stronger (6)
10.0
11.0
9.0
4.5
7.7
1.3
23.0
24.0
22.0
vs Similar (25)
9.6
11.4
7.9
3.8
3.7
3.8
22.8
20.6
24.8
vs Weaker (14)
12.0
10.8
13.0
4.1
4.3
3.9
26.2
28.0
24.7
% over line
62%
62%
61%
53%
64%
43%
68%
62%
72%
% under line
38%
38%
39%
47%
36%
57%
32%
38%
28%
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.3
2.6
3.0
2.2
23.1
23.5
22.5
vs Stronger (7)
7.6
9.0
5.5
1.1
2.0
0.5
18.4
19.3
17.0
vs Similar (15)
9.8
10.3
9.2
2.8
3.0
2.6
23.3
20.6
26.8
vs Weaker (28)
10.7
9.6
12.1
2.9
3.3
2.5
24.0
25.8
21.8
% over line
55%
52%
59%
36%
42%
29%
57%
55%
60%
% under line
45%
48%
41%
64%
58%
71%
43%
45%
40%
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Podbrezová
11.4
Zemplín Michalovce
10.8
Zlaté Moravce
10.7
Dunajska Streda
10.5
AS Trencin
10.4
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.3
Žilina
10.1
Ružomberok
10.0
Skalica
9.6
Spartak Trnava
9.4
FK Košice
9.4
Slovan Bratislava
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AS Trencin
5.2
Zlaté Moravce
4.7
Spartak Trnava
4.7
Dunajska Streda
4.6
Slovan Bratislava
4.4
Podbrezová
4.4
Skalica
4.4
Dukla Banská Bystrica
4.2
Ružomberok
4.1
Žilina
3.6
Zemplín Michalovce
3.3
FK Košice
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Zlaté Moravce
27.1
Ružomberok
26.8
Slovan Bratislava
26.0
Dunajska Streda
26.0
Skalica
25.7
Podbrezová
25.1
FK Košice
25.0
Spartak Trnava
24.7
Dukla Banská Bystrica
24.6
AS Trencin
23.9
Zemplín Michalovce
23.3
Žilina
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.8%
Under 9.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.2%
Under 3.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.6%
Under 21.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AS Trencin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.67
0.40
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.82
1.00
0.38
0.67
1.22
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
1.07
0.80
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (10)
1.20
0.50
1.40
0.20
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (15)
0.93
0.73
1.00
1.00
0.86
0.43
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AS Trencin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Trencin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Trencin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AS Trencin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.87
0.67
1.07
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.88
0.62
1.00
0.89
0.78
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.60
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.10
1.60
1.33
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.20
1.50
3.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.70
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (15)
1.33
1.00
1.88
1.12
0.71
0.86
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AS Trencin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Trencin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Trencin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AS Trencin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominik Hollý33%
Artur Gajdoš31%
Chinonso Emeka31%
Njegoš Kupusović25%
Hilary Gong18%
Bright Donkor17%
Eynel Soares12%
Samuel Kozlovský12%
Lukáš Skovajsa9%
Rahim Ibrahim6%
Vozinha0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Armin Đerlek0%
Matúš Kmeť0%
Damián Bariš0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Samir Ben Sallam0%
Michal Kukučka0%
Akila Jesse0%
Emma Uchegbu0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Tadeas Hajovsky0%
Sunday Jude0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chinonso Emeka31%
Lazar Stojsavljević25%
Rahim Ibrahim25%
Artur Gajdoš25%
Eynel Soares25%
Taras Bondarenko17%
Akila Jesse17%
Bright Donkor17%
Matúš Kmeť11%
Damián Bariš11%
Vozinha8%
Hilary Gong6%
Samuel Kozlovský6%
Armin Đerlek0%
Lukáš Skovajsa0%
Samir Ben Sallam0%
Njegoš Kupusović0%
Michal Kukučka0%
Emma Uchegbu0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Tadeas Hajovsky0%
Sunday Jude0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sunday Jude31%
Rahim Ibrahim12%
Artur Gajdoš12%
Hilary Gong12%
Emma Uchegbu10%
Armin Đerlek8%
Samuel Kozlovský6%
Matúš Kmeť6%
Damián Bariš6%
Vozinha0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Lukáš Skovajsa0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Samir Ben Sallam0%
Njegoš Kupusović0%
Michal Kukučka0%
Chinonso Emeka0%
Akila Jesse0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Tadeas Hajovsky0%
Eynel Soares0%
Bright Donkor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominik Hollý67%
Chinonso Emeka38%
Rahim Ibrahim38%
Eynel Soares25%
Njegoš Kupusović19%
Hilary Gong18%
Bright Donkor17%
Matúš Kmeť11%
Artur Gajdoš6%
Taras Bondarenko6%
Damián Bariš6%
Vozinha0%
Armin Đerlek0%
Lukáš Skovajsa0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Samir Ben Sallam0%
Samuel Kozlovský0%
Michal Kukučka0%
Akila Jesse0%
Emma Uchegbu0%
Samuel Bagín0%
Tadeas Hajovsky0%
Sunday Jude0%
Žilina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dávid Ďuriš50%
Matúš Rusnák25%
Timotej Jambor21%
Patrik Leitner17%
Patrik Iľko12%
Samuel Gidi12%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Mario Sauer11%
Samuel Ďatko8%
Ján Minárik7%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula7%
Xavier Adang7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Krisztián Bari0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ján Minárik27%
Tomáš Hubočan20%
Patrik Leitner17%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula13%
Samuel Gidi12%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Krisztián Bari7%
Xavier Adang7%
Patrik Iľko6%
Dominik Javorček6%
Mario Sauer6%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Ďatko15%
Ján Minárik13%
Xavier Adang13%
Patrik Iľko12%
Timotej Jambor7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Samuel Gidi6%
Yves Erick Bile6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Krisztián Bari0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Patrik Leitner0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Mario Sauer0%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timotej Jambor36%
Dávid Ďuriš25%
Matúš Rusnák25%
Patrik Iľko18%
Mario Sauer17%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Ján Minárik7%
Krisztián Bari7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Patrik Leitner0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Samuel Gidi0%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Xavier Adang0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ZM (14)
€1m
AS Trencin's squad is €4m less valuable than Žilina's (€7m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
AS Trencin's attack is €2m less valuable than Žilina's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
AS Trencin and Žilina have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
AS Trencin's defence is €2m less valuable than Žilina's (€4m vs €6m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Slovan Bratislava
Dunajska Streda
Spartak Trnava
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Ružomberok
Skalica
Podbrezová
Zemplín Michalovce
FK Košice
Zlaté Moravce
Petržalka