The model favours an away win for Bryne, with a 59 % chance, compared to 24 % for a draw and 17 % for an Asane victory. The expected total is 2.9 goals, so a modest 2-goal game is most likely, with a 1-1 scoreline at 11.3 % probability. Asane, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Bryne, on the road, has a slightly better defensive record, conceding only 1.0 goal on average while scoring 1.5 against similar teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.0 %), Home under 3.5 goals (98.3 %), Under 6.5 (97.1 %), Away +2 handicap (93.7 %), Under 5.5 (92.6 %), Home under 2.5 goals (92.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (86.9 %), and Away over 0.5 goals (85.5 %). These picks reflect the expected low-scoring, defensive nature of the encounter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Asane win
16.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bryne win
59.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Asane
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
2.00
1.50
1.79
1.31
2.19
vs Stronger (11)
1.09
2.00
1.40
1.80
0.83
2.17
vs Similar (18)
1.50
2.00
1.56
1.78
1.44
2.22
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bryne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bryne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.70
1.00
1.80
1.33
1.60
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
2.70
1.33
2.00
0.50
3.75
vs Similar (19)
1.16
1.26
0.78
1.67
1.50
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-3
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
Asane goals ↓
Bryne goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
9.8%
10%
6.8%
3.3%
1
4.3%
11%
9.9%
6.4%
3.1%
2
2.5%
4.9%
4.7%
3.0%
1.5%
3
0.8%
1.5%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asane goals (down), columns = Bryne goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
Asane is 1.02 points worse than Bryne in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Asane is 0.52 goals better than Bryne in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Asane is 1.33 goals worse than Bryne in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Asane or Draw
40.5%
Avg Implied -
17%
24%
60%
covers Asane + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Asane or Bryne
76.3%
Avg Implied -
17%
24%
60%
covers Asane + Bryne
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Bryne
83.2%
Avg Implied -
17%
24%
60%
covers Draw + Bryne
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Asane over/under 0.5
Over
61.2%
Under
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5
Over
24.5%
Under
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 3.5
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 0.5
Over
85.6%
Under
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 1.5
Over
57.7%
Under
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 2.5
Over
30.7%
Under
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 3.5
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Asane, so a minus line means Asane give that many goals of a start and Bryne receive them. At -1, Asane must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Asane win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Asane)
Asane -2
1.6%
Draw -2
4.4%
Bryne +2
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Asane)
Asane -1
6.0%
Draw -1
10.9%
Bryne +1
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Asane)
Asane +1
40.5%
Draw +1
23.3%
Bryne -1
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Asane)
Asane +2
63.8%
Draw +2
18.6%
Bryne -2
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Asane
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.00
0.86
0.79
0.69
1.19
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.73
0.80
0.40
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.78
1.22
0.89
1.00
0.67
1.44
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bryne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bryne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.73
0.27
0.80
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.26
0.63
0.00
0.67
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Asane
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.64
1.00
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.27
0.60
1.40
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.78
0.67
0.78
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bryne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bryne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.97
0.73
1.00
1.00
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.70
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.75
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.63
0.78
1.00
1.00
0.30
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bryne · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Magnus Grødem38%
Duarte Moreira25%
Sanel Bojadžić23%
Heine Asen Larsen14%
Axel Kryger12%
Alfred Scriven10%
Lasse Qvigstad9%
Nicklas Strunck7%
Mats Selmer Thornes7%
Kristian Skurve Haland6%
Jacob Haahr3%
Eirik Franke Saunes3%
Jon-Helge Tveita0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Jan de Boer0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Christian Landu-Landu0%
Robert Undheim0%
Sondre Norheim0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Luis Görlich0%
Lars Erik Sødal0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Sjur Torgersen Jonassen0%
Patrick Wik0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luis Görlich38%
Andreas Skovgaard27%
Lars Erik Sødal26%
Magnus Grødem25%
Axel Kryger24%
Alfred Scriven23%
Heine Asen Larsen18%
Nicklas Strunck18%
Sanel Bojadžić15%
Patrick Wik14%
Jacob Haahr10%
Jens Berland Husebø10%
Duarte Moreira9%
Jesper Gregersen9%
Mats Selmer Thornes7%
Kristian Skurve Haland6%
Jon-Helge Tveita6%
Christian Landu-Landu5%
Lasse Qvigstad4%
Eirik Franke Saunes3%
Jan de Boer3%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Robert Undheim0%
Sondre Norheim0%
Sjur Torgersen Jonassen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Duarte Moreira22%
Alfred Scriven13%
Kristian Skurve Haland12%
Eirik Franke Saunes10%
Andreas Skovgaard9%
Sanel Bojadžić8%
Jon-Helge Tveita6%
Heine Asen Larsen5%
Nicklas Strunck4%
Jacob Haahr0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Jan de Boer0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Axel Kryger0%
Christian Landu-Landu0%
Robert Undheim0%
Sondre Norheim0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Luis Görlich0%
Mats Selmer Thornes0%
Lars Erik Sødal0%
Lasse Qvigstad0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Sjur Torgersen Jonassen0%
Patrick Wik0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Duarte Moreira22%
Heine Asen Larsen18%
Magnus Grødem12%
Sanel Bojadžić12%
Alfred Scriven10%
Eirik Franke Saunes7%
Jacob Haahr0%
Jon-Helge Tveita0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Nicklas Strunck0%
Jan de Boer0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Axel Kryger0%
Christian Landu-Landu0%
Robert Undheim0%
Sondre Norheim0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Luis Görlich0%
Mats Selmer Thornes0%
Lars Erik Sødal0%
Lasse Qvigstad0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Sjur Torgersen Jonassen0%
Kristian Skurve Haland0%
Patrick Wik0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Asane's squad is €3m less valuable than Bryne's (€3m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Asane and Bryne have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Asane's midfield is €1m less valuable than Bryne's (€0m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Asane and Bryne have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stabaek
Haugesund
hodd
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
Lyn
Egersund
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
Sogndal
Sandnes ULF
Ranheim
Raufoss
Moss