Atert Bissen is the clear favourite, with the model rating an 81% chance of a home win, 13% for a draw and 6% for an away win. The prediction favours a 2-0 scoreline, the most likely result with a 10.6% probability, while the expected total goals is 3.7, centring on a three-goal match that carries a 21% chance. Atert’s home form is strong against weaker opposition, scoring an average of 3.2 goals and conceding only 1.0. Etzella Ettelbruck, playing away against a stronger side, averages 1.36 goals scored and 2.86 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include an away under 3.5 goals (99.2%), home +2 handicap (98.2%), under 7.5 (96.4%), over 2.5 cards (95.9%), away under 2.5 goals (95.8%), home over 0.5 goals (94.9%), over 19.5 fouls (94.4%) and a home or draw outcome (94.0%). Atert Bissen’s recent form shows a win-win-win streak after a defeat, while Etzella has endured four straight losses, underscoring the home side’s advantage.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Atert Bissen win
81.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
12.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck win
5.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Atert Bissen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
0.90
2.13
0.87
2.27
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.75
1.06
1.60
0.80
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (14)
2.71
0.71
3.20
1.00
2.44
0.56
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Etzella Ettelbruck) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Etzella Ettelbruck
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
2.47
0.87
2.13
1.47
2.80
vs Stronger (29)
1.10
2.48
0.87
2.13
1.36
2.86
vs Similar (1)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Atert Bissen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.3%
Under 1.5
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72.3%
Under 2.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
51.6%
Under 3.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.6%
3-0
10.6%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
7.9%
1-0
6.5%
4-1
6.0%
1-1
5.9%
Atert Bissen goals ↓
Etzella Ettelbruck goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.9%
1.2%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
6.5%
5.9%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
2
11%
8.0%
3.0%
0.8%
0.1%
3
11%
8.0%
3.0%
0.8%
0.1%
4
7.9%
6.0%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atert Bissen goals (down), columns = Etzella Ettelbruck goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
Atert Bissen is 1.60 points better than Etzella Ettelbruck in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 0.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
Atert Bissen is 1.00 goals better than Etzella Ettelbruck in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 0.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
Atert Bissen is 1.20 goals better than Etzella Ettelbruck in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 2.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Atert Bissen
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Etzella Ettelbruck
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Atert Bissen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
8.6
9.0
8.3
0.7
0.7
0.7
26.0
29.0
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
9.2
12.0
8.3
1.2
0.8
1.6
24.5
26.0
24.0
vs Weaker (23)
6.0
6.0
-
0.2
0.4
0.0
32.0
32.0
-
% over line
40%
50%
33%
11%
9%
12%
80%
100%
67%
% under line
60%
50%
67%
89%
91%
88%
20%
0%
33%
This opponent (Etzella Ettelbruck) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Etzella Ettelbruck
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (44)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (43)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Atert Bissen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
33.4%
Under 9.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
89.3%
Under 3.5
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.8%
Under 21.5
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Atert Bissen or Draw
94.2%
Avg Implied -
82%
13%
6%
covers Atert Bissen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen or Etzella Ettelbruck
87.4%
Avg Implied -
82%
13%
6%
covers Atert Bissen + Etzella Ettelbruck
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Etzella Ettelbruck
18.4%
Avg Implied -
82%
13%
6%
covers Draw + Etzella Ettelbruck
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Atert Bissen over/under 0.5
Over
95.0%
Under
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 1.5
Over
80.0%
Under
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 2.5
Over
57.6%
Under
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 3.5
Over
35.2%
Under
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 0.5
Over
52.9%
Under
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 1.5
Over
17.4%
Under
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 2.5
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 3.5
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Atert Bissen, so a minus line means Atert Bissen give that many goals of a start and Etzella Ettelbruck receive them. At -1, Atert Bissen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Atert Bissen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Atert Bissen)
Atert Bissen -2
42.3%
Draw -2
21.1%
Etzella Ettelbruck +2
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Atert Bissen)
Atert Bissen -1
63.5%
Draw -1
18.1%
Etzella Ettelbruck +1
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Atert Bissen)
Atert Bissen +1
94.2%
Draw +1
4.2%
Etzella Ettelbruck -1
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Atert Bissen)
Atert Bissen +2
98.3%
Draw +2
1.3%
Etzella Ettelbruck -2
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Atert Bissen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.27
0.60
0.13
1.27
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.31
0.40
0.20
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
1.29
0.21
1.00
0.00
1.44
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Etzella Ettelbruck) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Etzella Ettelbruck
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
1.07
0.27
1.00
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (29)
0.28
1.07
0.27
1.00
0.29
1.14
vs Similar (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Atert Bissen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atert Bissen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Atert Bissen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.63
1.53
0.73
1.00
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.12
0.75
1.20
0.60
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.43
0.50
2.20
1.00
1.00
0.22
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Etzella Ettelbruck) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Etzella Ettelbruck
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.40
0.60
1.13
1.13
1.67
vs Stronger (29)
0.83
1.41
0.60
1.13
1.07
1.71
vs Similar (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Atert Bissen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atert Bissen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 1.5 goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 4.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Atert Bissen's squad is €2m more valuable than Etzella Ettelbruck's (€3m vs €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Atert Bissen and Etzella Ettelbruck have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Atert Bissen and Etzella Ettelbruck have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
Atert Bissen's defence is €1m more valuable than Etzella Ettelbruck's (€1m vs €0m).
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
UNA Strassen
US Mondorf-les-bains
FC Differdange 03
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Résidence Walferdange
UN Kaerjeng 97
Progres Niederkorn
US Hostert
F91 Dudelange
US Rumelange
Wiltz
Victoria Rosport
AS Jeunesse Esch
Swift Hesperange