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Asane vs Egersund Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-3
Asane
Asane
Vs
32%
26%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Asane a 32% win probability against Egersund in the Norway: 1. Division on 2026-07-26, with 26% for the draw and 42% for Egersund. The model estimates around 3.1 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (23%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.0%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (82%).

Results analysis

Asane finished 3-3 against Egersund (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 32% home win, 26% draw and 42% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (82%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Asane win✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Egersund win✗ Miss
42.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AsaneAsane

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D25L02L21W23L33D02L22D03L00DH·SOG30/08A·RAN13/09H·ODD20/09A·SKE27/09H·MJO04/10A·HOD18/10A·STA22/10H·STA25/10A·AAL01/11H·KON08/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.771.271.471.272.07
vs Stronger (14)0.861.570.571.291.141.86
vs Similar (14)1.572.071.861.711.292.43
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W40W40W20W10W00D21W32W13L30WH·STA27/09A·RAN04/10H·RAU18/10H·MOS22/10A·SOG25/10H·HOD01/11A·MJO08/11H·RAN22/11A·AAL26/11H·MOS04/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.271.601.401.671.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.561.781.442.221.671.33
vs Weaker (12)1.750.501.830.171.670.83
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.8%
Under 2.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.4%
Under 3.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.0%
No
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
Asane goals ↓
Egersund goals →
01234
05.8%6.7%6.4%3.5%1.4%
15.6%12%9.0%4.9%2.0%
24.7%7.7%6.3%3.5%1.4%
32.2%3.6%3.0%1.6%0.7%
40.8%1.3%1.0%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asane goals (down), columns = Egersund goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kongsvinger
1.74
Egersund
1.72
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Haugesund
1.54
Stromsgodset
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Bryne
1.42
Sandnes ULF
1.23
Strommen
1.11
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Asane is 0.69 points worse than Egersund in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.72).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
2.10
Haugesund
1.79
Egersund
1.72
Stromsgodset
1.72
Bryne
1.65
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.43
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Strommen
1.29
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
hodd
1.13
Asane is 0.45 goals worse than Egersund in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.72).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lyn
1.23
Egersund
1.34
Haugesund
1.40
Stromsgodset
1.46
Bryne
1.51
Kongsvinger
1.52
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Strommen
1.93
Moss
2.12
Asane is 0.42 goals worse than Egersund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (27)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (25)
€9m
STR (23)
€7m
BRY (23)
€6m
KON (26)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (21)
€4m
MOS (24)
€4m
LYN (25)
€4m
RAN (23)
€4m
HOD (21)
€3m
ASA (24)
€3m
SU (22)
€3m
RAU (21)
€2m
STR (24)
€2m
Asane's squad is €1m less valuable than Egersund's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Asane vs Egersund · H/A from ASA
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25AEgersund Vs ASA1-1
05/04/25HASA Vs Egersund0-2
28/09/24HASA Vs Egersund1-2
05/06/24AEgersund Vs ASA1-0

AsaneAsane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25HASA Vs Kongsvinger0-0
01/11/25AAalesund Vs ASA3-0
25/10/25HASA Vs Start2-2
22/10/25AStabaek Vs ASA2-0
18/10/25Ahodd Vs ASA3-3
04/10/25HASA Vs Mjondalen2-3
27/09/25ASkeid Vs ASA1-2
20/09/25HASA Vs ODD Ballklubb0-2
13/09/25ARanheim Vs ASA5-2
30/08/25HASA Vs Sogndal1-1

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/26HEGE Vs Moss3-0
26/11/25AAalesund Vs EGE3-1
22/11/25HEGE Vs Ranheim3-2
08/11/25AMjondalen Vs EGE1-2
01/11/25HEGE Vs hodd0-0
25/10/25ASogndal Vs EGE0-1
22/10/25HEGE Vs Moss2-0
18/10/25HEGE Vs Raufoss4-0
04/10/25ARanheim Vs EGE0-4
27/09/25HEGE Vs Start2-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLD1.16
HomeDLLDD1.29
AwayLWDLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%27%
AVG goals3.163.083.23
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %36%33%38%
Scored1.441.501.38
Conceded1.721.581.85
BTTS62%67%58%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.58
HomeWWDWW1.63
AwayLWWWL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%48%48%
AVG goals3.163.263.04
Over 1.5 %86%89%83%
Over 2.5 %60%56%65%
Over 3.5 %40%44%35%
Scored1.641.701.57
Conceded1.521.561.48
BTTS58%52%65%
Clean Sheet22%22%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StabaekStabaek412
100%
3.0
163+13
4.8
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0004.00.8
-
2hoddhodd512
80%
2.4
1416-2
6.0
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0002.83.2
-
3EgersundEgersund510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0002.01.4
-
4BryneBryne510
60%
2.0
75+2
2.4
100%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0001.41.0
-
5HaugesundHaugesund59
60%
1.8
1711+6
5.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0003.42.2
-
6KongsvingerKongsvinger49
75%
2.2
127+5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0003.01.8
-
7LynLyn47
50%
1.8
128+4
5.0
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0003.02.0
-
8StromsgodsetStromsgodset57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0001.81.6
-
9SogndalSogndal46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.81.8
-
10ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb55
20%
1.0
912-3
4.2
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0001.82.4
-
11StrommenStrommen44
25%
1.0
79-2
4.0
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.82.2
-
12AsaneAsane44
25%
1.0
710-3
4.2
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.82.5
-
13RanheimRanheim43
25%
0.8
1011-1
5.2
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0002.52.8
-
14RaufossRaufoss43
25%
0.8
512-7
4.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.23.0
-
15MossMoss51
0%
0.2
612-6
3.6
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.22.4
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF51
0%
0.2
515-10
4.0
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.03.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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