ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026

Time: 08:00

Final 1-0

ASA Targu Mures

43%

26%

31%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Gloria Bistriţa

Romania: Liga II

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

ASA Targu Mures is the favourite to win against Gloria Bistrița, with a 43% chance of a home win. This match is expected to be an open and goal-rich affair, with an average of 3 goals expected. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 12.1%.

At home, ASA Targu Mures has been scoring an average of 3 goals and conceding just 0.5 goals per game against weaker opponents. Meanwhile, Gloria Bistrița has been scoring 1.75 goals and conceding 1.5 goals per game away from home against stronger opponents.

The model suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection with an 81.4% probability. The home win percentage is 43%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 31%. The model's selection for the match result is a Home win.

Results analysis

ASA Targu Mures’ victory over Gloria Bistriţa extended their recent winning run, confirming the model’s prediction that a home win would be achieved. The final score of 1-0 matched the actual result, and the model’s favourite was correct. The model had given the home side a 43 % chance of triumph, a 26 % chance of a draw and a 31 % chance of an away win. Every suggested selection performed as expected: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98.8 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1 %, Under 6.5 at 96.6 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.5 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.6 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.1 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.5 % and Under 5.5 at 91.4 %. All selections were settled and hit, underscoring the model’s accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASA Targu Mures win✓ Hit

43.3%

Avg Implied 41.6% · @ 2.17

Edge

+1.7%

Best 5 market prices

10Bet

2.30

Unibet

2.28

Superbet

2.25

Dafabet

2.21

Betano

2.20

Draw✗ Miss

26.2%

Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.14

Edge

-2.7%

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

3.25

Betfair

3.25

Betano

3.25

Superbet

3.20

10Bet

3.20

Gloria Bistriţa win✗ Miss

30.5%

Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.06

Edge

+0.9%

Best 5 market prices

Superbet

3.20

1xBet

3.19

Betano

3.15

Dafabet

3.15

Pinnacle

3.14

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ASA Targu Mures

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.3

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.70	1.17	2.07	1.00	1.38	1.31
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (24)	1.38	1.21	1.67	1.08	1.08	1.33
vs Weaker (6)	3.00	1.00	4.50	0.50	2.25	1.25
Clean sheet %	40% (+8pp vs league)

This opponent (Gloria Bistriţa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gloria Bistriţa

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.53	1.17	1.38	1.06	1.71	1.29
vs Stronger (4)	1.00	1.75	0.50	2.00	1.50	1.50
vs Similar (24)	1.75	1.04	1.75	0.83	1.75	1.25
vs Weaker (2)	0.00	1.50	0.00	1.50	-	-
Clean sheet %	30% (-2pp vs league)

This opponent (ASA Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

81.4%

@ 1.30+10.7%

Under 1.5

18.6%

@ 3.15-10.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.35

Unibet

1.32

Betano

1.32

Superbet

1.31

Betfair

1.29

Under

BetVictor

3.30

Betfair

3.30

Superbet

3.25

1xBet

3.14

Marathonbet

3.14

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

58.0%

@ 1.96+10.7%

Under 2.5

42.0%

@ 1.76-10.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

2.05

Bet365

2.00

Unibet

2.00

Betano

1.98

Superbet

1.97

Under

Pinnacle

1.81

Bet365

1.80

Betano

1.78

SBO

1.78

1xBet

1.77

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

35.6%

@ 3.40+8.5%

Under 3.5

64.4%

@ 1.26-8.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

3.70

Betfair

3.60

Unibet

3.50

BetVictor

3.50

Superbet

3.40

Under

Betano

1.30

Superbet

1.29

1xBet

1.27

Marathonbet

1.27

10Bet

1.25

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

61.3%

@ 1.74+8.5%

38.7%

@ 1.95-8.5%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

10Bet

1.80

Unibet

1.76

Superbet

1.76

Betano

1.75

William Hil

1.75

BetVictor

2.00

Betfair

2.00

Betano

1.98

1xBet

1.98

William Hil

1.95

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.1%@ 5.68+4.6%

2-1

9.1%@ 8.15+3.9%

1-2

7.5%@ 9.83+3.2%

1-0 ✓

7.0%@ 6.97+0.9%

2-0

6.7%@ 9.69+2.3%

2-2

6.2%@ 12.39+2.8%

0-0

6.0%@ 8.43+0.9%

0-1

5.6%@ 8.38+0.5%

ASA Targu Mures goals ↓

	Gloria Bistriţa goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	5.6%	4.5%	2.1%	0.7%
1	7.0%	12%	7.5%	3.4%	1.2%
2	6.7%	9.1%	6.2%	2.8%	1.0%
3	3.7%	5.0%	3.4%	1.6%	0.5%
4	1.5%	2.1%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ASA Targu Mures goals (down), columns = Gloria Bistriţa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

FC Politehnica Timisoara

2.60

Slatina

2.60

Concordia

2.40

CSM Reşiţa

2.40

Popești-Leordeni

1.80

Gloria Bistriţa

1.80

Chindia Targoviste

1.80

FC Bacau

1.60

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

1.60

Metalul Buzău

1.40

Metaloglobus

1.40

Cetatea Suceava

1.40

CS Afumati

1.40

Ştefăneşti

1.20

Bihor Oradea

1.20

Viitorul Şelimbăr

1.00

ASA Targu Mures

0.80

CS Dinamo București

0.60

Dumbrăviţa

0.60

CSM Satu Mare

0.40

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

0.20

Unirea Slobozia

0.20

ASA Targu Mures is 1.00 points worse than Gloria Bistriţa in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 1.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Concordia

2.20

FC Politehnica Timisoara

2.20

Popești-Leordeni

2.00

Chindia Targoviste

2.00

FC Bacau

2.00

Slatina

2.00

CSM Reşiţa

1.80

Gloria Bistriţa

1.40

Metaloglobus

1.40

Cetatea Suceava

1.40

Bihor Oradea

1.20

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

1.20

CS Afumati

1.20

Viitorul Şelimbăr

1.00

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

1.00

Metalul Buzău

1.00

CS Dinamo București

0.80

Dumbrăviţa

0.80

Ştefăneşti

0.80

ASA Targu Mures

0.60

Unirea Slobozia

0.60

CSM Satu Mare

0.20

ASA Targu Mures is 0.80 goals worse than Gloria Bistriţa in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

FC Politehnica Timisoara

0.40

Slatina

0.40

Gloria Bistriţa

0.80

Bihor Oradea

0.80

Chindia Targoviste

1.00

FC Bacau

1.00

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

1.00

Popești-Leordeni

1.20

Dumbrăviţa

1.20

CSM Reşiţa

1.20

Metalul Buzău

1.20

CSM Satu Mare

1.20

Viitorul Şelimbăr

1.40

Cetatea Suceava

1.40

Concordia

1.60

ASA Targu Mures

1.60

Metaloglobus

1.60

Unirea Slobozia

1.80

CS Afumati

1.80

CS Dinamo București

2.00

Ştefăneşti

2.00

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

2.20

ASA Targu Mures is 0.80 goals worse than Gloria Bistriţa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 0.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ASA Targu Mures or Draw✓ Hit

69.5%

Avg Implied 70.6% · @ 1.30

Edge

-1.1%

43%

26%

31%

covers ASA Targu Mures + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.36

10Bet

1.33

Betfair

1.33

Superbet

1.32

Unibet

1.32

ASA Targu Mures or Gloria Bistriţa✓ Hit

73.8%

Avg Implied 71.4% · @ 1.29

Edge

+2.5%

43%

26%

31%

covers ASA Targu Mures + Gloria Bistriţa

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.35

Superbet

1.32

Betano

1.31

Unibet

1.30

BetVictor

1.30

Draw or Gloria Bistriţa✗ Miss

56.7%

Avg Implied 58.0% · @ 1.58

Edge

-1.4%

43%

26%

31%

covers Draw + Gloria Bistriţa

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.67

Betfair

1.62

William Hil

1.62

BetVictor

1.62

Superbet

1.61

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

ASA Targu Mures over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

80.9%

@ 1.25+7.1%

Under

19.1%

@ 3.52-7.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.28

Unibet

1.27

Betano

1.26

Superbet

1.26

1xBet

1.22

Under

Betfair

3.75

Superbet

3.65

Betano

3.65

1xBet

3.58

Unibet

3.30

ASA Targu Mures over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

49.2%

@ 2.22+7.6%

Under

50.8%

@ 1.58-7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

2.35

Unibet

2.30

Betfair

2.25

Superbet

2.22

Pinnacle

2.21

Under

1xBet

1.65

Pinnacle

1.62

Betano

1.62

Marathonbet

1.61

Superbet

1.61

ASA Targu Mures over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

23.1%

@ 4.74+3.4%

Under

76.9%

@ 1.16-3.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

5.00

Superbet

4.90

Betano

4.65

1xBet

4.40

Under

1xBet

1.17

Betano

1.17

Superbet

1.16

Betfair

1.14

ASA Targu Mures over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

8.6%

@ 10.62-0.2%

Under

91.4%

@ 1.03+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

12.00

Betano

9.25

Under

Betano

1.04

Superbet

1.03

Gloria Bistriţa over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

74.4%

@ 1.37+7.0%

Under

25.6%

@ 2.83-7.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.40

Betano

1.40

Superbet

1.39

Unibet

1.37

10Bet

1.35

Under

Betfair

3.00

Superbet

2.85

10Bet

2.80

Unibet

2.80

Betano

2.80

Gloria Bistriţa over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

39.5%

@ 2.77+6.3%

Under

60.5%

@ 1.38-6.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.85

Betano

2.80

1xBet

2.78

Marathonbet

2.78

Betfair

2.75

Under

Betano

1.40

Betfair

1.40

Superbet

1.39

Unibet

1.38

1xBet

1.37

Gloria Bistriţa over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

15.7%

@ 6.83+2.1%

Under

84.3%

@ 1.08-2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

7.00

Superbet

7.00

1xBet

7.00

Betano

6.30

Under

Betano

1.10

Superbet

1.08

Betfair

1.07

1xBet

1.06

Gloria Bistriţa over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

4.9%

@ 15.12-1.3%

Under

95.1%

@ 1.01+1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

19.00

Betano

11.25

Under

Betano

1.02

Superbet

1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to ASA Targu Mures, so a minus line means ASA Targu Mures give that many goals of a start and Gloria Bistriţa receive them. At -1, ASA Targu Mures must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ASA Targu Mures win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (ASA Targu Mures)Actual: Gloria Bistriţa

ASA Targu Mures -2

9.7%

@ 9.90+0.7%

Draw -2

13.4%

@ 6.25-0.9%

Gloria Bistriţa +2

77.0%

@ 1.16+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

11.00

Unibet

10.00

Superbet

8.70

Draw

Betfair

6.50

Unibet

6.25

Superbet

6.00

Away

Superbet

1.19

Unibet

1.15

Betfair

1.14

Handicap -1 (ASA Targu Mures)Actual: Draw

ASA Targu Mures -1

23.0%

@ 4.38+2.8%

Draw -1

20.3%

@ 3.78-3.1%

Gloria Bistriţa +1

56.7%

@ 1.57+0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

4.75

Unibet

4.50

Betfair

4.50

Superbet

4.15

Marathonbet

4.00

Draw

10Bet

3.85

Superbet

3.80

Marathonbet

3.75

Betfair

3.75

Unibet

3.75

Away

Superbet

1.62

Betfair

1.57

Marathonbet

1.56

10Bet

1.55

Unibet

1.54

Handicap +1 (ASA Targu Mures)Actual: ASA Targu Mures

ASA Targu Mures +1

69.5%

@ 1.31+2.7%

Draw +1

16.5%

@ 4.57-2.7%

Gloria Bistriţa -1

14.0%

@ 6.28+0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Unibet

1.34

Superbet

1.33

Marathonbet

1.27

Draw

Superbet

4.75

Marathonbet

4.65

Unibet

4.30

Away

Marathonbet

6.45

Superbet

6.30

Unibet

6.10

Handicap +2 (ASA Targu Mures)Actual: ASA Targu Mures

ASA Targu Mures +2

86.0%

Draw +2

9.1%

Gloria Bistriţa -2

5.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ASA Targu Mures

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.80	0.50	0.93	0.36	0.69	0.62
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (24)	0.71	0.50	0.83	0.42	0.58	0.58
vs Weaker (6)	1.17	0.50	1.50	0.00	1.00	0.75
Clean sheet %	60% (+28pp vs league)

This opponent (Gloria Bistriţa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gloria Bistriţa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.6

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.63	0.53	0.62	0.38	0.64	0.71
vs Stronger (4)	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (24)	0.79	0.46	0.83	0.25	0.75	0.67
vs Weaker (2)	0.00	0.50	0.00	0.50	-	-
Clean sheet %	57% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (ASA Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

74.2%

@ 1.40+8.1%

Under 0.5

25.8%

@ 2.72-8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.41

Marathonbet

1.41

Superbet

1.41

BetVictor

1.40

Under

William Hil

2.90

Betfair

2.88

BetVictor

2.80

Pinnacle

2.80

Superbet

2.77

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

38.8%

@ 2.82+6.1%

Under 1.5

61.2%

@ 1.37-6.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.90

Betfair

2.88

BetVictor

2.88

Superbet

2.87

10Bet

2.85

Under

William Hil

1.40

Superbet

1.39

Pinnacle

1.38

Betano

1.38

BetVictor

1.36

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

13.6%

@ 7.20+0.7%

Under 2.5

86.4%

@ 1.07-0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

8.00

BetVictor

8.00

Superbet

7.10

William Hil

7.00

1xBet

6.80

Under

Betano

1.09

Superbet

1.08

William Hil

1.08

1xBet

1.06

BetVictor

1.05

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

ASA Targu Mures over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

54.5%

@ 1.96+7.4%

Under

45.5%

@ 1.74-7.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.00

Unibet

1.98

Superbet

1.97

1xBet

1.95

Pinnacle

1.92

Under

Pinnacle

1.80

1xBet

1.75

Superbet

1.75

Betano

1.72

Unibet

1.70

ASA Targu Mures over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

17.2%

@ 6.15+2.2%

Under

82.8%

@ 1.09-2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.00

Superbet

5.85

Betano

5.60

Under

Betano

1.11

Superbet

1.10

1xBet

1.07

ASA Targu Mures over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.5%

@ 14.88-2.9%

Under

96.5%

@ 1.02+2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

19.00

Betano

10.75

Under

Betano

1.02

Gloria Bistriţa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

45.5%

@ 2.28+5.0%

Under

54.5%

@ 1.55-5.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.32

Pinnacle

2.31

Superbet

2.30

Unibet

2.25

1xBet

2.20

Under

Superbet

1.55

Pinnacle

1.55

Betano

1.55

Unibet

1.55

1xBet

1.53

Gloria Bistriţa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

11.2%

@ 7.63-0.9%

Under

88.8%

@ 1.05+0.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

8.50

Superbet

7.70

Betano

6.70

Under

Betano

1.07

Superbet

1.05

1xBet

1.04

Gloria Bistriţa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.9%

@ 29.00-98.1%

Under

98.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

29.00

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ASA Targu Mures

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.90	0.67	1.14	0.64	0.69	0.69
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (24)	0.67	0.71	0.83	0.67	0.50	0.75
vs Weaker (6)	1.83	0.50	3.00	0.50	1.25	0.50
Clean sheet %	50% (+18pp vs league)

This opponent (Gloria Bistriţa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gloria Bistriţa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.90	0.63	0.75	0.69	1.07	0.57
vs Stronger (4)	1.00	0.75	0.50	1.00	1.50	0.50
vs Similar (24)	0.96	0.58	0.92	0.58	1.00	0.58
vs Weaker (2)	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.00	-	-
Clean sheet %	47% (+15pp vs league)

This opponent (ASA Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

80.3%

Under 0.5

19.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

51.2%

Under 1.5

48.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

21.3%

Under 2.5

78.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

ASA Targu Mures over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

57.1%

Under

42.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

ASA Targu Mures over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

19.9%

Under

80.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

ASA Targu Mures over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

5.5%

Under

94.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Gloria Bistriţa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

53.7%

Under

46.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Gloria Bistriţa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

16.6%

Under

83.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Gloria Bistriţa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

4.4%

Under

95.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	98.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	96.6%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.5%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	95.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	95.1%	1.01	Betano 1.02	Superbet 1.01	-	-	-	+1.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	94.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	91.4%	1.02	1xBet 1.03	Betano 1.03	Superbet 1.02	Betfair 1.01	-	-1.0%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	91.4%	1.03	Betano 1.04	Superbet 1.03	-	-	-	+0.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	88.8%	1.05	Betano 1.07	Superbet 1.05	1xBet 1.04	-	-	+0.9%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	86.4%	1.07	Betano 1.09	Superbet 1.08	William Hil 1.08	1xBet 1.06	BetVictor 1.05	-0.7%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	86.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	84.3%	1.08	Betano 1.10	Superbet 1.08	Betfair 1.07	1xBet 1.06	-	-2.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	83.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	82.8%	1.09	Betano 1.11	Superbet 1.10	1xBet 1.07	-	-	-2.2%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	81.4%	1.30	10Bet 1.35	Unibet 1.32	Betano 1.32	Superbet 1.31	Betfair 1.29	+10.7%	✗ Miss
Under 4.5	81.3%	1.08	Betano 1.11	Superbet 1.09	Unibet 1.07	1xBet 1.07	Betfair 1.06	-4.6%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	80.9%	1.25	10Bet 1.28	Unibet 1.27	Betano 1.26	Superbet 1.26	1xBet 1.22	+7.1%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	80.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals	80.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	78.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	77.0%	1.16	Superbet 1.19	Unibet 1.15	Betfair 1.14	-	-	+0.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	76.9%	1.16	1xBet 1.17	Betano 1.17	Superbet 1.16	Betfair 1.14	-	-3.4%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	74.4%	1.37	1xBet 1.40	Betano 1.40	Superbet 1.39	Unibet 1.37	10Bet 1.35	+7.0%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals	74.2%	1.40	Betano 1.45	1xBet 1.41	Marathonbet 1.41	Superbet 1.41	BetVictor 1.40	+8.1%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	73.8%	1.29	William Hil 1.35	Superbet 1.32	Betano 1.31	Unibet 1.30	BetVictor 1.30	+2.5%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

AH (37)

€11m

CON (26)

€5m

BO (23)

€4m

CT (21)

€3m

CSB (24)

€3m

SLA (23)

€3m

ATM (22)

€3m

CR (20)

€3m

MB (19)

€3m

FB (23)

€2m

VŞ (19)

€2m

GB (20)

€2m

CSM (19)

€2m

MET (15)

€1m

US (13)

€1m

DUM (15)

€1m

CA (14)

€1m

CDB (14)

€1m

ŞTE (8)

€1m

CRV (10)

€1m

POP (9)

€1m

ASA Targu Mures's squad is €1m more valuable than Gloria Bistriţa's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

AH (13)

€5m

CON (11)

€2m

CT (8)

€2m

SLA (10)

€1m

ATM (7)

€1m

MB (6)

€1m

CSB (8)

€1m

VŞ (8)

€1m

CR (9)

€1m

BO (6)

€1m

GB (8)

€1m

FB (8)

€1m

MET (5)

€1m

CRV (5)

€1m

CA (6)

€1m

US (4)

€0m

CSM (7)

€0m

CDB (3)

€0m

POP (3)

€0m

DUM (3)

€0m

ŞTE (2)

€0m

ASA Targu Mures and Gloria Bistriţa have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

AH (9)

€2m

CON (6)

€1m

BO (6)

€1m

CSB (6)

€1m

FB (6)

€1m

ATM (4)

€1m

US (4)

€0m

GB (5)

€0m

DUM (4)

€0m

CR (4)

€0m

MB (4)

€0m

CA (4)

€0m

POP (4)

€0m

CT (2)

€0m

MET (3)

€0m

VŞ (3)

€0m

ŞTE (3)

€0m

CSM (4)

€0m

SLA (4)

€0m

CDB (4)

€0m

CRV (1)

€0m

ASA Targu Mures and Gloria Bistriţa have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

AH (15)

€5m

BO (11)

€2m

SLA (9)

€1m

CR (7)

€1m

CSB (10)

€1m

CT (11)

€1m

ATM (11)

€1m

MB (9)

€1m

CON (9)

€1m

CSM (8)

€1m

FB (9)

€1m

CDB (7)

€1m

ŞTE (3)

€1m

VŞ (8)

€1m

DUM (8)

€1m

GB (7)

€1m

MET (7)

€1m

US (5)

€1m

CRV (4)

€0m

CA (4)

€0m

POP (2)

€0m

ASA Targu Mures and Gloria Bistriţa have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings

ATM wins

Draws

GB wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa · H/A from ATM

Date	H/A	Game	Score
18/04/26	H	ATM Vs Gloria Bistriţa	1-1
07/10/25	H	ATM Vs Gloria Bistriţa	3-0

ASA Targu Mures

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
19/08/26	A	FC Politehnica Timisoara Vs ATM	2-1
15/08/26	A	Bihor Oradea Vs ATM	1-1
12/08/26	A	Gheorgheni Vs ATM	0-2
08/08/26	H	ATM Vs Cetatea Suceava	0-2
01/08/26	A	CSM Reşiţa Vs ATM	2-1
09/05/26	A	CS Dinamo București Vs ATM	1-3
02/05/26	H	ATM Vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	4-0
25/04/26	A	Slatina Vs ATM	0-0
18/04/26	H	ATM Vs Gloria Bistriţa	1-1
10/04/26	A	Politehnica Iasi Vs ATM	0-1

Gloria Bistriţa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
19/08/26	H	GB Vs Metalul Buzău	0-0
15/08/26	H	GB Vs Concordia	1-2
12/08/26	A	SCM Zalău Vs GB	0-1
07/08/26	A	Unirea Slobozia Vs GB	0-3
01/08/26	H	GB Vs Viitorul Şelimbăr	2-1
09/05/26	H	GB Vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite	3-0
02/05/26	A	Politehnica Iasi Vs GB	2-2
25/04/26	H	GB Vs Metalul Buzău	0-1
18/04/26	A	ASA Targu Mures Vs GB	1-1
10/04/26	H	GB Vs CS Dinamo București	0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ASA Targu Mures

Romania: Liga II

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLWDL	1.67
Home	WLDWL	1.88
Away	WLWDL	1.47

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	48%	56%	41%
AVG goals	2.85	2.94	2.76
Over 1.5 %	82%	81%	82%
Over 2.5 %	61%	56%	65%
Over 3.5 %	30%	38%	24%
Scored	1.76	2.06	1.47
Conceded	1.09	0.88	1.29
BTTS	45%	25%	65%
Clean Sheet	42%	56%	29%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Gloria Bistriţa

Romania: Liga II

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWWLD	1.50
Home	LWWLD	1.50
Away	WDDWW	1.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	43%	45%	41%
AVG goals	2.83	2.45	3.18
Over 1.5 %	79%	65%	91%
Over 2.5 %	62%	50%	73%
Over 3.5 %	31%	25%	36%
Scored	1.57	1.40	1.73
Conceded	1.26	1.05	1.45
BTTS	55%	45%	64%
Clean Sheet	29%	35%	23%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	FC Politehnica Timisoara	5	13	80%	2.6	11	2	+9	2.6	60%	40%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	0.4	-
2	Slatina	5	13	80%	2.6	10	2	+8	2.4	60%	40%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	1	2.0	0.4	-
3	Concordia	5	12	80%	2.4	11	8	+3	3.8	100%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	1	2.2	1.6	-
4	CSM Reşiţa	5	12	80%	2.4	9	6	+3	3.0	100%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	1	1.8	1.2	-
5	Chindia Targoviste	5	9	60%	1.8	10	5	+5	3.0	80%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	2	0	1	2.0	1.0	-
6	Popești-Leordeni	5	9	40%	1.8	10	6	+4	3.2	100%	40%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	2.0	1.2	-
7	Gloria Bistriţa	5	9	60%	1.8	7	4	+3	2.2	60%	60%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.4	0.8	-
8	FC Bacau	5	8	40%	1.6	10	5	+5	3.0	80%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	1	1	2.0	1.0	-
9	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	5	8	40%	1.6	6	5	+1	2.2	60%	40%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	1	0	0	1.2	1.0	-
10	Cetatea Suceava	5	7	40%	1.4	7	7	+0	2.8	100%	40%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.4	-
11	Metaloglobus	5	7	40%	1.4	7	8	-1	3.0	80%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	1	0	1	1.4	1.6	-
12	Metalul Buzău	5	7	40%	1.4	5	6	-1	2.2	60%	40%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	1	1.0	1.2	-
13	CS Afumati	5	7	40%	1.4	6	9	-3	3.0	100%	80%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	1	0	0	1.2	1.8	-
14	Bihor Oradea	5	6	20%	1.2	6	4	+2	2.0	80%	20%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.2	0.8	-
15	Ştefăneşti	5	6	40%	1.2	4	10	-6	2.8	80%	60%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	1	0.8	2.0	-
16	Viitorul Şelimbăr	5	5	20%	1.0	5	7	-2	2.4	80%	40%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.0	1.4	-
17	ASA Targu Mures	5	4	20%	0.8	3	8	-5	2.2	80%	40%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	0.6	1.6	-
18	Dumbrăviţa	5	3	0%	0.6	4	6	-2	2.0	60%	20%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	1	0.8	1.2	-
19	CS Dinamo București	5	3	20%	0.6	4	10	-6	2.8	60%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	1	0.8	2.0	-
20	CSM Satu Mare	5	2	0%	0.4	1	6	-5	1.4	60%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	1	0.2	1.2	-
21	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	5	1	0%	0.2	5	11	-6	3.2	100%	100%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.0	2.2	-
22	Unirea Slobozia	5	1	0%	0.2	3	9	-6	2.4	80%	60%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	1	0.6	1.8	-
23	AFC Hermannstadt	0	0	0%	0.0	0	0	+0	-	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	11	5	2	5	0.0	0.0	-

Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →

← all matches

ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ASA Targu Mures

Gloria Bistriţa

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ASA Targu Mures

Gloria Bistriţa

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ASA Targu Mures

Gloria Bistriţa

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

ASA Targu Mures

Gloria Bistriţa

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature