Asane, fresh from a win over Raufoss, face Lyn who just edged ODD Ballklubb 5-1. The model sees the match as a clear away win, with a 47 % chance for Lyn, 30 % for Asane and 23 % for a draw. The expected total is 3.6 goals, centring on a 3-goal outcome that carries a 21 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 9.7 % chance. Asane’s home form shows they score and concede 1.67 goals against similar opposition, while Lyn’s away attack averages 2.08 goals scored and 1.15 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s selections lean heavily on low-scoring halves: Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.5 %, Home under 1.5 HT goals at 89.5 %, and Away under 2.5 HT goals at 94.0 %. Other picks include Under 7.5 at 97.0 % (edge 2 %), Under 6.5 at 92.8 % (edge 2 %), Home under 3.5 goals at 92.4 % (edge 3 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.1 % (edge 6 %).
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as Lyn secured a 1-2 away win, extending their two-game winning streak after a strong 2-1 victory over Asane. The pre-match favourite, “Away win,” was assigned a 47% probability, and the outcome matched the model’s call. The model’s selections were largely correct: “Home under 2.5 HT goals” hit with a 98.2% probability, “Under 7.5” hit at 97.0%, “Home under 2.5 2H goals” hit at 96.5%, “Away under 2.5 HT goals” hit at 94.7%, “Under 6.5” hit at 92.8%, “Away under 2.5 2H goals” hit at 92.6%, “Home under 3.5 goals” hit at 92.4%, and “Home under 1.5 HT goals” hit at 89.1%. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the model’s overall accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Asane win✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.28
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Pinnacle
3.53
Betano
3.50
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.90
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.28
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Lyn win✓ Hit
46.9%
Avg Implied 48.3% · @ 1.90
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.05
888Sport
2.00
SBO
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Dafabet
1.91
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Asane
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
2.13
1.47
2.07
1.27
2.20
vs Stronger (11)
0.91
2.45
1.17
2.67
0.60
2.20
vs Similar (18)
1.56
1.94
1.67
1.67
1.44
2.22
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.37
1.92
1.38
2.18
1.35
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.92
1.38
1.83
1.33
2.00
1.43
vs Weaker (4)
3.00
1.25
3.00
2.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.2%
@ 1.09+2.9%
Under 1.5
11.8%
@ 6.31-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.12
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Under
Bet365
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Pinnacle
6.84
Marathonbet
6.55
1xBet
6.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.5%
@ 1.36+1.2%
Under 2.5
30.5%
@ 2.92-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.41
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Under
BetVictor
3.10
Bet365
3.10
Pinnacle
3.07
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.2%
@ 1.93-0.2%
Under 3.5
51.8%
@ 1.81+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.05
SBO
2.02
Pinnacle
1.95
10Bet
1.95
888Sport
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.6%
@ 1.35+1.4%
No
30.4%
@ 2.89-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.36
888Sport
1.36
No
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
1xBet
2.94
Marathonbet
2.88
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%@ 8.02+4.1%
1-2 ✓
8.8%@ 8.03+3.3%
2-2
7.0%@ 9.64+2.3%
2-1
6.9%@ 10.90+2.9%
1-3
5.9%@ 11.40+2.0%
0-2
5.6%@ 12.22+1.9%
0-1
4.7%@ 12.28+1.0%
2-3
4.7%@ 13.96+1.5%
Asane goals ↓
Lyn goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
4.7%
5.6%
3.7%
1.9%
1
3.5%
9.7%
8.8%
5.9%
3.0%
2
3.5%
6.9%
7.0%
4.7%
2.3%
3
1.8%
3.7%
3.7%
2.5%
1.2%
4
0.7%
1.4%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asane goals (down), columns = Lyn goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
Asane is 1.00 points worse than Lyn in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Asane is 1.33 goals worse than Lyn in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 3.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Asane is 0.17 goals worse than Lyn in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 2.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Asane or Draw✗ Miss
53.1%
Avg Implied 51.5% · @ 1.81
Edge
+1.6%
30%
23%
47%
covers Asane + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Asane or Lyn✓ Hit
76.7%
Avg Implied 76.9% · @ 1.21
Edge
-0.2%
30%
23%
47%
covers Asane + Lyn
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Draw or Lyn✓ Hit
70.2%
Avg Implied 71.6% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.4%
30%
23%
47%
covers Draw + Lyn
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.38
888Sport
1.36
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Unibet
1.30
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Asane over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.4%
@ 1.21+2.5%
Under
20.6%
@ 4.03-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.25
10Bet
4.20
888Sport
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Asane over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.9%
@ 2.04+1.4%
Under
53.1%
@ 1.70-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Under
10Bet
1.77
888Sport
1.75
Pinnacle
1.72
1xBet
1.70
BetVictor
1.70
Asane over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.2%
@ 4.37-0.1%
Under
78.8%
@ 1.18+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Asane over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 10.03-1.8%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.04+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
888Sport
10.00
1xBet
8.90
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Lyn over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.5%
@ 1.10+1.8%
Under
13.5%
@ 6.10-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.13
Unibet
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Under
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.50
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Betano
6.10
Lyn over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
59.5%
@ 1.54-0.8%
Under
40.5%
@ 2.35+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.62
Unibet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.51
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.45
Marathonbet
2.42
1xBet
2.42
Lyn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
32.5%
@ 2.67-2.4%
Under
67.5%
@ 1.43+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.90
888Sport
2.90
Betfair
2.63
1xBet
2.62
Superbet
2.62
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Lyn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 5.35-3.1%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.14+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.11
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Asane, so a minus line means Asane give that many goals of a start and Lyn receive them. At -1, Asane must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Asane win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Asane)Actual: Lyn
Asane -2
5.6%
@ 11.93-2.0%
Draw -2
8.9%
@ 8.47-1.8%
Lyn +2
85.5%
@ 1.11+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
9.30
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.40
Away
Marathonbet
1.14
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.09
Handicap -1 (Asane)Actual: Lyn
Asane -1
14.5%
@ 6.12-0.2%
Draw -1
15.3%
@ 5.28-1.8%
Lyn +1
70.2%
@ 1.32+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.75
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
5.75
10Bet
5.50
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Away
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Handicap +1 (Asane)Actual: Draw
Asane +1
53.1%
@ 1.81+3.7%
Draw +1
19.6%
@ 4.07-2.4%
Lyn -1
27.3%
@ 3.12-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.87
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.72
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Away
Bet365
3.25
Unibet
3.25
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.97
Handicap +2 (Asane)Actual: Asane
Asane +2
72.7%
@ 1.30+3.8%
Draw +2
14.4%
@ 5.50-1.9%
Lyn -2
13.0%
@ 6.03-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Unibet
1.26
Draw
Marathonbet
5.70
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.30
Away
Unibet
6.40
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Asane
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.00
0.87
0.80
0.67
1.20
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.91
0.67
0.83
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.83
1.11
1.00
0.78
0.67
1.44
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.67
1.08
0.85
0.88
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.00
0.62
1.17
0.83
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.2%
@ 1.19-4.3%
Under 0.5
26.8%
@ 4.12+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
BetVictor
4.20
1xBet
4.20
William Hil
4.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.0%
@ 1.99-8.9%
Under 1.5
62.0%
@ 1.75+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.06
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
2.02
Unibet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
SBO
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 4.05-8.9%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.20+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.20
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.2%
@ 1.91-6.4%
Under
57.8%
@ 1.80+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.98
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Unibet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
Unibet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 5.55-5.8%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.11+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
5.40
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 10.25-7.3%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Lyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.0%
@ 1.58-6.8%
Under
48.0%
@ 2.25+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.63
Unibet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.25
Unibet
2.14
Lyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
16.2%
@ 3.64-9.2%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.24+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Lyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 8.90-5.1%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Asane
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.13
0.60
1.27
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.55
0.50
1.83
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.83
0.67
0.89
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.70
0.85
0.54
1.29
0.82
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.77
0.67
0.50
1.14
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
0.25
3.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.8%
@ 1.11-3.1%
Under 0.5
19.2%
@ 5.79+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Under
1xBet
6.10
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Superbet
5.55
Betano
5.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.7%
@ 1.57-8.1%
Under 1.5
49.3%
@ 2.25+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Superbet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
10Bet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.8%
@ 2.73-10.2%
Under 2.5
76.2%
@ 1.40+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.80
William Hil
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.73
1xBet
2.73
Under
Betano
1.45
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.1%
@ 1.61-9.4%
Under
51.9%
@ 2.17+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.17
Superbet
2.17
Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 3.95-7.3%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.20+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 9.12-6.6%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Lyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
61.2%
@ 1.37-6.4%
Under
38.8%
@ 2.86+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Under
Betano
2.95
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.72
Lyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
24.6%
@ 2.69-9.7%
Under
75.4%
@ 1.41+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
1xBet
2.65
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Lyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 6.05-7.8%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.09+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.8%
1.05
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.11
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.2%
1.09
Unibet
1.12
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
86.5%
1.10
888Sport
1.13
Unibet
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.20
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.20
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
85.6%
1.14
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.11
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
85.5%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.14
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.09
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
84.6%
1.12
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.9%
1.20
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
83.8%
1.24
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+9.2%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.09
-3.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.4%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
78.8%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.7%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.2%
1.40
Betano
1.45
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
75.4%
1.41
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
-
+9.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.2%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
-4.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
72.7%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Unibet
1.26
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
70.9%
1.33
Pinnacle
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
70.2%
1.30
10Bet
1.38
888Sport
1.36
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Unibet
1.30
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
70.2%
1.32
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Asane and Lyn have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Asane and Lyn have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Asane's midfield is €1m less valuable than Lyn's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Asane and Lyn have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →