Atert Bissen, fresh from a 1-2 loss to UNA Strassen, will look to leverage their strong home attack, averaging 3.2 goals per match while conceding just one against weaker opposition. US Hostert, after a 0-2 defeat to FC Differdange 03, has struggled away, scoring only 1.22 goals and conceding 2.11 against stronger teams. The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an expected total of 3.4 goals and the most likely total of three goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.8% chance. The favoured outcome is a home win, with a 59% chance, a draw at 22%, and an away win at 19%. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals (97.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7%), Over 2.5 cards (96.0%), Over 19.5 fouls (94.7%), Under 6.5 goals (94.4%), Home +2 handicap (92.2%), Over 3.5 cards (89.5%), and Home over 0.5 goals (88.7%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Atert Bissen win
59.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
US Hostert win
19.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Atert Bissen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
0.90
2.13
0.87
2.27
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.75
1.06
1.60
0.80
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (14)
2.71
0.71
3.20
1.00
2.44
0.56
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
US Hostert
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.87
1.42
1.58
1.50
2.06
vs Stronger (17)
1.12
1.88
1.00
1.62
1.22
2.11
vs Similar (12)
1.67
1.92
1.33
1.67
1.78
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
1.00
5.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Atert Bissen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.6%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.6%
Under 3.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.6%
No
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
1-0
6.6%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
Atert Bissen goals ↓
US Hostert goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
3.2%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
1
6.6%
9.8%
5.3%
2.1%
0.6%
2
8.2%
9.7%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
6.0%
7.1%
4.2%
1.7%
0.5%
4
3.3%
3.9%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atert Bissen goals (down), columns = US Hostert goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
Atert Bissen is 0.60 points better than US Hostert in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
Atert Bissen is 0.80 goals worse than US Hostert in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
Atert Bissen is 0.60 goals better than US Hostert in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Atert Bissen
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
US Hostert
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Atert Bissen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
8.6
9.0
8.3
0.7
0.7
0.8
26.0
29.0
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
9.2
12.0
8.3
1.2
0.8
1.6
24.5
26.0
24.0
vs Weaker (21)
6.0
6.0
-
0.2
0.5
0.0
32.0
32.0
-
% over line
40%
50%
33%
11%
10%
12%
80%
100%
67%
% under line
60%
50%
67%
89%
90%
88%
20%
0%
33%
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
US Hostert
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.7
8.0
0.6
0.8
0.5
29.0
28.0
32.0
vs Stronger (28)
8.0
8.0
8.0
0.7
0.4
1.1
33.0
34.0
32.0
vs Similar (20)
9.0
9.0
-
0.6
1.7
0.0
25.0
25.0
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
8%
8%
8%
75%
67%
100%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
92%
92%
92%
25%
33%
0%
This opponent (Atert Bissen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
33.6%
Under 9.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
89.5%
Under 3.5
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
88.4%
Under 21.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Atert Bissen or Draw
81.0%
Avg Implied -
59%
22%
19%
covers Atert Bissen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen or US Hostert
78.2%
Avg Implied -
59%
22%
19%
covers Atert Bissen + US Hostert
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or US Hostert
40.8%
Avg Implied -
59%
22%
19%
covers Draw + US Hostert
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Atert Bissen over/under 0.5
Over
88.8%
Under
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 1.5
Over
64.2%
Under
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 2.5
Over
37.4%
Under
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 3.5
Over
17.8%
Under
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 0.5
Over
69.5%
Under
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 1.5
Over
33.3%
Under
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 2.5
Over
11.8%
Under
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 3.5
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Atert Bissen, so a minus line means Atert Bissen give that many goals of a start and US Hostert receive them. At -1, Atert Bissen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Atert Bissen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Atert Bissen)
Atert Bissen -2
19.6%
Draw -2
18.0%
US Hostert +2
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Atert Bissen)
Atert Bissen -1
37.6%
Draw -1
21.6%
US Hostert +1
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Atert Bissen)
Atert Bissen +1
81.0%
Draw +1
11.3%
US Hostert -1
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Atert Bissen)
Atert Bissen +2
92.3%
Draw +2
5.3%
US Hostert -2
2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Atert Bissen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.27
0.60
0.13
1.27
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.31
0.40
0.20
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
1.29
0.21
1.00
0.00
1.44
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
US Hostert
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.90
0.42
0.92
0.56
0.89
vs Stronger (17)
0.18
0.94
0.25
1.00
0.11
0.89
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.92
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.89
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Atert Bissen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atert Bissen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Atert Bissen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.63
1.53
0.73
1.00
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.12
0.75
1.20
0.60
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.43
0.50
2.20
1.00
1.00
0.22
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
US Hostert
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.97
1.00
0.67
0.94
1.17
vs Stronger (17)
0.94
0.94
0.75
0.62
1.11
1.22
vs Similar (12)
0.92
1.00
1.33
0.67
0.78
1.11
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Atert Bissen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atert Bissen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 4.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Atert Bissen's squad is €1m more valuable than US Hostert's (€3m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Atert Bissen and US Hostert have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Atert Bissen and US Hostert have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
Atert Bissen's defence is €1m more valuable than US Hostert's (€1m vs €0m).
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
UNA Strassen
US Mondorf-les-bains
FC Differdange 03
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Résidence Walferdange
UN Kaerjeng 97
Progres Niederkorn
F91 Dudelange
US Rumelange
Wiltz
Victoria Rosport
AS Jeunesse Esch
Etzella Ettelbruck
Swift Hesperange