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Asane vs Sogndal Prediction & Stats

Date: 11/10/2026
Time: 15:00
Asane
Asane
Vs
32%
24%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sogndal
Sogndal
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Asane’s recent draw keeps their home form modest, while Sogndal’s last defeat shows they are still finding rhythm on the road. The numbers suggest a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.4 goals and a most likely total of three, a 22% chance. The model’s pick is an away win, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 10.4% probability. Home side Asane averages 1.56 goals scored and 1.78 conceded against similar opponents, whereas Sogndal averages 2.08 scored and 1.77 conceded in away matches. The model favours a 32% home win, a 24% draw, and a 43% away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.6%), Under 6.5 (94.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (88.4%), Under 5.5 (86.7%), Over 1.5 (86.5%), Away over 0.5 goals (84.2%), and Away +2 handicap (84.0%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Asane win
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sogndal win
43.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AsaneAsane

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L22D03L00D33D14L12L21W12L22DA·STA22/10H·STA25/10A·AAL01/11H·KON08/11H·EGE26/07A·ODD02/08H·KON09/08A·RAU16/08H·LYN26/08A·EGE30/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.402.001.501.791.312.19
vs Stronger (11)1.092.001.401.800.832.17
vs Similar (18)1.502.001.561.781.442.22
vs Weaker (1)3.002.00--3.002.00
Clean sheet %3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W01L41W03L32W23L02L20W22D23LA·RAU22/10H·EGE25/10A·ODD01/11H·RAN08/11H·RAN26/07A·LYN02/08H·BRY09/08H·SAN16/08A·MOS26/08H·STR30/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.701.331.731.801.67
vs Stronger (3)0.332.331.005.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)1.701.631.361.502.081.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.5%
Under 1.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.5%
Under 2.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
44.7%
Under 3.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
67.8%
No
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
0-1
5.1%
2-3
4.3%
Asane goals ↓
Sogndal goals →
01234
04.2%5.1%5.5%3.4%1.6%
14.2%10%8.8%5.4%2.5%
24.1%7.5%6.9%4.3%2.0%
32.1%3.9%3.6%2.2%1.0%
40.8%1.6%1.4%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asane goals (down), columns = Sogndal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Ranheim
0.50
Raufoss
0.50
Moss
0.29
Asane is 0.33 points worse than Sogndal in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Asane is 0.17 goals worse than Sogndal in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Asane is 0.33 goals worse than Sogndal in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Asane or Draw
56.6%
Avg Implied -
32%
24%
43%
covers Asane + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Asane or Sogndal
75.7%
Avg Implied -
32%
24%
43%
covers Asane + Sogndal
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sogndal
67.6%
Avg Implied -
32%
24%
43%
covers Draw + Sogndal
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Asane over/under 0.5
Over
79.4%
Under
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5
Over
46.8%
Under
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5
Over
21.1%
Under
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 3.5
Over
7.6%
Under
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5
Over
84.2%
Under
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5
Over
55.1%
Under
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5
Over
28.2%
Under
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 3.5
Over
11.6%
Under
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Asane, so a minus line means Asane give that many goals of a start and Sogndal receive them. At -1, Asane must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Asane win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Asane)
Asane -2
6.3%
Draw -2
9.8%
Sogndal +2
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Asane)
Asane -1
16.0%
Draw -1
16.3%
Sogndal +1
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Asane)
Asane +1
56.6%
Draw +1
19.3%
Sogndal -1
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Asane)
Asane +2
75.9%
Draw +2
13.3%
Sogndal -2
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D01L00D20W14L00D11D02L11DA·STA22/10H·STA25/10A·AAL01/11H·KON08/11H·EGE26/07A·ODD02/08H·KON09/08A·RAU16/08H·LYN26/08A·EGE30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.000.860.790.691.19
vs Stronger (11)0.550.730.800.400.331.00
vs Similar (18)0.781.220.891.000.671.44
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D10W00D10W03L01L10W11D12LA·RAU22/10H·EGE25/10A·ODD01/11H·RAN08/11H·RAN26/07A·LYN02/08H·BRY09/08H·SAN16/08A·MOS26/08H·STR30/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.800.400.731.00
vs Stronger (3)0.331.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.810.670.790.360.851.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D02L00D13L00D12L10W10W11DA·STA22/10H·STA25/10A·AAL01/11H·KON08/11H·EGE26/07A·ODD02/08H·KON09/08A·RAU16/08H·LYN26/08A·EGE30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.000.641.000.621.00
vs Stronger (11)0.551.270.601.400.501.17
vs Similar (18)0.720.780.670.780.780.78
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L31W03L22D20W01L10W11D11DA·RAU22/10H·EGE25/10A·ODD01/11H·RAN08/11H·RAN26/07A·LYN02/08H·BRY09/08H·SAN16/08A·MOS26/08H·STR30/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.000.531.331.070.67
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.004.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.890.960.571.141.230.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.6%-------
Under 6.594.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals92.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals88.4%-------
Under 5.586.7%-------
Over 1.586.5%-------
Away over 0.5 goals84.2%-------
Away +2 handicap84.0%-------
Home over 0.5 goals79.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals78.9%-------
Home +2 handicap75.9%-------
Home or Away75.7%-------
Under 4.574.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals71.8%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Asane's squad is €1m less valuable than Sogndal's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Asane and Sogndal have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Asane and Sogndal have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Asane and Sogndal have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ASA wins
4
Draws
2
SOG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Asane vs Sogndal · H/A from ASA
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25HASA Vs Sogndal1-1
16/05/25ASogndal Vs ASA2-0
26/10/24ASogndal Vs ASA0-2
15/04/24HASA Vs Sogndal1-1
23/09/23ASogndal Vs ASA1-1
13/05/23HASA Vs Sogndal2-3
31/07/22HASA Vs Sogndal1-1
22/05/22ASogndal Vs ASA2-3

AsaneAsane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AEgersund Vs ASA2-2
26/08/26HASA Vs Lyn1-2
16/08/26ARaufoss Vs ASA1-2
09/08/26HASA Vs Kongsvinger1-2
02/08/26AODD Ballklubb Vs ASA4-1
26/07/26HASA Vs Egersund3-3
08/11/25HASA Vs Kongsvinger0-0
01/11/25AAalesund Vs ASA3-0
25/10/25HASA Vs Start2-2
22/10/25AStabaek Vs ASA2-0

SogndalSogndal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HSOG Vs Stromsgodset2-3
26/08/26AMoss Vs SOG2-2
16/08/26HSOG Vs Sandnes ULF2-0
09/08/26HSOG Vs Bryne0-2
02/08/26ALyn Vs SOG3-2
26/07/26HSOG Vs Ranheim3-2
08/11/25HSOG Vs Ranheim0-3
01/11/25AODD Ballklubb Vs SOG1-4
25/10/25HSOG Vs Egersund0-1
22/10/25ARaufoss Vs SOG1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.22
HomeDDDLL1.09
AwayLLLWD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%26%37%
AVG goals3.443.303.56
Over 1.5 %94%91%96%
Over 2.5 %68%70%67%
Over 3.5 %40%35%44%
Scored1.581.481.67
Conceded1.861.831.89
BTTS70%70%70%
Clean Sheet10%13%7%
Corners---
Cards---
Sogndal
Sogndal
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL1.22
HomeLWLWL1.08
AwayLWWLD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%28%40%
AVG goals3.123.163.08
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored1.461.361.56
Conceded1.661.801.52
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StabaekStabaek615
83%
2.5
217+14
4.7
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5233.51.2
-
2HaugesundHaugesund715
71%
2.1
2211+11
4.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3243.11.6
-
3hoddhodd715
71%
2.1
1720-3
5.3
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.42.9
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger613
67%
2.2
1711+6
4.7
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.81.8
-
5StromsgodsetStromsgodset713
57%
1.9
1511+4
3.7
100%
57%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.6
-
6BryneBryne713
57%
1.9
87+1
2.1
86%
29%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.11.0
-
7LynLyn611
50%
1.8
1813+5
5.2
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1213.02.2
-
8EgersundEgersund711
43%
1.6
1212+0
3.4
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.7
-
9StrommenStrommen610
50%
1.7
1211+1
3.8
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.8
-
10ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb78
29%
1.1
1416-2
4.3
71%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3332.02.3
-
11SogndalSogndal67
33%
1.2
1112-1
3.8
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.82.0
-
12AsaneAsane65
17%
0.8
1014-4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.72.3
-
13Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF74
14%
0.6
816-8
3.4
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.12.3
-
14RanheimRanheim63
17%
0.5
1520-5
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.53.3
-
15RaufossRaufoss63
17%
0.5
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.03.0
-
16MossMoss72
0%
0.3
916-7
3.6
100%
100%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.32.3
-
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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